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Can you trust the polls? It is a question on the minds of plenty of voters ahead of Election Day. 2016 CREDIBILITY ISSUE A major reason some voters are skeptical of the polls is because of 2016. The day before the election in 2016, Real Clear Politics Polling Average, had Hillary Clinton up +6.5% in Wisconsin. President Donald Trump went on to win Wisconsin by around 0.7%. A similar story unfolded in Michigan.EXPERTS WEIGH IN "Polling gives us a window into who we are as a people," Patrick Murray of the Monmouth Polling Institute said. “I think it really lets the public in on the secret of what the campaigns know," Lee Miringoff of the Marist College Poll said. Both pollsters are ranked as some of the most respected in the country. Both defend the polling process but acknowledge mistakes were made by some in 2016. "The problem that we had in 2016 was not that polling was any more inaccurate than it had been in the past. It was just that the inaccuracies happened to be in one particular direction," Murray said. What pollsters now know is then-candidate Donald Trump persuaded white voters to break with long-held, predictable voting habits and vote for him. Polling samples that once represented the population at-large, no longer did. "The media looked at that and portrayed what we were showing there as being more precise of a prediction than it could ever be," Murray said. These pollsters do not believe a "Silent Trump Voter" exists -- that is someone who is reluctant to tell a pollster they support Trump. “The so-called secret Trump voter doesn’t exist in terms of polling and the idea that polling is missing certain voters," Murray said. "Here you have a president now for 3 1/2 years, almost four years, as president of the United States, so people aren't going to feel a great reluctance to speak to their feelings on that topic," Lee Miringoff said. WHAT SHOULD YOU BELIEVE?Both pollsters agree that taking a range of polls and not any one in particular may be the best way to approach polling. “So the polls, you know, can be trusted not to sway you necessarily but to inform," Lee Miringoff said. "I think the idea behind averages is a good one. Because there always is going to be a range of result," Murray said. 2254

Charges have been dropped against the man accused of criminal homicide in the Opry Mills shooting.Chaos ensued when 22-year-old Justin Golson?shot at?22-year-old?Demarco Churchwell, who was taken to Skyline Medical Center in critical condition where he later died.Immediately after the shooting, Golson ran from the mall to a ticketing booth outside, placed his gun on the counter, and told the people inside to call 911. He told detectives he acted in self-defense after being threatened over social media by the victim and his friends.The mall was evacuated as police secured the area and investigated the incident.Court records show Golson's charge of criminal homicide was dismissed on Monday, July 30. 729

CALEXICO, Calif. (KGTV) -- A man was arrested after U.S. Customs and Border Protection says he tried to smuggle more than 200 pounds of liquid methamphetamine into the U.S. According to CBP, the 36-year-old man tried to enter the U.S. at the Calexico Port of entry Tuesday night around 11 p.m. The man was referred to a secondary inspection point when a K-9 alerted agents to the gas tank area. Upon further inspection, CBP discovered 222 pounds of liquid meth worth 6,000. “Drug trafficking organizations have one goal in mind, which is to get their product across,” said Officer in Charge, Sergio Beltran. “Concealing narcotics in gas tanks is one tactic and by utilizing our layered enforcement, we were able to stop this before it plagued our communities.”The man was arrested and the drugs and vehicle seized. 826

CALEXICO, Calif. (KGTV) - Border Patrol agents arrested a previously deported gang member and came under gunfire in two separate incidents this week.Agents at Calexico Station's processing center said a 25-year-old Mexican citizen who had been arrested in downtown Calexico is a member of the "Sure?os" criminal organization, U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) said.RELATED: CA Attorney General Xavier Becerra announces border wall lawsuit in San DiegoAfter being interviewed, the man admitted to being a member of the gang, CBP said. The man had previously been deported as well.An "order of removal" has been resubmitted and the man will be returned to Mexico, according to agents. The man's name was not immediately released.RELATED: CBP Officers Seize .9 Million in Drugs, capture 17 FugitivesLater Monday, a CBP agent from El Centro Station came under reported gunfire during an arrest near Calexico International Airport.The agent was attempting to arrest three people suspected of entering the U.S. illegally when they report hearing two distinct gunshots near the International Boundary Fence.RELATED: Smuggling boat comes ashore near North San Diego County mansionsNo injuries were reported. Mexican authorities were alerted but no arrests have reportedly been made. 1326

CHANDLER, AZ — The Arizona Attorney General’s Office says Mikal Lee Smith, the son of ex-NFL coach and current head of the University of Illinois football program Lovie Smith, has been indicted after a Chandler police investigation accusing him of running a prostitution ring.According to a release, between December 2018 and September 2019, Mikal Smith and Aprel Mae Rasmussen operated and maintained an illegal prostitution enterprise.In one instance, Mikal Smith and Rasmussen allegedly induced and encouraged an adult female victim to “engage in acts of prostitution for over two months.”Mikal Smith reportedly used surveillance and threats of retaliation to keep the victim under his control.It’s unclear how many other victims, if any, were involved. The Chandler police did not immediately respond to a request for comment.Mikal Smith has been indicted on charges of conspiracy, illegally conducting an enterprise, money laundering in the first degree, pandering, receiving earnings of a prostitute, sex trafficking, and threatening or intimidating.His co-defendant, Aprel Rasmussen, was indicted on charges of conspiracy, illegally conducting an enterprise, money laundering in the first degree, and pandering.Mikal Smith played football for the University of Arizona and was an assistant coach in the NFL for the Chicago Bears, Dallas Cowboys, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers for several years.This story was originally published by Clayton Klapper on KNXV in Phoenix. 1478