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The roaring American economy will probably sink into a recession before President Trump stands for re-election in 2020.At least that's the view of Ray Dalio, the billionaire investor who predicted the 2008 financial crisis."The probability of a recession prior to the next presidential election would be relatively high, 70% or something like that," Dalio said on Wednesday evening during an appearance at the Harvard Kennedy School's Institute of Politics. 471
The window to get COVID-19 under control is closing. That's the warning from the head of the Department of Health and Human Services.Secretary Alex Azar denies that reopening too quickly was tied to the recent rise in cases, blaming it instead on inappropriate individual behavior."If we don't social distance, if we don't use face coverings in settings where we can't social distance, if we don't practice appropriate social hygiene, we're going to see spread of disease,” said Azar.However, in Texas, the governor says if he could go back and redo anything, it would be to slow down the reopening of bars. In that state, the number of new cases has jumped from an average of 2,000 to more than 5,000 a day.Hospitalizations are rising at an alarming rate with some nearing capacity."Please understand these patients are very sick,” said Dr. Joseph Varon, Chief Medical Officer at the United Memorial Medical Center. “There are patients that are about to die. So, we have to admit them. Once they are here despite everything that we do, I mean they have to stay in the hospital anywhere from 5 to 10 days at a minimum. So those beds will be occupied for a period of 5 to 10 days so sooner or later within the next two weeks we are going to be at full house."Azar says the U.S. is actually better positioned now to handle the pandemic. He pointed to increased testing, contact tracing and greater reserves of personal protective equipment. 1446

The U.S. has surpassed another bleak marker in the COVID-19 pandemic, as the country has reached 10 million confirmed cases of the virus, according to a database kept by Johns Hopkins.The milestone comes just hours after global cases surpassed 50 million, meaning about one out of every five people around the world diagnosed with the virus since the pandemic began has been diagnosed in the U.S.At least 237,000 Americans have died of the virus since the pandemic began. The U.S. continues to lead the world in both total cases and in deaths linked to the virus.The U.S. surpassed its 10 millionth case as the country deals with a disturbing spike in infections ahead of the winter months. The country surpassed 120,000 new cases in a single day three times last week, obliterating previous records. Prior to last week, the most confirmed cases the U.S. had seen in a single day was 102,000.The U.S. has recorded a million new cases of COVID-19 in the last 10 days alone. The country surpassed the 9 million case plateau on Oct. 30.In addition to the spike in cases, hospital resource use is also on the rise, and deaths linked to the virus are up slightly in recent days, though the death rate is not near what it was in March and April. Johns HopkinsHealth experts have warned that the U.S. is currently in a perilous position in the pandemic, with transmission rates as high as they have ever been as Americans move social gatherings indoors for winter months.In a memo last week, Dr. Deborah Birx — a member of the White House coronavirus task force — warned that the country is entering "the most deadly and concerning" phase of the pandemic.Late last month, Dr. Anthony Fauci — a member of the White House coronavirus task force and the county's top expert on infectious diseases — warned that the U.S. was in for a "whole lot of pain" if things didn't change soon.The U.S. did get some good news in the pandemic on Monday, as Pfizer announced that its vaccine candidate has been 90% effective in promoting immunity against the virus. However, even if the vaccine were to get FDA approval in the next few days, it would still take several months for most of the country to be vaccinated — and officials fear that vaccine skepticism could keep immunity levels below the threshold to stifle the virus. 2314
The toy run in December is usually one of the big ways Children's Hospital Colorado gets donated toys. But because of COVID-19, the supply of toys is down considerably. So the hospital reached out to some riders, and Sunday, they got a special delivery to help replenish that supply.Kids at Children's Hospital know when they hear those Harley engines roar, toys are on the way."Any motorcycles coming up to the hospital, the kids plaster themselves the windows. They love to see the bikes riding up," volunteer Bob Cuculich said."That's why we do it. It's things like this that make it all worthwhile," organizer Eddie Dane said.But it's not December when this toy run usually happens."Because of COVID this year, the hospital reached out to Rocky Mountain Harley Davidson, because we're a sponsor to the toy run and have been for years," Dane said.Dozens of bikers answered the last minute call to help."They're not reusing toys. So we are are going to replenish their supply and do the best we can to get them some more toys to last them until December," Dane said.They didn't know how many bikers would show. They just knew they needed to try to help the kids."There's a huge need," Cuculich said.But the roars were there, filling up the bins, and they hope more toys can be brought. Just no stuffed animals right now."Plush toys right now, they are just too hard to keep clean, and infection control just makes it a challenge to be able to give those to the kids," Cuculich added.The bikers hope this special delivery makes the kids happy and lasts until the main ride in December. Just a little Christmas in July.KMGH's Sean Towle first reported this story. 1671
The Rev. Pat Conroy, the chaplain at the US House of Representatives, has rescinded his resignation in a letter, obtained by CNN, following a week's worth of lawmakers from both parties questioning House Speaker Paul Ryan's request that Conroy step down."At this time, and upon advice of counsel, I herby retract and rescind said resignation for the reasons that follow," Conroy writes in the letter dated Thursday and addressed to Ryan.Conroy, a Jesuit priest, resigned April 15 after he spent nearly seven years praying at the outset of House sessions. He wrote two versions of his resignation letter, which were also obtained by CNN from a congressional source. In the first version, he wrote that Ryan, who is Catholic, should consult with his chief of staff on a resignation date, but the second version stated his last day would be May 24. 853
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