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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Economic forecasters are beginning to warn of a possible 2020 recession, and the impact they say will be felt in the Golden State, according to a new report by UCLA.“Don’t celebrate the 3.1% GDP growth estimate for the first quarter of 2019,” writes UCLA Anderson Professor Emeritus Edward Leamer. Leamer is quoted in a recent report produced by the UCLA Anderson School of Management. According to Leamer, the data actually increases the risk of a recession at some point in the next couple of years. Nationally, economic growth is expected to slow marginally to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 and 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020. RELATED: Fed cuts interest rates for the first time since recessionThe good news is that the report predicts an economic rebound, growing again to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. So what picture does the report paint for California? One forecaster says you can expect California unemployment to rise modestly. “Weakness in housing as well as the slowing U.S. economy is reflected in a very modest growth rate in the U.S. in late 2020,” UCLA Anderson Forecast director Jerry Nickelsburg writes. “As a consequence, we expect California’s average unemployment rate to rise slightly to an average of 4.6% in the first quarter of 2021. For the entire year for 2020 and 2021, we expect average unemployment rates of 4.3% and 4.4%, respectively.”Meanwhile, personal income growth in the state of California is forecast at 2.9 percent in 2019. But the report warns that income growth is expected to slow to 1.9 percent by 2020.It’s not all bad news, however, income growth is expected to rise fairly quickly again in 2021, and is forecast to reach 2.1 percent by the end of the year. There's more good news. The Federal Reserve Wednesday lowered interest rates for the first time since the Great Recession in 2008 to help prevent an economic downturn. 1936
SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Feeding San Diego is adding additional pickup locations for San Diegans amid several closures in response to the coronavirus pandemic.Additional emergency food distribution will be set up at:South Bay: 3/17/20 | 2:00 p.m.Community through Hope465 C St., Chula Vista, Calif., 91910North Inland: 3/18/20 | 3:00 – 6:00 p.m.Community Food Connection14047 Twin Peaks Rd., Poway, Calif., 92064North Coastal: 3/19/20 | 10:30 a.m. – 6:30 p.m.Location: Brother Benno FoundationAddress: 3260 Production Ave., Oceanside, Calif., 92058East: 3/20/20 | 9:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m.Salvation Army El Cajon1025 E Main St., El Cajon, Calif., 92021 Central: 3/21/20 | 10:00 a.m.Labor CouncilSDCCU Stadium, 9449 Friars Rd., San Diego, Calif., 92108Northeast Lot“This is a time of solidarity. Even as we’re asked to stand six feet apart from each other, San Diego County is coming together to meet the needs of the community,” said Vince Hall, CEO of Feeding San Diego.RELATED: Food banks deal with impact of CoronavirusFeeding San Diego said it would continue operations and implement new distribution methods, including drive-thru and drop-and-go methods for social distancing.The organization said it is monitoring additional food distributions based on community input and needs. 1283
SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- For most San Diegans, recent rainfall is a welcomed change, but a recent abundance of storms may have some unintended consequences for the county. One expert says recent rain is already triggering allergies while at least one county department is wondering what the impact will be on San Diego’s mosquito population. Rain may affect mosquito populationsChris Conlan, Supervising Vector Ecologist for San Diego County, says it’s a bit too early to predict this year’s mosquito population. “It depends on several circumstances, not just the rainfall alone,” Conlan said. According to Conlan, warm temperatures and the timing of the rainfall also play a major role. “If there’s a lot of standing water still lying around when the warm weather kicks on, then yeah, that could mean that we get a slightly buggier start to the spring than what we would have liked.”Mosquitoes only breed in standing water. When San Diego gets a lot of rain, Conlan says areas that usually have standing water are flowing, minimizing the risk of mosquitoes breeding. “In very dry years you could still have mosquito problems because then, areas that might have otherwise been flowing, are now becoming stagnant.”Dry years in San Diego have actually been some of the worst for West Nile, Conlan said. “We’ve had some of our worst West Nile years during drought. It’s not entirely dependent on the rain.”Conlan says it’s too early in the season to know whether or not an increase in this year’s mosquito population is on the horizon. “It’s a little early to start making predictions. My crystal ball is in the shop at the moment,” Conlan said. Conlan says in a normal year, mosquito season starts in April and ends in October or November. Though it’s unclear when this year’s mosquito season will begin, the county is urging everyone to take action by making sure there’s no standing water around their homes and in backyards. “If it can hold water it can probably breed mosquitoes,” Conlan said. One thing the county is keeping a close eye on are several new species of mosquitoes that have the capability to transmit new tropical diseases.The mosquitoes are fairly new here and have only been in the county for about four years, Conlan said. Further research is needed to determine exactly why the mosquitoes have all of a sudden decided to call San Diego home. “(The new mosquitoes) now bring the unfortunate opportunity for things like say Zika or Dengue to go ahead and potentially be transmitted here.”Conlan says, though no human transmission of such diseases have happened yet in San Diego County, the more people can do to mitigate the risk, the better. “What we don’t want to see is for people to let their guard down and then have some places where those mosquitoes become very locally abundant.”“If that were to occur, it would raise the possibility that, if someone were to return from a trip infected with one of these diseases, those mosquitoes could pick it up and transmit it to someone who hadn’t gone anywhere.”Conlan said the new breeds, known as aedes mosquitoes, are very happy to call small containers in backyards home. “The more people can do to keep that water from being there, the less of a chance we’re going to have of mosquito problems in people’s backyards,” Conlan concluded. Allergies expected to be worse Another concern amid all the rain is increased allergies. Dr. Dana Ger, the Clinical Director for Scripps Health Express said the clinics have already been seeing cases of allergies. "In San Diego, who knows when it’s spring, who knows when it’s fall” Ger said jokingly. Ger said the recent moisture has brought with it allergies throughout the county. According to Ger, the moisture does more than just cause plant growth. Clouds and rain also force pollen closer to the ground, affecting people’s allergies. Allergy season may be off to a bad start, but it could get much worse. “We anticipate that it could get pretty bad,” Ger said. “One of the concerns is that people who have mild allergies absolutely could have worse allergies and, as with any year, people who had mild allergies in prior years, allergies can increase.”Ger recommends that people who are unsure what to do about their allergies see their doctor. Click here for a pollen forecast. 4297
SAN DIEGO (KGTV) – Four families say a Southern California contractor scammed them out of thousands of dollars. For the past five months, Team 10 has been digging into these accusations. One family says they lost more than ,000. Another family from Imperial Beach says they lost ,000. The contractor denies any wrongdoing. He is unlicensed, according to the state of California.Before he blocked 10News on Instagram, Abel Gonzalez's account had photos of him promoting American Home. 498
SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Friday, the American Psychoanalytic Association (APsaA) issued an apology to the LGBTQ community for recognizing homosexuality as a mental disorder for decades.The apology comes during pride month and on the 50th anniversary of the Stonewall uprising in New York City.“Regrettably some of that era’s understanding of homosexuality and gender identity can be attributed to the American psychoanalytic establishment,” said APsaA president, Dr. Lee Jaffe in a statement. “It is long past time to recognize and apologize for our role in the discrimination and trauma caused by our profession.”At the kick off of APsaA’s 109th Annual Meeting at the San Diego Intercontinental Hotel, Jaffe spoke to a room filled with psychoanalysts saying in part, “For many years we viewed homosexuality as an illness, and we denied opportunities for learning in our training programs to LGBTQ professionals unless they concealed their sexuality. Our views led to discrimination both internally and in society at large.”Over the last several decades, APsaA has pushed for LGBTQ equality, even becoming the first major mental health organization to support marriage equality. The group has also lobbied to end conversion therapy and to lift the transgender military ban.“While APsaA is now proud to be advocating for sexual and gender diversity, we all know that hearing the words ‘we are sorry’ is important to healing past trauma,” said Jaffe.Dr. Justin Shubert who is co-chair on APsaA’s Committee on Gender and Sexuality was in attendance of the annual meeting and says he hopes the words Friday are a step in the right direction.“It’s just a few words but they really mean a lot I think,” said Shubert. "I feel that this is a statement that where we’re saying not only we’re sorry, but we welcome LGBT people to treatment and now the focus is just about helping people feel authentic about who they are." 1914