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BEIJING,Aug 9(Xinhuanet) -- China's high savings rate is expected to fall substantially in coming years as its workforce shrinks, the population ages and social security spending increases, a BIS report shows.In research published by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) on the “myth and reality” of China’s savings rate, Ma Guonan and Wang Yi found that the Asian giant needs its population to spend more in order to sustain rapid economic growth in coming years.The researchers, who were writing in their personal capacity, also reject claims that Chinese State firms have been benefiting from high savings thanks to exchange rate distortions and subsidies designed to drive economic growth.They point out that “less advantaged” and more efficient firms have been the ones posting the greatest gains in earnings in recent years rather than State-owned companies.China’s gross national savings soared from 39.2 percent of output in 1990 to 53.2 percent in 2008, far higher than the United States, which saved only 12.2 percent in 2008.Even compared to other Asian giants — Japan with 27 percent in 2007 and India with 33.6 percent in 2008 — China’s share of savings as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) is significantly larger.Nonetheless, the population and social trends that have underpinned China’s growth and savings rates are likely tail off significantly over the next decade, the two Chinese researchers argued.In the wake of the global slump, world leaders and economists have been asking China to spend more, rather than pin its economic growth on exports to the West, in order to help address world trade imbalances.Ma, a BIS economist and Wang, who is from the Chinese central bank, said however that the current savings trend by Chinese households will not last.The swelling working population in recent years has boosted savings in recent years, they said.In addition, large-scale corporate restructuring between 1995 and 2005 increased job uncertainty, forcing workers to set aside more money in case they were fired. The lack of a social safety net also pushed workers to make “precautionary savings.”Beyond households, government savings have also been increasing in tandem, as more is being set aside to meet pension needs which are expected to rise significantly as the population ages.However, these trends are expected to be reversed in coming years.“It is reasonable to assume that the large-scale labor retrenchment observed during 1995 to 2008 is by and large been behind us,” say the researchers.In addition, China is expected to enter into a phase of “accelerated population ageing within a decade.” This means that the workforce will decline, leading to a fall in overall income and therefore savings.At the same time, infrastructure spending is expected to continue, in order to provide for the ageing population and the urbanization of the country.
HEFEI, July 11 (Xinhua) -- More than 4,200 people have been removed after flood-hit dykes of a river in Anhui Province suffered breaches, the local government said Sunday.Bainian river that flows across Anqing and Tongcheng cities reported five minor dyke breaches between 10 a.m.to 11:30 a.m. Sunday, forcing the evacuation.The people have been sent to safe places and no casualties have been reported so far, according to the flood-control and drought-relief headquarters of Anhui.Water levels in some rivers and lakes have exceeded the warning lines since July 8 when heavy rains began to pound the province.Rainstorms have disrupted the lives of more than 2 million people in 29 counties across Anhui Province since July 8.Rainstorms have disrupted the lives of more than 2 million people in 29 counties across Anhui, forcing more than 8,100 residents to be removed to safe places.Initial investigations showed more than 1,800 houses collapsed and some 10,000 were damaged by downpours, which incurred 500 million yuan (73.8 million U.S. dollars) in direct economic losses.A total of 14.92 million people in 10 provinces and regions along China's longest river, the Yangtze, have had their lives disrupted after torrential rains began pounding since July 8, a statement from the Office of State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters (SFDH) said Sunday.China's Central Meteorological Station warned Sunday that rainstorms would again batter many provinces and regions in the coming days bringing with it bigger risks of new flooding and other geological disasters in central and eastern China.From Monday until Wednesday, the observatory forecast some regions in provinces including Guizhou, Hunan, Hubei, and Anhui will see heavy rain.Eastern Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, central Henan, Chongqing and Shanghai will also see rainstorms during the next three days.

BEIJING/YICHUN Aug. 25 (Xinhua) -- China on Wednesday started the official probe into the Yichun plane crash which killed 42 people and injured 54 others while domestic airlines were ordered to overhaul safety measures.The State Council, or China's Cabinet, has set up a special work group to probe the cause of the crash. Chinese President Hu Jintao and Premier Wen Jiabao ordered a thorough investigation and beefed-up efforts to ensure air travel safety.Chinese Vice Premier Zhang Dejiang, who led an investigation team to the lush forested city of Yichun overnight after the crash, headed the work group.Zhang called upon the work-group's first meeting Wednesday but details of the meeting were not made public.Li Jian, vice director of the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC), told Xinhua that the work group has started to gather evidence for the probe, but the process would take some time.A Brazil-made ERJ-190 turbine jet of Henan Airlines crashed during the landing at the forests-surrounded Lindu Airport of Yichun City late Tuesday night, killing 42 and injuring 54 passengers and the crew on board.Fifteen severely injured, including children and a vice minister, were transferred to four key hospitals in Harbin, the provincial capital on Wednesday night.Initial probes and survivors' accounts indicate the plane missed the runway and crashed on the ground, cracking the cabin and triggering a mild explosion.No signs of sabotage have been found so far, investigators said.The black boxes of the jet have been retrieved.The Lindu airport of Yichun was closed down shortly while operations of the Henan Airlines were suspended.The board of directors of Henan Airlines on Wednesday sacked the airline's general manager Li Qiang and appointed an acting manager to replace him.Cao Bo, Li's replacement, served as the chief pilot of Shenzhen Airlines, the parent company of Henan Airliens.Major Chinese carriers, including the China Eastern and China Southern, on Wednesday called upon emergency meetings to review the companies' safety measures.
BEIJING, June 9 (Xinhua) -- Chinese President Hu Jintao left Beijing on Wednesday for the 10th annual summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) scheduled for June 10-11 in the Uzbek capital of Tashkent.Hu will also pay state visits to Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan as guest of Uzbek President Islam Karimov and Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev respectively.Established in 2001, the regional body SCO now groups China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan.
ATHENS, June 15 (Xinhua) -- Visiting Chinese Vice Premier Zhang Dejiang and his Greek counterpart Theodoros Pangalos on Tuesday agreed to enhance bilateral cooperation in various areas including economy, education, culture and international affairs.Zhang said that China is willing to cooperate with Greece to push forward their comprehensive strategic relations.China is ready to cooperate with Greece to expand bilateral trade and investment, and strengthen mutual understanding and friendship between the two countries, he said. Greek Deputy Primer Minister Theodoros Pangalos (L) meets with Chinese Vice Premier Zhang Dejiang in Athens, Greece, on June 15, 2010. Zhang is in Greece for an official visit. China is also willing to expand its import of Greek products and hopes that Greece could provide convenience and support for Chinese enterprises that made investments or started businesses there, said Zhang.He also urged the two sides to boost maritime cooperation.Pangalos hailed China-Greece relations as "excellent," saying Greece will continue to strengthen its strategic relations with China, and carry out effective cooperation in regional and international issues.Pangalos said Greece also hoped that the two governments could strengthen cooperation in maritime affairs, trade and economy and investment so as to achieve common development.The two nations signed a total of 14 cooperation agreements on Tuesday in the presence of the two vice premiers.
来源:资阳报