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Predicting the outcome of elections can sometimes be easy. Other years, it is not. Professor Allan Lichtman has predicted every election since 1984, using a model he developed alongside Soviet Union scientists.One of Lichtman's proudest achievements was accurately predicting the 2016 election. President Donald Trump signed a Washington Post article about Lichtman in recent years with his autograph and the phrase "good call."THE METHODLichtman doesn't look at polls."Polls are not predictors, they are misused as predictors," Lichtman said.Instead, Lichtman looks at the political party currently controlling the White House. Then he uses 13 keys to gauge whether the party controlling the White House will lose or not.They are: midterm gains, no contest in the primary, incumbency, no third party, strong short-term economy, strong long-term economy, major policy change, no social unrest, no scandal, no overseas failure, major overseas achievement, charismatic incumbent, uncharismatic opponent."If six or more, any six more, turn against the party holding the White House, they are a predicted loser," Luchtman said.2020 PREDICTIONLichtman says before 2020, Trump appeared to be heading to a reelection. However Trump has now lost seven keys.In Lichtman's opinion, Trump has lost midterm gains, short term economy, long-term economy, no social unrest, no scandal, major overseas achievement, and charismatic incumbent."Could I be wrong? Of course human beings are wrong. But my keys have quite a track record," Lichtman said. 1541

President Donald Trump held a news briefing from the White House Tuesday as the nation is still in the grips of the coronavirus pandemic.Watch replay:Late Monday, a Trump interview with Axios’ Jonathan Swan was released, when the president said the nation’s death coronavirus death toll “is what it is.” The president claimed that Americans should look at the number the percentage of fatal coronavirus cases instead of the per capita death rate of the virus to measure the government’s response."They are dying,” Trump said. “That's true. And you -- it is what it is. But that doesn't mean we aren't doing everything we can. It's under control as much as you can control it."Trump added that the United States is doing “very well" in its response. The president cited relative upticks in coronavirus cases in countries such as Germany, Japan and Australia. But according to Johns Hopkins University data, the spread of the virus in those countries pale in comparison to the spread in the United States.“You’re starting to see that other countries are having very big flare-ups, countries that thought they were over it,” Trump said on Monday. “Like, we thought we might be over it in Florida, and then all of a sudden, it comes back. They do come back But I think we’re doing very well.”While Trump points out that coronavirus cases are leveling off across the US, the number of coronavirus-related deaths has increased in recent weeks. The number of deaths have generally been lagging case numbers by a few weeks, according to Johns Hopkins University data.Meanwhile, members of Congress are continuing to debate the next round of stimulus. After Senate Republicans released their proposals early last week, the White House and House Democrats have struggled to reach any sort of consensus along with the Republican caucus.While there is broad agreement on another round of ,200 stimulus checks for Americans, issues such as food stamps, unemployment supplements, and liability protection for businesses remain key unsolved issues between the parties. 2063

POWAY, Calif. (KGTV) -- A Poway family is desperately searching for their beloved cat who was last seen getting into a car with an Amazon delivery driver Monday night. Rachael Dominguez shared her doorbell camera footage with 10News which shows Cofi the Siamese cat interacting with the driver on the front porch. Another angle shows the same driver and the cat getting into a car and driving away.Dominguez contacted the Poway Sheriff's Department and Amazon. The company told her the driver says he thought Cofi was a stray and was trying to help but the cat jumped out of his car at a later stop.The driver says Cofi jumped out around Cree Court in Poway. Dominguez is asking people living in that area to keep an eye out for the cat. 746

President Donald Trump and Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte, who lavished pleasantries on each other during public appearances in Manila Monday, "briefly" discussed human rights and the Philippine's bloody war on drugs during their closed-door conversation, the White House said.But a spokesman for the controversial Philippine President told reporters that "human rights did not arise" during the meeting.Trump has largely eschewed public talk of human rights issues on his trip through Asia, despite the United States harboring long-held grievances with how countries in the region have treated their citizens. In Manila, the two leaders ignored shouted questions from reporters on the issue. 706

President Donald Trump has injected himself into two high-stakes contests taking place on Tuesday, turning both into new tests of Trump's tactics and sway with Republican voters.In a special election in Ohio 12th District, Republicans are scrambling to avoid an embarrassing defeat in a seat that the party has held for decades. Trump has backed Republican Troy Balderson, who is facing Democrat Danny O'Connor in the last special congressional election before November's midterm elections. A win for Democrats here on Tuesday would signal further danger for Republicans in the fall.The party previously lost a similar race in Pennsylvania and saw one in Arizona get too close for comfort. 697