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Friday brought another round of dramatic price cuts in the oil patch.US oil prices plummeted 7% and sank deeper into a bear market that has alarmed investors and made drivers around the world happy.The latest wave of selling knocked crude below a barrel for the first time since October 2017.Anxiety about oversupply and diminished demand have sent crude down by a third since it soared to a four-year high above a barrel in early October. Observers have gone from fearing 0 oil to expressing concern over why its price collapsed so quickly."The unrelenting six-week selloff has been unnerving to say the least," Michael Haigh, head of commodities research at Societe Generale, wrote to clients on Wednesday.Oil bulls are hoping OPEC and Russia come to the rescue by announcing steep production cuts at a meeting next month in Vienna. However, President Donald Trump is pressuring Saudi Arabia and OPEC not to reduce output despite the crash in prices. Traders are worried Trump's recent praise for Saudi Arabia signals the Saudis won't back a significant production cut.For the week, US oil prices are down nearly 10%.Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, described the weekly selloff as "brutally bearish."Brent crude, the global benchmark, shed 5.5% on Friday and declined to a new 2018 low of a barrel.The meltdown was triggered by a series of developments that darkened the energy outlook. Prices soared over the summer as Trump vowed to zero out Iran's oil exports. That led Saudi Arabia, Russia and especially the United States to ramp up production. However, the Trump administration later took a softer approach on Iran sanctions to keep oil from spiking. Officials granted temporary waivers to China, India and other buyers of Iran's crude. That headfake left the oil market staring at a potential glut.At the same time, global growth fears emerged in financial markets. Economists are marking down their GDP forecasts for 2019. Germany and Japan, the world's No. 3 and 4 economies, are already in contraction. China is slowing, too. None of that is bullish for oil, which powers the world economy."Rising global crude supply coupled with worrying signs of slowing demand have written a recipe for disaster for the oil markets," Otunuga wrote to clients on Friday.The rapid collapse in oil prices caught many off guard, including hedge funds that made outsized bullish bets on crude earlier this year. Large commodity funds have accumulated losses in excess of .7 billion so far this quarter, Societe Generale estimates."Sentiment on commodity markets has been despondent," Haigh wrote.The energy slump came at just the right time for consumers though. Millions of Thanksgiving travelers were greeted by cheaper prices at the pump. The average gallon of gallon fetched .58 on Friday, down sharply from .84 a month ago, according to AAA. 2880
For the first time, we are all about to experience a holiday season during a pandemic. Industry experts are reporting it will be drastically different this year, especially for holiday shoppers.“The traditional Christmas holiday sale season is pretty chaotic,” said Bill Thorne. “There's not going to be a whole lot of that chaos this year.”Thorne is with the National Retail Federation. He’s has gathered key insight into what the holiday shopping experience will instead be like this year.“It is going to be an entirely different experience,” Thorne reinforced.One of the biggest changes is that many retailers have reevaluated Black Friday traditions, starting with staying open on Thanksgiving Day.“There are a number or brands, large brand that have already announced they are not going to be open on Thanksgiving Day and I believe that is for a number of reasons,” explained Thorne. “Primary among them are to give those associates and employees an opportunity to be at home, be with their family, to celebrate the most important thing that they have, which is each other.”Some of the retailers that have announced they will be closed this Thanksgiving include: Best Buy, Boscov’s, Foot Locker, Home Depot, JCPenney, Macy’s, Target, Walmart, and Costco.Most of those retailers will reopen the day after and some will offer a “Black Friday” sale, but the shopping experience will still be very different.“I don’t believe the vast majority will be opening at excessive early hours,” said Thorne. "I think they are going to greatly discourage people from lining up and if there are lines, they will be socially distanced, you won’t be able to just storm the store.”The number of people allowed in a store will be limited, as many retailers report crowd control will be a huge focus on Black Friday and throughout the holiday shopping season. So much so that companies like Walmart, Target, and Home Depot are trying to reduce the crowds, nearly two months in advance, by offering major Christmas sales this month.“There are several brands that have indicated they are going to do Black Friday sales every Friday until Christmas,” Thorne explained. “You are going to hear retailers reinforcing the deals you would normally get post-Thanksgiving you are going to get starting tomorrow.”The National Retail Federation believes Black Friday sales spread over three months, versus one day, may not only be a safer shopping experience, but it may ensure shoppers actually get the gifts they want before stores potentially and abruptly close again. Another rise in COVID-19 cases has some cities mulling over that idea. 2623
FedEx said Monday they are planning to hire 70,000 seasonal workers as they head into the holidays.In a hiring statement on its website, the shipping company said most of those hired for its "peak season" would be added to its FedEx Ground network."As our team of more than 500,000 team members is busy preparing to deliver the holidays, we once again expect to see a large number of packages traverse our global network over the 2020 peak holiday shipping season," FedEx said. "In order to provide the best possible service during this busy time of the year, FedEx is increasing hours for some existing employees and boosting our workforce with seasonal positions, as needed." The Memphis-based company added that it expanded FedEx Ground’s year-round Sunday residential coverage to nearly 95% of the U.S. population, which went into effect Sunday. 857
For millions of college students, this election will be their first time being able to vote for the President of the United States. While some students have been waiting for this opportunity for years, historically, many others may not even end up casting a ballot. Two groups who are responsible for mobilizing first-time voters on college campuses are the College Democrats and College Republicans. Both are national organizations with chapters on most university campuses. COVID-19 CHALLENGESIn a normal election year, Democrat and Republican clubs on campuses like Arizona State University would host almost daily events in the run-up to the election. Pizza parties, free food and guest speakers all serve the purpose of getting first-time voters registered and excited to participate in the election. But on many campuses this year, in-person events are banned, or at the very least, restricted. "This semester is obviously presenting a challenge," said Clay Robinson, vice president of the College Republicans at ASU.Robinson said one major impact has been the inability to set up tables near busy parts of campus to attract new members. As a result, membership has been slightly off. "Usually we’d be having in-person events, we’d be offering free food," Robinson said. The College Democrats have also seen an impact, potentially problematic for Democrats in Arizona since college students tend to vote more progressive. "I don't come on campus at all," said Cameron Adams, president of the ASU Young Democrats.Adams says in addition to missing in-person events, she misses knocking on doors for candidates. "We are known as the powerhouse of knocking on doors, so it's really different to not be doing that, Adams said. "I miss it so much."HOW THEY'VE BEEN MOBILIZING Both Robinson and Adams say they've been holding virtual meet-ups on Zoom, and the response has actually been better than expected. "I've actually been surprised how many people we’ve been able to keep coming to meetings," Robinson said. Adams says speakers have also been willing to participate remotely, which gives the group reasons to come together. "We’ve been having debate watch parties," Adams added. Whether or not this impacts results is unclear, but it is clear that college political groups have been impacted in one of the most important elections in recent memory. 2363
For many restaurants, like Sam's No. 3 in downtown Denver, the experience is part of what they serve.“We were built to serve people inside,” said Sam Armatas, owner of the restaurant. But with ever-changing COVID-19-related dining restrictions and winter looming, delivery is becoming a more enticing option for customers. And for Sam’s No. 3, delivery apps make that easy.“We’re able to continue to serve our product, try and stay relevant as far as people eating our food,” Armatas said. The diner has three locations. At two of them. 90% of orders are now made through delivery apps. This can be convenient for customers, but costly for some of the restaurants. Exposure to consumers has it's price.“There are negatives. I mean they take a commission but those commissions are now capped,” Armatas said. “You're pretty much at the mercy right now of the delivery services hoping to get your food out hot, tasty and attractive still.”He chooses to stick with the apps to get his food out there to people, while for other restaurants, the cons of delivery apps outweigh the pros.“At the moment, we will not use any third-party services at all for delivery,” said Giles Flanagin, Co-founder of Blue Pan Pizza.Blue Pan relies on their team of 17 part-time in-house delivery drivers, instead.“In-house delivery can work cost-wise, if the restaurateur is willing to put in the time and the effort to build that specific revenue stream,” he said. “If I use Doordash, Grubhub, or Postmates and I pay a 25% commission, not only am I losing all of my profit, but I’m in the red.”Flanagin said Blue Pan has been using their own delivery since they opened in 2016. They tried a delivery app to serve areas farther away, but too many bad experiences led them to cancel.“When a customer gets a pizza from a third-party delivery and it’s a poorly delivered experience, they don't look at Grubhub or those businesses. They call us and they're upset,” he said. For him, the reputation of his business and their food is important.“I think the best way I can summarize making a decision to use a third-party delivery service is buyer beware. This is our experience and I’m not saying it's everyone's experience,” Flanagin said.It’s a balancing act for these apps like Uber Eats and Grubhub. They have a business to run, but they also have to consider the restaurant and the driver.“Restaurants are just trying to find any possible ways to break even or minimize their costs,” said Alexandre Padilla, an economist and professor at the Metropolitan State University of Denver. “It’s a very complicated issue where the apps are providing a service where they are trying to attract drivers to meet the increase in demand due to the pandemic.”As potential customers opted to stay home in March when lockdowns began, the demand for drivers went up.Gig economy workers like Julian Rai almost completely switched from rideshare apps to delivery apps backs in March.“Remember that we are basically waiters on wheels, we’re servers on wheels,” he said. “If it weren't for tips, we’re making less than minimum wage just from the delivery fee. Like a waiter, it’s very similar to what a server would make before tips. So at the end of the day, well over two thirds to three fifths of my income comes from tips.”Rai explained they may spend 20 to 40 minutes on one single order so, reasonably, they ask for some compensation for that.It’s a tough balancing act between restaurant, app, and driver.“I don’t know that that balance has been struck yet,” Rai said.For now, delivery is a means to an end for these restaurants that thrive on providing quality food and a great dine-in customer experience.“Our business model isn't built to survive this way,” Armatas said. “We’re just trying to stay relevant, trying to survive. If we can get through winter great. That’s the hope, the dream, is that by March we’re still here.” 3901