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Allan Lichtman is a historian who wrote “The Keys to the White House,” which outlines 13 metrics for predicting the outcome of a presidential election.Lichtman’s method has proven to work over the years, as he broke from other prognosticators and predicted a Donald Trump victory in 2016. And with the 2020 presidential election now less than three months away, he has weighed in on this year’s race.Lichtman predicts that Joe Biden will win in November.The 13 keys looks at issues such as social unrest, the economy, previous midterm results, scandal, and military results. Lichtman predicting elections in the early 80s, and accurately called for Ronald Reagan's victory in 1984. He has called eight elections since.Lichtman explains his method in a New York Times video op-ed. 787

After President Donald Trump announced early Friday morning that he tested positive for COVID-19, many are wondering what happens if a president becomes incapacitated.White House Physician Dr. Sean Conley said in a memo that the president and First Lady Melania Trump "are both well at this time," but did not say whether they were experiencing symptoms of the virus.Trump, who is 74 years old, meets several categories that science found makes COVID-19 symptoms worse — his age, his gender, and his weight. The president is technically obese through his body-mass index.The 25th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution, which was adopted on Feb. 10, 1967, deals with the issues of presidential succession and who runs the country if the president is incapacitated.Section 3 of the 25th Amendment allows the president to submit, in writing, that he is not able to discharge the powers of the office. In that case, the president will voluntarily transfer the authority to the vice president, but the VP does not become president and the president remains in office.Section 3 was invoked under President Ronald Reagan when he underwent a colonoscopy, and twice under President George W. Bush when he underwent colonoscopies.In the case of Trump, he could voluntarily transfer power to Vice President Mike Pence if he believes it is necessary.Section 4 also gives the president's Cabinet the ability to strip him of power if the Cabinet believes he has become incapacitated. This Section has not been invoked. In this case, the Vice President would assume the powers of the office and become the Acting President."Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President," Section 4 reads.This story was originally published by Max White on WXYZ in Detroit. 2164

A well-known winery resembling a stone French chateau in Napa County is destroyed as the Glass Fire rips through Northern California wine country.Images show the Chateau Boswell engulfed in bright orange fire as firefighters try to battle flames. It is a private family-owned winery established in 1979.The Glass Fire rapidly grew Sunday from a small 20-acre fire to more than 11,000 acres. More than 50,000 people were told to get out in overnight evacuation orders.The Adventist Health St. Helena hospital suspended care and transferred all patients elsewhere.Other popular tourist destinations in St. Helena and around the Napa Valley have been destroyed or are in danger from the Glass Fire.Dry and windy conditions over the weekend, combined with a heat wave prompted a red flag warning in areas of California. CALFIRE says two other fires, the Boysen Fire and the Shady Fire, also sparked Sunday in the same area as the Glass Fire.Tens of thousands of people are evacuated throughout Napa and Sonoma counties, officials say. 1038

ALPINE, Calif. (KGTV) -- A neighbor is describing a man's erratic behavior before deputies shot and killed him at an apartment complex in Alpine."It was so scary. Words can't describe it," said Kathryn. Kathryn says the sequence of events began around 2:15 pm. Monday in the Elan Summit apartments with a neighbor acting strangely. 339

Amazon is giving Whole Foods shoppers an early gift for the holidays.The grocer announced Wednesday it's slashing prices again, this time on several "holiday staples," including sweet potatoes, canned pumpkin and turkey.If you're an Amazon Prime member, you'll pay even less for turkey: Whole Foods slashed turkey prices to .99 per pound (compared to .49 for non-Prime members), or .99 per pound for an organic turkey (.49 for non-Prime members).To redeem the discount, Amazon is offering a printable coupon only accessible to Prime members on its website."These are the latest new lower prices in our ongoing integration and innovation with Amazon, and we're just getting started," Whole Foods CEO John Mackey said in a prepared statement. Whole Foods said this Prime-specific deal is a "sneak preview" for future exclusive deals.Whole Foods also announced it is cutting prices on boneless skinless chicken breasts, shrimp, Russet potatoes, bagged salad mixes, broccoli, organic eggs and milk from Organic Valley, Applewood hot dogs, and Chobani and Fage yogurt.It's the second time Amazon took the knife to Whole Foods' prices. The company slashed prices on nearly 500 grocery items in August, shortly after its .7 billion purchase closed. The cheaper prices led to a foot traffic spike at Whole Foods, with many new customers defecting from its rivals.  1380

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