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But they expect growth will rebound by 23 percent in the third quarter and 13 percent in the fourth. The forecasts are not final and will be revised. The economists warned: ``Over the last few weeks, forecasters have been operating in a fog. Economic models that have been trained on post-war data face obvious limitations. In their place, we have reverted to different ways to address the outlook."

But, with growing evidence that the rest of Amazon is becoming stronger financially apart from the cloud division, perhaps the company will finally consider spinning off AWS, as some observers have suggested for years.

But the main focus is likely to be Biden, who has made race a central theme of his campaign.

But, ultimately, the travel business will get through this challenging time as nothing can keep Chinese travelers at home for long, industry analysts said.

By Tuesday, China Southern had resumed more than 6,300 flights and operated 136 back-to-work chartered flights amid the novel coronavirus epidemic.