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President Donald Trump on Thursday said he believes Jamal Khashoggi is dead, more than two weeks after the Saudi journalist entered a Saudi consulate in Turkey never to be seen again.The President said he is still waiting for the results of Saudi and Turkish investigations before offering his definitive assessment of the situation. But he indicated that Saudi Arabia will face "severe" consequences if the Kingdom is found to be involved in Khashoggi's death."It certainly looks that way to me, it's very sad," the President said on Thursday when asked if Khashoggi is dead.Asked about consequences for Saudi Arabia if it is found to be involved in his killing, Trump said: "Well it'll have to be severe, I mean it's bad, bad stuff. We'll see what happens. Ok?"Trump's comments came hours after Secretary of State Mike Pompeo returned from a diplomatic mission to Saudi Arabia and Turkey and briefed Trump on Thursday morning in the Oval Office. Both Trump and Pompeo appeared to be buying time for the Kingdom on Thursday saying they were waiting on the results of both Saudi Arabia and Turkey's investigations into the matter before issuing a definitive statement about Khashoggi's death and any possible US action.Trump said he is "waiting for the results" of those investigations, after which he pledged to make "a very strong statement."Even as evidence has mounted that Khashoggi was killed in the Saudi consulate over the last two weeks, Trump has resisted weighing in on Khashoggi's fate, merely saying that he was "very concerned" about the situation and that he hoped the Saudi king and crown prince had no prior knowledge of the matter.And instead of heeding bipartisan calls from lawmakers in Washington to impose stiff consequences on Saudi Arabia and acknowledge that Khashoggi was likely killed by Saudi agents, the President has stressed the importance of the US-Saudi relationship and said he opposes rescinding a US-Saudi arms deal.After returning from Saudi Arabia and Turkey, Pompeo urged Trump to give the Saudis a few more days to release their conclusions. The US secretary of state promised the US would assess the credibility of the Saudi investigation.Trump so far has indicated he might be willing to accept Saudi claims that King Salman and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the kingdom's de facto ruler had no knowledge of Khashoggi's death. Last week after he spoke to the Saudi king, Trump pointed to a theory that "rogue killers" may have killed Khashoggi.But on Thursday, Saudi Arabia felt the first repercussions from the US for its alleged role in Khashoggi's killing, with Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin pulling out of a planned appearance at a Saudi investment conference last week. An administration official said no US officials would attend the conference in his stead.And yet even that decision came only after several of Mnuchin's European counterparts pulled out of the conference and following a string of high-profile withdrawals from top US CEOs.Trump has proceeded extremely cautiously in the two weeks since Khashoggi disappeared in the Saudi consulate, refraining from drawing any conclusions and stressing the importance of the US-Saudi relationship.The Trump administration has staked much of its policy agenda in the Middle East on a strong US-Saudi relationship, one the President's son-in-law and senior adviser Jared Kushner has helped draw closer through his personal relationship with Crown Prince Mohammed.Kushner has advised Trump to proceed slowly and cautiously on the Saudi matter and not to be pressured into a quick decision amid heated rhetoric from lawmakers calling for stiff sanctions against Saudi Arabia, two people familiar with the matter said.The US needs Saudi support on a whole range of issues from funding for Syria's reconstruction and the fight against extremists there, to getting Saudi financial support for a Middle East peace plan.Most crucially, the White House needs Saudi Arabia to keep international oil markets steady as they confront Iran and introduce new energy sanctions against countries that purchase Iranian oil starting November 4. 4139

Predicting the outcome of elections can sometimes be easy. Other years, it is not. Professor Allan Lichtman has predicted every election since 1984, using a model he developed alongside Soviet Union scientists.One of Lichtman's proudest achievements was accurately predicting the 2016 election. President Donald Trump signed a Washington Post article about Lichtman in recent years with his autograph and the phrase "good call."THE METHODLichtman doesn't look at polls."Polls are not predictors, they are misused as predictors," Lichtman said.Instead, Lichtman looks at the political party currently controlling the White House. Then he uses 13 keys to gauge whether the party controlling the White House will lose or not.They are: midterm gains, no contest in the primary, incumbency, no third party, strong short-term economy, strong long-term economy, major policy change, no social unrest, no scandal, no overseas failure, major overseas achievement, charismatic incumbent, uncharismatic opponent."If six or more, any six more, turn against the party holding the White House, they are a predicted loser," Luchtman said.2020 PREDICTIONLichtman says before 2020, Trump appeared to be heading to a reelection. However Trump has now lost seven keys.In Lichtman's opinion, Trump has lost midterm gains, short term economy, long-term economy, no social unrest, no scandal, major overseas achievement, and charismatic incumbent."Could I be wrong? Of course human beings are wrong. But my keys have quite a track record," Lichtman said. 1541

President Donald Trump said Tuesday that his pick to lead the Department of Veterans Affairs, Dr. Ronny Jackson, "is one of the finest people I have ever met" but acknowledged he lacks experience in running a government agency."There's a lack of experience," he said.Trump said he hadn't heard particular allegations against Jackson but defended him and said he was being unfairly treated by the press and Democrats."I told Admiral Jackson just a little while ago, what do you need this for? This is a vicious group of people, they malign ... what do you need it for?" the President said he asked."He's an admiral, he's a great leader, and they question him for every little thing," Trump said.But he said he would leave it up to Jackson whether to continue pursuing confirmation."He is a high-quality person. It's totally his decision. So he'll be making a decision," he said. "I don't want to put a man through a process like this. It's too ugly and too disgusting."Trump said if he was Jackson making the decision, he would step aside."If I were him, I wouldn't do it," Trump said.  1098

President Donald Trump on Thursday blamed the news media for the angry political climate as a serial bomber continues to send suspicious packages to Democrat politicians and news organizations."A very big part of the Anger we see today in our society is caused by the purposely false and inaccurate reporting of the Mainstream Media that I refer to as Fake News. It has gotten so bad and hateful that it is beyond description. Mainstream Media must clean up its act, FAST!" Trump tweeted.Trump's comments come a day after CNN's New York offices were evacuated after a suspicious package addressed to former CIA Director John Brennan was discovered in the building's mailroom.Trump made similar comments at a political rally in Wisconsin on Wednesday, saying the  "the media also has a responsibility to set a civil tone and to stop the endless hostility."Trump took a more muted tone on Wednesday afternoon prior to his rally, hours after packages containing explosive devices had been intercepted before they were delivered to his political rivals Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama."In these times, we have to unify, we have to come together, send a message that acts or threats of political violence of any kind have no place in the United States of America," Trump said.Just last week, at a political rally in Montana, Trump recalled fondly that Rep. Greg Gianforte (R-Montana) once assaulted a reporter, saying that "any guy that can do a body slam, he's my kind of guy."  1508

President Donald Trump is upset with White House press secretary Sarah Sanders over her responses Wednesday regarding his alleged affair with porn star Stormy Daniels, a source close to the White House tells CNN.Daniels, whose legal name is Stephanie Clifford, filed suit against Trump this week alleging he hadn't signed a nondisclosure agreement that would have prevented her from discussing their alleged sexual affair.On Wednesday, Sanders told reporters that the arbitration was won "in the President's favor." The statement is an admission that the nondisclosure agreement exists, and that it directly involves the President. It is the first time the White House has admitted the President was involved in any way with Daniels."POTUS is very unhappy," the source said. "Sarah gave the Stormy Daniels storyline steroids yesterday."Trump's personal lawyer has said the President "vehemently denies" any sexual encounter between the two.  954

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