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BEIJING, Aug. 8 -- China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates. That may mean a departure from the rising spiral of inflation after it peaked at an annualized 8.7 percent in February. Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said his team's research found the July consumer price index (CPI), the main barometer of inflation, may drop to 6.7 percent year-on-year from 7.1 percent in June. The domestic Bank of Communications research arm said the figure could fall at 6.4 percent, which is also the estimate of Southwest Securities. China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates. One of the reasons why prices are stable is that there has been no flooding, a regular feature of the rainy seaon, said Sun of Lehman Brothers. Daily price data from the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Development and Reform Commission show that agricultural product prices rose only slightly in July while meat prices fell. Weekly price data released by the Ministry of Commerce also showed a moderate decline in food prices. The relatively high statistical base of last July also contributed to the drop in inflation this July, said Guo Tianyong, economist with the Central University of Finance and Economics. China's CPI hit 5.6 percent year-on-year last July, the first time it reached the 5-percent level that year. "If no major natural disaster hits China in August, CPI could fall below 6 percent in August, providing more room for the government to remove its price controls," said Sun. Economists said that without many unexpected incidence, it will gradually ease to around 5 percent by the year-end. A possible price liberalization of oil products, however, should not be a one-off adjustment, which will put a huge pressure on the country's battle against inflation, Guo said. China raised the prices of oil products and electricity late June. Analysts said that once the inflation pressure eases, policymakers may start a second round of price liberalization, which may lead to a rebound in CPI. If such liberalization moves are indeed made, they should be done in phases, not in one go, said Guo. Only that will ensure inflation does not peak again, as it did in February. The pressure from the rising producer price index (PPI), which gauges ex-factory prices and influences CPI, may be a concern, but even taking into consideration its impact, consumer inflation may no longer exceed the February peak in the coming months and the first half of next year "The worst times are behind us," said Dong Xianan, macroeconomic analyst with Southwest Securities. "From the second half of last year, the tightenting stance had been obvious, which is a pre-emptive move to ensure the current easing of inflation." Macroeconomic growth The economic growth may gradually slow down in the rest of the year, analysts said, but the fine-tuning of policies would shore it up. Dong from Southwest Securities forecasts that given the current growth momentum, the whole-year figure for GDP growth may be 10.1 percent, well below the 11.9 percent of last year. Other estimates are around the 10 percent mark. The global economic slow-down, which reduces external demand for China's exports, will bring much trouble to China, but its domestic consumption and investment will remain stable, analysts said. More importantly, the central authorities may adjust its tight policies to cater to individual demand of regions and sectors that have found it difficult to survive the tightened policies.
BEIJING, Sept. 9 (Xinhua) -- "Teaching is the most splendid profession under the sun," said Premier Wen Jiabao on Tuesday, while meeting with elementary and high school teachers at his office in central Beijing, to mark Teachers' Day, which falls on Sept. 10 every year. Prior to their meeting, Wen showed his visitors around at the former office room of late Premier Zhou Enlai, in the Zhongnanhai compound, where both the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee and the State Council are headquartered. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (Front) shows teachers around the Zhongnanhai compound, where both the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and China's State Council (Cabinet) are headquartered, in central Beijing, China, Sept. 9, 2008. Wen Jiabao on Tuesday invited eight elementary and high school teachers to his office to jointly celebrate the Teachers' Day, which falls on Sept. 10As a beloved State and Party leader for the Chinese people, Zhou has been a banner for all with his lofty character and style, said the premier, who is also a member of the Standing Committee of the CPC Central Committee Political Bureau. During their talks, the premier asked the guests to give their comments on the proposed long-term outline on the country's educational reform and development. Tan Guoqiang, principal of the Yingxiu Elementary School in Wenchuan County of Sichuan Province, urged the government to deal with the issues of payment, academic titles and housing for rural teachers. Wen told Tan that the government will give top priority to rural education and improve the teaching conditions in the countryside by "building schools in the safest places." Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (C Front) and State Councilor Liu Yandong (1st R Front) pose for a group photo with teachers in the Zhongnanhai compound, where both the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and China's State Council (Cabinet) are headquartered, in central Beijing, China, Sept. 9, 2008Wenchuan was the epicenter of the deadly May 12 earthquake, which left more than 80,000 dead or missing and millions of homeless, including thousands of young students who died in collapsed school buildings. Tan is the only one among the eight visitors to come from outside Beijing. The other seven also gave their opinions on a series of issues including the current educational reform, and professional training, compulsory education for schoolchildren of migrant workers from rural areas. In his speech, the premier urged entrepreneurs to contribute more to the educational sector. "For entrepreneurs, the best way to pay back society is to invest in education," he said, in reply to a proposal by Liu Pengzhi, president of a local high school, who called for multiplying the resources of investment for education. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (C Rear) and State Councilor Liu Yandong (2nd R Rear) meet with teachers in Beijing, China, Sept. 9, 2008Wen supported Zhong Zhu, a 33-year old teacher from the No. 35 Middle School of Beijing, in his call for establishing parental schools and increasing awareness about responsibilities, rights and psychological health among students. He urged teachers to love students, students to respect teachers, and society to give priority to education. "Set students free, and not only allow them more hours to play, as well as give them more time to conduct sporting, thinking, practicing, and understanding society," said the premier. In his keynote address, Wen called education a "foundation stone" for the nation. China will be built into a first-class country with a first-class education system and first-class talents, he stressed. Teachers should be far-sighted, patriotic and faithful to their profession, said the premier. He urged teachers to set a good example for students, be more creative so that they can train more creative talents, and make greater efforts to obtain new knowledge to keep pace with the times. At the end of his speech, Wen showed his profound gratefulness, love and respect for teachers, especially those working in remote, rural and poverty-stricken areas. After the talks, Wen had a brief lunch with his visitors
BEIJING, Sept. 29 (Xinhua) -- Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao has vowed to provide foreign experts serving China with better working and living conditions. Wen made the remark in meeting with 50 chosen foreign specialists and their families at the Great Hall of People here on Monday, in which he issued the experts Friendship Award of the year on behalf of the Chinese government. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (L. Front) shakes hands with a foreign expert at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, on Sept. 29, 2008. The Chinese Premier met with foreign experts who are honored with the Prize of Friendship and their families here on Monday.China had successfully hosted the Beijing Olympic Games, finished its third manned space mission and kept a positive trend in economic growth after overcoming the severe snow and quake disasters, Wen said. All the successes and achievements had come about because of the collective efforts of Chinese people as well as the support and concern of foreign experts and friends, he added. The premier told the award-winning experts that China would continue the policy of reform and opening up which had been proven to be the correct way of leading the country to prosperity, and which enjoyed its 30th anniversary this year. Wen said governments at all levels would strive to create better working and living conditions for foreign experts in China and protect their legal rights and interests to realize their career ideals. The Friendship Award is the top prize awarded by the Chinese government to foreign experts who make outstanding contributions to China's economic construction and social development. The 50 award receivers of the year 2008 come from 19 nations. They have been engaged in journalism, agriculture, education, health, engineering and other specialties. The Chinese government has given the award to 999 foreign experts from 58 countries since 1991.
BEIJING, Aug. 21 (Xinhua) -- China values its friendly ties with Cuba and is willing to work with Cuba to push bilateral relationship to a new height, Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang said on Thursday. Li made the remarks when meeting with Jose Ramon Fernandez Alvarez, vice president of the Cuban Council of Ministers, here on Thursday. Li said Sino-Cuban relations were at a new stage of development, as the two countries had maintained frequent high-level contact and increased economic cooperation and consultation in international affairs. Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang (R) meets with Jose Ramon Fernandez Alvarez, vice president of the Cuban Council of Ministers and also president of the Cuban Olympic Committee, in Beijing, China, Aug. 21, 2008. Li also congratulated the Cuban guest on the good performance of Cuban athletes at the Olympic Games. Fernandez, also president of the Cuban Olympic Committee, said Cuba would make new efforts to strengthen relations with China and believed the Games would be a total success. Li also met on Thursday with Tony Hayward, BP Group chief executive officer. Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang (R) meets with Tony Hayward, BP Group chief executive officer, in Beijing, China, Aug. 21, 2008. He said energy was an important resource for economic development and high oil prices had become a cause of concern for many countries. He said that nations should strengthen dialogue and cooperation to safeguard global energy security. China would take the scientific development outlook and adopt measures to save resources and reduce emissions, , the vice-premier said, adding China will improve the efficiency of energy consumption to pursue sustainable development. He hoped BP would expand cooperation with its Chinese partners to achieve a win-win deal. Hayward said his company would continue to strengthen cooperation with China.