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The homestretch of the 2020 presidential campaign culminates on Tuesday as President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden meet for the first of three presidential debates.Tuesday’s debate will air live on this network at 9 p.m. ET from Cleveland.Here is what you need to know about Tuesday's showdown.The candidatesDemocratic Party nominee Biden and Republican nominee Trump were the only two candidates invited to Tuesday’s debate based on polling. In order to be invited, a candidate must poll at 15 percent or above in a series of national polls to qualify.An aggregate of national polls by Real Clear Politics has Biden leading the popular vote by a 50-43 margin. But as Hillary Clinton learned in 2016, winning the popular vote does not mean victory.The moderatorFox News’ Chris Wallace will moderate a presidential debate for the second straight election cycle. Wallace was widely praised for his moderation of the 2016 debate between Clinton and Trump.While Fox News is considered by many to be right-leaning, Wallace is called one of the networks more independent anchors. Before joining Fox News, he was a reporter for ABC News, and the Washington Bureau Chief of NBC News.While Wallace did not moderate a Democratic Party debate, he is quite familiar with Trump. During the summer, Wallace held wide-ranging interview with Trump, which took Trump to task for the federal government’s response to the coronavirus.While this is the first time Wallace has moderated a debate involving Biden, he has moderated a debate involving Trump four prior times.Wallace moderated three GOP debates for Fox News during the 2016 primary season. During one of the debates, Wallace chided Marco Rubio and Trump stating, “Gentlemen, you’re going to have to do better than this.”The formatThe debate will be broken into six, 15-minute segments.Those segments include:The Trump and Biden RecordThe Supreme CourtCOVID-19The EconomyRace and Violence in our CitiesThe Integrity of the ElectionWhile the exact times candidates will be allowed to speak have not been released, during the last debate Wallace moderated, candidates had two minutes to answer each question, with remaining time to go into a deeper discussion on the topicPrepping for the debateWhile Trump has kept a busy public schedule in the week leading up to the debate, Biden has cut back on appearances to focus on debate prep.Trump had wanted the first debate to be held earlier as voters in a small number of states have started casting ballots.Unrest in US citiesOne of the six topics listed is on race and violence in US cities. The topic will be discussed just days after a Kentucky grand jury announced that two officers who shot and killed Breonna Taylor in Kentucky would not be charged.The issue of race and unrest has been one the two candidates are deeply divided on. While both candidates have said they oppose defunding police departments, Trump has frequently mischaracterized Biden’s position on policing, claiming that Biden supports defunding police departments.Meanwhile, Biden has frequently accused Trump of inciting violence and that Trump’s rhetoric has increased tensions.The Supreme CourtIn 2016, it was a certainty the next president would have to fill at least one Supreme Court vacancy. As Trump is about to likely fill his third open seat on the court, what happens in 2021 and beyond is unclear.Democrats have suggested that they would push to expand the size of the Supreme Court if they control the Senate and White House. Biden has not said whether he would go allow with that plan.Assuming Trump’s third nominee is confirmed, the Supreme Court will give conservatives a distinct advantage.The oldest member of the Supreme Court, 82-year-old Stephen Breyer, is a Clinton appointee. The next oldest justice, George H.W. Bush appointee Clarence Thomas, is a whole decade younger.CoronavirusLikely no issue has shaped the 2020 election more than the coronavirus. With more than 200,000 coronavirus-related fatalities, an unemployment rate that has doubled since March, and the US deficit jumping to near-record levels, the virus has impacted everyday life for virtually all Americans.How the country responds to the virus between now and Inauguration Day could change, however. Will a vaccine be ready by then? Will Americans trust that the vaccine is safe and effective? And what if a vaccine takes longer than expected and/or is not effective as hoped? 4457

The Mountain West Conference became the second conference from college football’s top division to postpone the 2020 football season citing coronavirus concerns on Monday.As part of its announcement, the Mountain West also announced that all fall sports will be postponed.Curt Apsey, the director of athletics at perennial Mountain West power Boise State, supported the decision. "Despite everything that has been thrown in their way over the last several months, our student-athletes, coaches and staff had been preparing for a 2020 season," Apsey said. "They were ready for every possible uncertainty, but in the end, the physical and mental well-being of student-athletes across the conference necessitated today’s announcement."On Saturday, the Mid-American Conference became the first NCAA Football Bowl Subdivision league to postpone the 2020 season. The two conferences are among 10 that comprise the FBS.Meanwhile, leaders from what is known as the Power 5, which are the Big 12, Big 10, Pac-12, SEC and ACC, have been discussing the upcoming season. The potential of postponing the season has prompted a number of top players and coaches to push for universities to allow play this fall, despite concerns over the coronavirus.Most Power 5 conference teams previously announced the suspension of nonconference games in lieu of playing a conference-only schedule. 1377

The NFL is further limiting player access to team facilities as it attempts to enhance safety measures during the pandemic.In a memo sent to the 32 clubs and obtained by The Associated Press, teams must close their facilities for two days after games, with some exceptions.Beginning Monday, all teams playing on a Sunday must close those facilities for the next two days.Only players needing medical attention for injuries or in rehab programs may enter the team complex.Coaches can access the facility but must work in their own offices and can't conduct meetings except virtually.The Associated Press reported that players that play on Monday couldn't access their facilities until Thursday, and facilities must remain closed until Sunday to players who play Thursday.According to USA Today, who was the first to report the memo, the league is also lifting its 62-player road game limit for teams, which will allow teams to fill its 48-man gameday roster with practice squad players in case issues arise with the coronavirus. This change will go into effect this week.All players who plan to attend a game must also stay at the team hotel the night before the game, The AP reported.The league had its second major outbreak in the last two weeks, with the Baltimore Ravens having at least two dozen people testing positive. 1332

The polling industry has a lot on the line heading into Tuesday's midterm election.Critics blamed pollsters when voters were caught off guard by Donald Trump's election in 2016. Old cries of "don't believe the polls" became fevered shouts. And the president has encouraged distrust by calling certain polls "fake" and claiming they are used to "suppress" the vote.Although there is no evidence to suggest that is true, there is persistent and widespread suspicion about polling, according to, you guessed it, a McClatchy-Marist poll. And it exists on both sides, albeit in different forms."I think Democrats may have felt let down by the polls but don't think it was an intentional error. I think many Republicans believe the polling errors of 2016 were intentional," GOP pollster and co-founder of Echelon Insights Kristen Soltis Anderson told CNN.So can the industry regain trust?Since 2016 there's been a whole lot of self-reflection in the polling world. Pollsters have tweaked their techniques; pundits have become more cautious when talking about polls; and news outlets have conducted some fascinating experiments.On Tuesday, all the efforts are being put to the test."Some pollsters would disagree with this, but the way that the public generally views whether or not polling is accurate is whether or not it gets the results of the election right," CNN analyst Harry Enten said on "Reliable Sources.""I'm not necessarily sure that's fair," Enten said, "but I do think that there is more pressure on pollsters this year to get it right given the president's rhetoric and given what happened in 2016."Many, though not all, 2016 polls underestimated support for Trump. This effect was particularly pronounced at the state level, where there were embarrassing "misses," showing Hillary Clinton with safe leads in states Trump actually carried.Most national polls accurately showed Clinton winning the popular vote. But reporters and commentators made lots of mistakes in their interpretations of the polls. Readers and viewers did, too. Many people discounted the margin and other factors and made faulty assumptions that Trump would lose to Clinton.There were other problems, too. Predictive features on websites gained lots of traffic before the election but caused lots of consternation afterward. HuffPost's model infamously showed Clinton with a 98 percent chance of winning. "We blew it," the site admitted afterward.But just as importantly, HuffPost's Natalie Jackson tried to explain why.Other news outlets have also tried to be more transparent and remind voters of what polls cannot convey.In special elections since 2016, Democrats have repeatedly outperformed polls of their races.The top example was the Virginia governors' race. "Ralph Northam was favored by three points. He ended up winning by nine," Enten said.But past outcomes are not an indicator of future results."I think many pollsters and forecasters have tried to be much more intentional about explaining uncertainty and being humble about what data can and can't tell us," Anderson said. "Because I think there was a big sense that in 2016, there was more certainty conveyed than may have been justified by the available data."So political pros and reporters are communicating poll results differently this time. Time magazine's Molly Ball, who has a no-predictions rule for herself, said that even people who do make predictions are adding more caveats: There's "less of the, 'Well, the needle shows this' and more of, 'Here's what it doesn't show, here's what we should always remember can happen about probabilities.'"Early voting has been explosive in the midterms, indicating above-average enthusiasm among both Democrats and Republicans. Pollsters have to make assumptions about turnout when contacting "likely voters," and this is a difficult election to forecast.The 2018 electorate is "a universe that doesn't exist yet," Democratic pollster Margie Omero said. "I mean, people don't know whether they're going to vote, some people."They may tell a pollster that they're sure to vote, but never make it to the ballot box. Or they might change who they're voting for.Conversely, certain subsets of voters may have a big impact on the final results without really showing up in the pre-election polling. If pollsters assume relatively low youth turnout, but lots of young people vote for the first time, that could cause big surprises in certain races.The vast majority of people who are called by pollsters decline to participate, so the researchers have to make a huge number of phone calls, bend over backwards to reach a representative sample of people, and weight their results accordingly.Some polls are higher quality than others. Most news outlets tend to favor live interviewers, as opposed to computerized systems, and a mix of landline and cell phone calls. But some outlets are wading into web-based polling. CNN's polling standards preclude reporting on web polls.This fall The New York Times pulled back the curtain by conducting "live polling" and publishing the results in real time, call by call. Working with Siena College, the surveyors made 2,822,889 calls and completed 96 polls of House and Senate races."We wanted to demystify polling for people," said Nate Cohn of The Times' Upshot blog."From our point of view, it's almost a miracle how accurate polls usually are, given all the challenges," Cohn said in an interview with CNN.He emphasized that polls are "very fuzzy things." And the real-time polling showed this to the public. The researchers sought to interview about 500 people for each race that was examined.In Iowa's fourth congressional district, for example, 14,636 calls resulted in 423 interviews.The results showed the incumbent, far-right congressman Steve King, with 47% support, and his Democratic challenger J.D. Scholten with 42%.The Times characterized this as a "slight edge" for King, with lots of room for error. "The margin of sampling error on the overall lead is 10 points, roughly twice as large as the margin for a single candidate's vote share," the Times explained on its website.Cohn's final pre-election story noted that "even modest late shifts among undecided voters or a slightly unexpected turnout could significantly affect results."That's the kind of language that lots of polling experts are incorporating into their stories and live shots, especially in the wake of the 2016 election."With polling, you never actually get to the truth," Cohn said. "You inch towards it, and you think you end up within plus or minus 5 points of it at the end."As Enten put it, "polls are tools," not meant to be perfect. But that message needs to be reinforced through the news media. 6753

The organization that manages presidential debates says there will be changes made “to ensure a more orderly discussion of the issues” at future debates this season.The Commission on Presidential Debates released a statement Wednesday following the first presidential debate held in Cleveland.The debate has been called “chaotic” and hard to follow. Trump’s frequent interruptions of the Democratic presidential nominee defined Tuesday night’s debate, with Biden frequently unable to complete a sentence.The commission makes it clear the debates are “for the benefit of the American electorate,” and they “will be carefully considering the changes that it will adopt and will announce those measures shortly.”Moderator Chris Wallace of Fox News pleaded with Trump several times to allow Biden to speak uninterrupted, to no avail.In their statement, the commission thanked Wallace, saying they are “grateful to Chris Wallace for the professionalism and skill he brought to last night’s debate.” 1001