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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — There could be as many as 78 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines available by the end of 2020, according to the most optimistic timeline in leaked documents from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.But assuming that the vaccine will require two doses per individual, that figure would only be enough to inoculate the highest priority individuals, based on draft guidelines released this week from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.“We’re not even going to get through Phase 1 people” in 2020, said Dr. Mary Barger, an epidemiologist at the University of San Diego.There are an estimated 44 million people in NASEM’S Phase 1 group: frontline healthcare workers, first responders, people with multiple high-risk factors, and adults living in nursing homes and other group settings.Based on leaked CDC guidance to states published by the New York Times, if two vaccine candidates become available in October, there would be enough doses for 39 million people by the end of 2020 -- not quite enough to cover the entire Phase 1 group.If only one vaccine is available by October, the projections suggest there could be enough doses to cover 13 to 26 million people.That might only be enough for frontline healthcare workers and first responders, of which there are an estimated 17 million.Healthcare workers and first responders get the highest priority, which NASEM calls Phase 1a, so they can maintain the integrity of the healthcare system.“When there’s a pandemic, you want to make sure you have enough people to take care of those that are sick,” said Dr. Abisola Olulade of Sharp Rees-Stealy Medical Group.Phase 1b includes individuals with multiple underlying conditions, like cancer, chronic kidney disease, and serious heart conditions.Approximately 75% of adults hospitalized for COVID-19 in the U.S. between March 1 and August 15 had at least two underlying conditions, according to data from the COVID-19 Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network cited in the NASEM guidelines. More than 60% of hospitalized adults had three or more underlying conditions.“It would make sense that you would include a segment of the population that’s at risk of doing the worst,” said Dr. Peter Chin-Hong, an infectious disease specialist at UC San Francisco.There are an estimated 27 million people in the Phase 1b category.Critical workers in high-risk industries like grocery store clerks, mail carriers, and bus drivers would be in Phase 2, along with teachers, homeless people, prisoners, people with moderately risky underlying conditions, and anyone over the age of 65.“Even though people 65 and older make up less than 20% of the population, there have been 80% of COVID-19 deaths in this age,” Dr. Olulade said.Risk factors including high blood pressure, liver disease, or moderate-to-severe asthma would qualify an individual for Phase 2.There are an estimated 27 million people in this phase.In Phase 3, NASEM recommends inoculating people who are at lower risk of a bad infection but may be vectors for the spread of disease, including young people and children.NASEM noted that it will be “critical to conduct additional trials to gain better understanding of safety and efficacy of COVID-19 vaccine among children before they receive the vaccine.” Currently, there are no COVID vaccine trials that include children.Other essential workers at moderate risk of exposure would also be included in Phase 3, including employees in restaurants, hotels, hair salons, and exercise facilities.Phase 4 includes everyone else. 3589

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — This month, there are plenty of fun, free ways to enjoy Halloween and fall with your family and kids.Around San Diego County, numerous celebrations keep the spooky fun going all month, from Legoland's Brick-or-Treat Party Nights to Chula Vista's Villains in the Village takeover.Some events are free for families and others may require purchased admission. (And don't forget, it's Kids Free October!) But all are sure to be a frightfully fun time for everyone.Legoland Brick-or-Treat Party Nights (Sept. 29 - Oct. 26): The Halloween season is alive and well at Legoland Park, where kids can enjoy new live entertainment, character meet-and-greets, costume contests, treat stations, and special Lego building activities.SeaWorld's Halloween Spooktacular (Sept. 21 - Oct. 27): SeaWorld celebrates the fall season with spooky live shows, Halloween activities, scavenger hunts, special Dia de los Muertos celebrations, and trick-or-treating throughout the theme park.Belmont Fall Fest (Oct. 4 - Nov. 30): Kids can celebrate the fall season with free trick-or-treating, pumpkin painting, fall-themed rides and attractions, a spooky escape room, costume contests, and a new hazy maze to escape. HalGLOween at the San Diego Zoo (Oct. 11 - 27): Spooky fun takes over the San Diego Zoo, as the park celebrates Halloween with bubble dance parties and hula-hooping activities, a spirited "boo-crew" traveling through the park, themed-entertainment and shows, and featured animal encounters for the month. Villains in the Village (Oct. 19): Families are invited to stroll Chula Vista's Third Avenue as villains take over for frightfully fun selfies, eerie children's activities, delicious eats and drinks, and a costume contest during the Village holiday takeover.Haunted Tales abroad the Star of India (Oct. 19 & 26): The Maritime Museum presents a haunting escape aboard the world's oldest active sailing ship, the Star of India. Guests will be treated to an evening filled with ghost tales and tours of the historic vessel.Hauntfest on Main (Oct. 25): Tons of family Halloween fun will line Main St. in downtown El Cajon this season, where families can check out costume contests, carnival rides and games, face painting, live entertainment, a pumpkin patch, crafts, and much more.Trick-or-Treat on India Street (Oct. 25): Grab your spookiest or silliest costume and trick-or-treat in Little Italy during this family-friendly event with India Street's businesses. Stops will be giving out candy in this safe trick-or-treating excursion along with more fun down the street.Mall-O-Ween Monster Mash (Oct. 26): Hazard Center is bringing together tons of fun for kids with carnival rides, arts and crafts, a costume contest, prizes, live music, and more to celebrate the Halloween season, benefiting the Angels Foster Family Network.Balboa Park Halloween Family Day (Oct. 26): Balboa Park is bringing back their annual Halloween-time celebration with dozens of free crafts for kids, Dia de los Muertos-themed activities, free child's admission at participating museums, carnival games, live entertainment, parades, food trucks, and more.Halloween at the Station (Oct. 27): Liberty Station's free event invites families out for a day of trick-or-treating throughout the Liberty Station Arts District, live music and entertainment, arts and crafts, costume contests, games, and more Halloween surprises about. 3426

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — The threat of coronavirus still is looming and combined with a new problem of bad air quality from west coast wildfires, means there are now more reasons to wear masks, but not all masks will protect against both.The CDC currently recommends the public wear masks with two or more layers over their nose and mouth to stop the spread of COVID-19. In regards to the particulate matter in the air because of wildfire smoke, the cloth coverings are not enough protection.“If you’re wearing a cloth mask for COVID, it doesn’t necessarily mean you’re protected from those microscopic smoke particles that can still be breathed in,” said Robert Reider, Interim Director of the San Diego Air Pollution Control District, or SDAPCD.Reider said the air in Southern California has been some of the worst in the world through the past week. This is because of the multiple wildfires burning in Northern California, Oregon, and Washington. The winds are pulling the smoke south and it’s settling in places like San Diego, creating hazy and unsafe conditions. Reider said the winds are expected to shift around Friday, meaning the haze should clear after that.In the meantime, Sharp Rees-Stealy physician Jyotu Sandhu said N95 masks are the best protection against wildfire smoke. He added that individuals should assess their own health when determining how seriously they need to take the smoke. People with lung or breathing issues like asthma and COPD should be more aware of the smoke.The SDAPCD issued a Wildfire Smoke Advisory because of the impacts. The air quality will range between "moderate" and "unhealthy for sensitive groups" through Thursday. Sandhu said he’s had patients asking if it’s safe to exercise in the smoke. He said if a person is healthy, they can go outside but should consider spending less time outdoors than usual. For example, if a healthy person runs outside for an hour a day, it might be smart to cut that time in half and only run for half an hour in the smoke. He said if possible, exercising indoors is safer than outside while the smoke persists. 2098

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Three people have been arrested after a man was found dead in a drainage ditch near Fox Canyon in February. According to San Diego Police, Steven Chavez, 32, Peter Burgos, 45, and Jesus Faraj, 41, were all arrested from September 11 through the 17 on charges related to the murder. Police say Faraj was already in prison for an unrelated charges. RELATED: San Diego police investigate body found in drainage ditchThe body of 32-year-old Jimmy Khieu was found in a drainage ditch behind 5100 Auburn Drive on February 3, 2019. Police say Khieu had trauma to his upper body. Anyone with information on the incident is asked to call San Diego Police at 619-531-2293 or Crime Stoppers at 888-580-8477. 725

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- The San Diego Padres are responding after a radio host sent out what they are calling an offensive tweet.The tweet, sent out by a Twitter account known as “Kevin Klein LIVE," was a photo of the Coronado Bridge with the text “JUMP*....*to a new morning show.”“Mental illness and suicide are not joking matters,” said San Diego Padres Executive Chairman Ron Fowler and General Partner Peter Seidler.The Padres entered into an agreement with Entercom, the company that owns the radio station, for pre and post-game coverage.Read the full statement from the Padres below: 605