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Predicting the outcome of elections can sometimes be easy. Other years, it is not. Professor Allan Lichtman has predicted every election since 1984, using a model he developed alongside Soviet Union scientists.One of Lichtman's proudest achievements was accurately predicting the 2016 election. President Donald Trump signed a Washington Post article about Lichtman in recent years with his autograph and the phrase "good call."THE METHODLichtman doesn't look at polls."Polls are not predictors, they are misused as predictors," Lichtman said.Instead, Lichtman looks at the political party currently controlling the White House. Then he uses 13 keys to gauge whether the party controlling the White House will lose or not.They are: midterm gains, no contest in the primary, incumbency, no third party, strong short-term economy, strong long-term economy, major policy change, no social unrest, no scandal, no overseas failure, major overseas achievement, charismatic incumbent, uncharismatic opponent."If six or more, any six more, turn against the party holding the White House, they are a predicted loser," Luchtman said.2020 PREDICTIONLichtman says before 2020, Trump appeared to be heading to a reelection. However Trump has now lost seven keys.In Lichtman's opinion, Trump has lost midterm gains, short term economy, long-term economy, no social unrest, no scandal, major overseas achievement, and charismatic incumbent."Could I be wrong? Of course human beings are wrong. But my keys have quite a track record," Lichtman said. 1541

Popular music festivals Coachella and Stagecoach have officially been postponed until October due to coronavirus fears.Festival organizer Goldenvoice said that it was heeding advice from health officials in California, adding "while this decision comes at a time of universal uncertainty, we take the safety and health of our guests, staff and community very seriously."Tickets for both festivals will be good for the rescheduled October dates. Those unable to attend can seek refunds, with additional information coming by March 13. pic.twitter.com/ppPdu7WX9b— Coachella (@coachella) March 10, 2020 This year's Coachella Festival was slated to feature Rage Against the Machine, Travis Scott and Frank Ocean. With more than 100 artists slated to perform, it is unknown if any will be forced to drop out. The new dates for Coachella are October 9, 10, 11, 16, 17 and 18.Stagecoach was set to feature Thomas Rhett, Carrie Underwood, ZZ Top, and several over country music stars.The festival will now be held on Oct. 23, 24 and 25.RELATED: San Diego schools, events change plans over coronavirus 1100

President Donald Trump said in a statement that he will contest President-Elect Joe Biden’s win, adding that he does not accept the result of last Tuesday’s election.Saturday morning, the Associated Press projected Biden to win the state of Pennsylvania, which gives him a projected 290 Electoral College votes to become president. Biden is leading Pennsylvania by more than 34,000 votes with a small number of ballots left to be counted. Moments after Pennsylvania was called, the Associated Press also called Nevada, meaning even if Biden had not won Pennsylvania, he would reach 270 Electoral College votes. Despite few ballots being left to be counted in Pennsylvania and Biden leading by .5%, Trump says he will fight the result. “We all know why Joe Biden is rushing to falsely pose as the winner, and why his media allies are trying so hard to help him: they don’t want the truth to be exposed. The simple fact is this election is far from over,” the Trump campaign said in a statement. “Joe Biden has not been certified as the winner of any states, let alone any of the highly contested states headed for mandatory recounts, or states where our campaign has valid and legitimate legal challenges that could determine the ultimate victor.” The ballots left to be counted are provisional ballots, with some leftover mail-in ballots. The final certification of the election in Pennsylvania comes on November 23.The Trump campaign alleged that it received improper access to monitor counting in Philadelphia. Earlier this week, the Trump campaign won a lawsuit that allowed them to stand 6 feet from vote counters instead of 20 feet.“Beginning Monday, our campaign will start prosecuting our case in court to ensure election laws are fully upheld and the rightful winner is seated. The American People are entitled to an honest election: that means counting all legal ballots, and not counting any illegal ballots. This is the only way to ensure the public has full confidence in our election," the campaign said. For days, Trump claimed the election was being stolen, despite no evidence of any widespread miscounting or fraud. For months, Trump sowed doubt in the mail-in vote process. In many states, like Pennsylvania, his supporters listened by voting in person rather than through the mail.In Pennsylvania, Trump won the Election Day vote by a 2-to-1 margin, but trailed the mail-in vote by a 3-to-1 margin.“There’s tremendous amount of litigation generally because of how unfair this process was,” Trump said earlier this week. “And I predicted that. I've been talking about mail-in voting for a long time. It's, uh, it's really destroyed our system. It's a corrupt system, and it makes people corrupt, even if they aren't by nature, but they become corrupt.”Because of Pennsylvania state law, boards of elections were not permitted to count mail-in ballots until Tuesday. Mail-in ballots generally take longer to tabulate, which is why results were tabulated through the week. With mail-in votes taking longer to count in addition to the contrasting voting habits of Biden and Trump supporters, Trump's once monumental lead disappeared. Trump's lawyer Rudolph Giuliani, who was in disbelief that Trump lost a lead, said the president's legal strategy will initially begin in Pennsylvania. "Many big, big small(lawsuits)," he said. "This will eventually be a big case because this will go beyond Pennsylvania." 3429

President Donald Trump knew weeks before the coronavirus was confirmed to have reached the United States that the virus was dangerous and "deadly," while making public statements in which he downplayed the severity of the disease, according to audio files obtained by CNN.The audio files were made by journalist Bob Woodward, during several conversations with Trump in early 2020. Woodward is publishing a book about Trump later this month. The Washington Post also confirmed that Woodward's book contains reporting about Trump downplaying the severity of the virus.According to the audio files published by CNN, Trump told Woodward on Feb. 7 that the coronavirus was reported to have airborne transmission and that COVID-19 was more deadly than a "strenuous flu."That same day, Trump tweeted that he had a conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping, in which he claimed that China was running a "very successful operation," and that the virus would be "gone" once the weather gone warmer. On March 9, Trump compared coronavirus the flu in a tweet, adding that "nothing is shutting down."CNN also published audio files from Woodward taken on March 19, in which Trump admitted that "it's not just old people" who are being infected by the virus. He also told Woodward that he "always wanted to play it down," because he "didn't want to create a panic."When asked during a Wednesday briefing if Trump ever "intentionally misled" Americans regarding the severity of COVID-19 White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany denied the claims, pointing to the fact that Trump said he wanted to "avoid chaos.""It's important to express confidence, it's important to express calm," McEnany said. 1697

PORTLAND, Ore. (AP) — Videos posted online appear to show a man punched and kicked unconscious by demonstrators just blocks away from a peaceful protest in Portland, Oregon. News outlets report the man had been driving a truck that crashed downtown Sunday night. Afterward, the man is seen sitting in the street. A video showed the man apparently being punched and kicked in the head by demonstrators.A police spokesperson told The Oregonian that the man was taken to a hospital with serious injuries. According to The Oregonian, some people tried to hold the assailants back, while others rummaged through the man's truck.A peaceful protest took place blocks away outside a U.S. courthouse. Demonstrations, often violent, have happened nightly in Portland for more than two months following the killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis.The incident is still under investigation and no one has been arrested, The Oregonian reported. 938