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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Economic forecasters are beginning to warn of a possible 2020 recession, and the impact they say will be felt in the Golden State, according to a new report by UCLA.“Don’t celebrate the 3.1% GDP growth estimate for the first quarter of 2019,” writes UCLA Anderson Professor Emeritus Edward Leamer. Leamer is quoted in a recent report produced by the UCLA Anderson School of Management. According to Leamer, the data actually increases the risk of a recession at some point in the next couple of years. Nationally, economic growth is expected to slow marginally to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 and 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020. RELATED: Fed cuts interest rates for the first time since recessionThe good news is that the report predicts an economic rebound, growing again to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. So what picture does the report paint for California? One forecaster says you can expect California unemployment to rise modestly. “Weakness in housing as well as the slowing U.S. economy is reflected in a very modest growth rate in the U.S. in late 2020,” UCLA Anderson Forecast director Jerry Nickelsburg writes. “As a consequence, we expect California’s average unemployment rate to rise slightly to an average of 4.6% in the first quarter of 2021. For the entire year for 2020 and 2021, we expect average unemployment rates of 4.3% and 4.4%, respectively.”Meanwhile, personal income growth in the state of California is forecast at 2.9 percent in 2019. But the report warns that income growth is expected to slow to 1.9 percent by 2020.It’s not all bad news, however, income growth is expected to rise fairly quickly again in 2021, and is forecast to reach 2.1 percent by the end of the year. There's more good news. The Federal Reserve Wednesday lowered interest rates for the first time since the Great Recession in 2008 to help prevent an economic downturn. 1936

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Even though many local businesses have struggled amid the pandemic and San Diego County saw an unprecedented spike in unemployment in the second quarter, there has not been a significant jump in the number of empty retail storefronts -- at least not yet.The vacancy rate in San Diego County ticked up slightly to 5.6 percent in the second quarter, according to an analysis by commercial real estate firm CBRE.Vacancies tend to be a lagging indicator. Large national chains like 24 Hour Fitness and Pier 1 Imports have announced closures in recent weeks, but the businesses are still occupying their commercial spaces. 24 Hour Fitness is closing four clubs in San Diego County. Pier 1 Imports is closing all 11 of its local stores; four of those locations have already closed.While vacancies take time, the pandemic has slowed the region’s commercial real estate market in other ways, said CBRE Associate Field Research Director Michael Combs.New leasing activity in the retail sector dropped to nearly a 10-year low in the second quarter, down nearly 50 percent from the first three months of 2020.“There just haven't been a lot of new deals as tenants especially in retail are waiting to see how this situation plays out,” he said.The slowdown in new leasing activity may be a sign that companies are holding off on plans to expand operations, since new leases with larger footprints are typically signed far in advance. 1448

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Every prom is memorable, but only one is truly an "Unforgettable Prom." Yet just like so many momentous occasions this year, the Unforgettable Prom had to be canceled. But its legacy lives on, touching lives 20 years later."Scott was an amazing young man. Sorry. He was very charismatic," says Carmen Delgadillo.Twenty years and Carmen Delgadillo still gets choked up talking about her son Scott. At 13, Scott Delgadillo was diagnosed with leukemia. He was determined to beat cancer because he was driven to one day attend Notre Dame, he was a fighter, and was surrounded by loyal friends who would always visit him in the hospital."Scott had a lot of friends that would come to visit, and some of the other kids did not. So, he would ask his friends, 'Hey, can you stop by and see my friend?' That's how Scott was; he brought people together," adds Carmen.Those same friends planned to take Scott to the Winter Formal that year. Unfortunately, Scott's sickness got worse, and he passed away shortly after. But his legacy was just beginning."Shortly after his passing, a nurse at Rady Children's Hospital, a nurse that took care of him, stopped me and asked if we would be interested in putting together a prom for the teenagers at Rady's Hospital," says Carmen.So, Carmen and Scott's friends got together and created the Friends of Scott Foundation. Teenagers with cancer and other illnesses, many too sick to attend their own proms, get the red-carpet treatment here at the Unforgettable Prom. Everything from the limos to the boys' tuxes, to the girls' gowns, and everything in between is taken care of for them."This is a way that they just forget about everything, and it's a free night from cancer. And we're very, very proud of this event," adds Carmen.But like most proms this year, the Unforgettable Prom had to be canceled. Instead, Carmen and the foundation are working to gather donations to create care packages for those teenagers suffering from illnesses and their families."We are providing gift cards, whether it be groceries or gas to help some of these families out during the pandemic," says a smiling Carmen.Now, 20 years later, Carmen Delgadillo and her volunteers have impacted and touched thousands of lives in the memory of her son Scott."I'd like to say how many lives have touched me," says Carmen. "Some of these kids are now parents. I've got to meet their children. They've gone on with their lives, some of these kids have gone on to college. So, all those lives that have been part of Scott and his legacy." 2566

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Former Major League Baseball pitcher Esteban Loaiza is now facing a federal charge in his drug possession case. 138

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Friday, Oct. 4 marks perhaps San Diego's favorite food holiday National Taco Day.Across San Diego, chain and local taco purveyors are celebrating by offering some delicious deals on Friday.Local spots Puesto, Sandbar, and On the Border have special deals for San Diegans to enjoy, with nationwide stops like Rubio's, Del Taco, and Taco Bell (kind of) are celebrating with deals.Exploring San Diego: Odd-sounding tacos with serious flavorTaco Deals:Puesto (locations in San Diego and La Jolla): Head to any Puesto location and enjoy a Taco of the Month (Pescado a la Veracruzana) when dining in on National Taco Day. Puesto is also celebrating their future Mission Valley location with a special pop up at the Mission Center Road site with free tacos.Sandbar (718 Ventura Place, Pacific Beach): Grab tacos at Sandbar all day Friday along with Happy Hour specials from 4 p.m. - 7 p.m.Rubio's Coastal Grill: Bring in this coupon to participating Rubio's locations on Friday and get any a la carte taco free with a drink purchase.Baja Fresh: Enjoy buy one, get one free tacos on Friday at Baja Fresh. Follow them on Instagram or Facebook, where they'll post a barcode required to redeem the BOGO taco.On the Border (locations in Mission Valley, Mira Mesa, and Escondido): On the Border is offering endless tacos for .99 all day for National Taco Day.El Pollo Loco: For National Taco Day, El Pollo Loco will donate one taco to someone in need for every Taco al Carbon sold. The promotion is part of the chain's Buy One, Feed Many promotion supporting local charities fighting food insecurity.Del Taco: Del Taco is offering a free taco for anyone who makes a purchase using the Del Taco mobile app and a Beyond Taco or Beyond Avocado Taco for free with any purchase through the app.Taco Bell: Celebrate National Taco Day with an exclusive National Taco Day "gift set" that includes two crunchy tacos and two Nacho Cheese Doritos Locos tacos.Chronic Tacos: Chronic Tacos is giving away free tacos to anyone who gives the code word "Tacolife" at the register on Friday. The closest location is in Temecula. 2133