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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Economic forecasters are beginning to warn of a possible 2020 recession, and the impact they say will be felt in the Golden State, according to a new report by UCLA.“Don’t celebrate the 3.1% GDP growth estimate for the first quarter of 2019,” writes UCLA Anderson Professor Emeritus Edward Leamer. Leamer is quoted in a recent report produced by the UCLA Anderson School of Management. According to Leamer, the data actually increases the risk of a recession at some point in the next couple of years. Nationally, economic growth is expected to slow marginally to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 and 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020. RELATED: Fed cuts interest rates for the first time since recessionThe good news is that the report predicts an economic rebound, growing again to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. So what picture does the report paint for California? One forecaster says you can expect California unemployment to rise modestly. “Weakness in housing as well as the slowing U.S. economy is reflected in a very modest growth rate in the U.S. in late 2020,” UCLA Anderson Forecast director Jerry Nickelsburg writes. “As a consequence, we expect California’s average unemployment rate to rise slightly to an average of 4.6% in the first quarter of 2021. For the entire year for 2020 and 2021, we expect average unemployment rates of 4.3% and 4.4%, respectively.”Meanwhile, personal income growth in the state of California is forecast at 2.9 percent in 2019. But the report warns that income growth is expected to slow to 1.9 percent by 2020.It’s not all bad news, however, income growth is expected to rise fairly quickly again in 2021, and is forecast to reach 2.1 percent by the end of the year. There's more good news. The Federal Reserve Wednesday lowered interest rates for the first time since the Great Recession in 2008 to help prevent an economic downturn. 1936

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Firefighters in San Diego are rallying around a beloved firefighter suddenly in the fight of his life, after a cancer diagnosis."His nickname is 'Big Joe,' because he's bigger than life," said firefighter Russell Castillo.Castillo says Engineer/Paramedic Joe Odom, 49, is known as the light switch in a room."His smile lights up a room. His energy lights up a room. He makes everyone feel valued ... It’s our time to return that love," said Castillo.It’s been an emotional time for the 23-year veteran of San Diego Fire-Rescue. He recently discovered some swelling in his groin area. Doctors diagnosed him with lymphoma, cancer that begins in the immune system. He’s awaiting more testing for a prognosis.It comes as Odom’s wife Lisa battles serious health issues, including a lung condition and lupus."She’s giving me inspiration for what’s she’s been through," said Odom.Lisa is immunocompromised. Odom, as a paramedic on the front lines, has been trying to keep her safe, while still serving the community during a pandemic."It's scary for a lot of folks. I just want to be there, anyway I know how ... Just feel like I need be out there," said Odom.A help now on pause as he begins his cancer battle, and he’ll be far from alone."I feel like I'm in this dark places but God is bringing all these people to me," said Odom.Firefighters from Odom’s Station 26 in Oak Park have helped organize a fundraiser, including a meal train, along with countless messages of support."It's our time to show how much we love him," said Castillo."I'm speechless of the support I’m getting. Puts a smile on my face, happiness in my heart. Making it a little easier to get through this. I’m embracing that," said Odom. 1730

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Grammy-winning singer-songwriter Melissa Etheridge will headline 45th annual San Diego Pride Festival this summer on July 14. Tickets for the festival can be found here, ranging from to 0 for the VIP option. A limited number of meet-and-greet tickets were offered, but don't appear to be available on the website.“To my LGBTQ fans in San Diego and around the world, I have so much to thank you for,” said Etheridge. “You are the proof that we can become the change we wish to see. This community makes me a better person every day and this year at San Diego Pride, we will raise our spirits to the heavens and rock ‘til we drop!”RELATED: The Black Keys to stop in San Diego on tour with fellow indie rockers Modest MouseMore than 90 musical acts across four stages are planned for the two-day festival. This year's theme is "Stonewall 50: A Legacy of Liberation" to commemorate the 50th anniversary of the Stonewall Riots and its effect on the LGBTQ community.“As we celebrate the 50th anniversary of the Stonewall Riots that launched the modern-day LGBTQ civil rights movement, our Pride theme is A Legacy of Liberation, and I can think of no one better to embody that spirit than Melissa Etheridge,” said Fernando López, executive director of San Diego Pride. “Her decades of meaningful music and inspired advocacy continue to connect the LGBTQ community and carve a better path forward both here and around the world.”RELATED: Jennifer Lopez announces San Diego show on 'It's My Party' tourEtheridge, a rock icon and avid LGBTQ advocate, joins a list of previous headliners including Ke$ha, TLC, Kathy Griffin, JoJo, Margaret Cho, and others. Etheridge's "I'm the Only One" peaked on the Billboard Hot 100 at #8 in 1995 and spent 40 weeks on the chart. Eight of her other songs have cracked the Top 100 since 1989. Her new album, “The Medicine Show,” will be released April 12. RELATED: San Diego Symphony Summer Pops concert series announcedSan Diego Pride's festival draws more than 40,000 visitors and features vendors, educational and art exhibits, and cultural presentations. The San Diego Pride Parade is billed as the largest single-day civic event in San Diego and one of the largest pride parades in the country.Proceeds from the festival and parade benefit San Diego Pride's education and advocacy programs. 2355

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- He's known as "The Master of Disaster."Dr. Randall Bell is a real estate damage economist with Landmark Research Group."I basically focus on properties that have been damaged. It can be environmental damage, geotechnical, landslide, and of course, crime scenes come up all the time, and that creates a lot of interest," said Bell.Bell has studied several of San Diego's infamous homes. The former Fallbrook home of Summer and Joseph McStay is one of them."The McStay property is really a mess because sadly, four people died, and anytime children are involved in a crime, that really turns up the dial when it comes to the residual stigma on the property," said Bell.Last January, a jury sentenced Chase Merritt to the death penalty for killing the family with a sledgehammer and then burying their bodies in a shallow grave in the desert.The family disappeared in 2010; more than three years later, their bodies were found.Merritt and Joseph McStay had been business associates.The Spreckels Mansion in Coronado is another infamous home in San Diego County.Coronado-based real estate agent Scott Aurich first sold the historic property to Jonah Shacknai in 2007."You know that history was so documented, both with newspaper and with media, all kinds of stories going on like that, everybody pretty much knew what happened, but we shared it," said Aurich.What happened inside the home is still a mystery to many, including Aurich."I probably was as close to this as anybody in terms of knowing the players, and I still couldn't tell you what happened," said Aurich.In 2011, Jonah Shacknai's six-year-old son Max fell from the second story banister. At the time, Shacknai's girlfriend, Rebecca Zahau, was caring for Max. A few days later, the child died from his injuries, and Zahau was found bound, gagged, and naked hanging from a second-story balcony.Although Max's death was ruled an accident and Zahau's a suicide, Zahau’s family has always maintained that she was murdered. Adam Shacknai, Jonah's brother, was found liable for her death in a civil suit.Aurich sold the home last March for million, roughly 35% lower than the market value."The house itself is more a piece of Coronado's rich history in the architecture of the house," said Aurich.Farther north in Escondido, there was another notorious home. The so-called bomb factory generated national headlines just weeks before Christmas in 2010."The guy who had the bombs, he was a renter. So, the landlord is the one kind of stuck with the problem," said Bell.Investigators say the rental home of George Jakubec was home to the most massive cache of homemade explosives in a single spot in the United States. The property was so dangerous that the sheriff's department ultimately decided to do a remote-controlled burn of the house.Today, it's a concrete slab with no trespassing signs. It's unclear what the owner plans to do with it. Jakubec is serving a 30-year prison sentence."What people don't realize is that stigma goes to the site, so even though the house is gone, there can still be a stigma there even though that was 10 years ago, it can linger," said Bell.It's been nearly 30 years since a La Jolla socialite named Betty Broderick killed her ex-husband and his new wife as they slept. The Marston Hills home has been the focus of a book and movie.Bell has tracked multiple sales of the house since the murders. He said it has struggled to keep up with market value."Crime scene stigma is interesting, you can have anything from no impact and rare situations, but it does happen, to 100% impact, I've seen cases where there's a premium paid, that's very unusual, typically, you see a 10 to 25 % loss of value," said Bell.There is one property that stands out the most to the international appraiser."I'm often asked which is the most bizarre case, and I think it comes back to Heaven’s Gate," said Bell.A Rancho Santa Fe Mansion was the scene of the Heaven's Gate cult and the largest mass suicide on U.S. soil. Thirty-nine members of the cult drank a lethal cocktail for three days back in 1997.In the end, neighbors pitched in to buy the home and tear it down. Even the street was renamed."What I saw in the house was disturbing. The house was demolished, I've never seen a more thorough job done in terms of demolishing everything, the tennis courts, the swimming pool, the fences, the lawn, absolutely 100% of everything, the site has been rebuilt on, but, as I say, the stigma goes to the site, so there could still be lingering issues," said Bell. 4559

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Gas service was restored for all customers in the Mission Valley area impacted by this week's massive gas leak. 138