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The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation now projects that 67,000 American lives would be saved between now and December 1 by near universal wearing of masks.The IHME released the updated model on Thursday. As part of the update, the IHME said that four states, Arizona, Florida, Mississippi, and South Carolina, have hit an important metric of a daily death rate of eight per one million residents, and that those states should re-impose statewide closures of non-essential businesses.The IHME’s coronavirus projections have been frequently cited in the past by the White House’s coronavirus task force. The group uses state data along with other metrics to create projections on the number of coronavirus-related deaths throughout the US.The model projects with inconsistent use of masks, the US death toll for the coronavirus will be up to 295,000 by December 1, an increase from the current figure of 158,000, per Johns Hopkins University data. The IHME’s projections drops considerably to 228,000 if masks are worn universally outside of the home.IHME director Dr. Christopher Murray said at a news conference on Thursday that mask wearing mandates work, but communities also respond when they see cases are spreading.“People do respond to the circumstances in their community,” Murray said. “Mandates have an important effect.”One thing the model does not take into account is the use of therapeutics of a possible vaccine. Murray said that the IHME is closely monitoring the effectiveness of two potential therapeutics – remdesivir and dexamethasone – and may adjust future models as more is learned about those drugs.The model expects the number of coronavirus-related deaths to ebb and flow into the fall, but begin to increase by November. "November is a month we expect the spread to increase due to seasonality," Murray said. We are expecting considerable daily deaths. That pushes up our projections."“We expect it rise later in the fall,” Murray added.One cause for concern comes at the end of November when families begin to travel for holidays such as Thanksgiving.Murray said that while mask-wearing is not necessary when around family members of the same household, he said mask-wearing may be necessary for holiday gatherings. Murray said his family is taking the recommendation one step further, and is simply not gathering with extended relatives this fall.What’s built into the IHME’s projection is that a number of states will need to implement stricter closures in order to slow the spread. As part of the IHME’s recommendation, states implement closures of non-essential businesses when there is a threshold of eight deaths a day per million. Also part of the modeling is based on 50% of schools being closed in each state for the upcoming year. Murray said with many schools opening or implementing hybrid models, more will be learned in the coming weeks on how easily the virus spreads within schools.Recent measures in Arizona, California, Florida, and Texas has allowed a small decline in cases, but deaths in those states have not dropped off, according to Murray.“We have been seeing cases peaking and hospitalizations peaking and deaths not quite yet peaking, but we expect them to peak in the near future but we don’t expect a sharp decline," Murray said.To see a state-by-state breakdown of the IHME’s projections, click here. 3403
The XFL will return in 2022, according to Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson, who now owns the league.Officials with the league had to shut down their inaugural 2020 season because of the coronavirus pandemic earlier this year and filed for bankruptcy in April. Johnson and his investor group bought the league in August for million, reportedly.“As owners, we’re proud to champion our XFL players, coaches, cities and fans into an electrifying 2022 season!” Johnson wrote on Twitter Thursday morning. “A league of culture, passion & purpose.” 549
The term "money laundering" was never more appropriate than this week, when Dutch police found around 0,000 stuffed inside the drum of a washing machine.A man present in the house during Monday's raid was arrested on suspicion of -- yes, you've guessed it -- money laundering.Authorities were checking for unregistered residents in western Amsterdam when they found the load."The municipal administration revealed that no one lived at the address," the police told CNN in a statement. "When the police did a search through the house they found �350,000 hidden in the washing machine."The police also confiscated several mobile phones, a firearm and a money-counting machine during the raid. The suspect, who is 24 years old, has not been named.The police news release included a picture of bundles of �20 and �50 bills crammed into the washing machine.They said in a statement that the raid was part of an investigation into "housing fraud, money laundering and other [signs] of crime." 997
The window to get COVID-19 under control is closing. That's the warning from the head of the Department of Health and Human Services.Secretary Alex Azar denies that reopening too quickly was tied to the recent rise in cases, blaming it instead on inappropriate individual behavior."If we don't social distance, if we don't use face coverings in settings where we can't social distance, if we don't practice appropriate social hygiene, we're going to see spread of disease,” said Azar.However, in Texas, the governor says if he could go back and redo anything, it would be to slow down the reopening of bars. In that state, the number of new cases has jumped from an average of 2,000 to more than 5,000 a day.Hospitalizations are rising at an alarming rate with some nearing capacity."Please understand these patients are very sick,” said Dr. Joseph Varon, Chief Medical Officer at the United Memorial Medical Center. “There are patients that are about to die. So, we have to admit them. Once they are here despite everything that we do, I mean they have to stay in the hospital anywhere from 5 to 10 days at a minimum. So those beds will be occupied for a period of 5 to 10 days so sooner or later within the next two weeks we are going to be at full house."Azar says the U.S. is actually better positioned now to handle the pandemic. He pointed to increased testing, contact tracing and greater reserves of personal protective equipment. 1446
The Santa Ana Zoo is providing shelter for about 150 animals from Orange County Zoo in Irvine Regional Park that were evacuated on Oct. 26 because of the Silverado and Blue Ridge wildfires. #CityofSantaAna @SantaAnaZoo @SantaAnaParks #silveradocanyonfire #BlueRidgeFire pic.twitter.com/qb0ZDQ83ck— City of Santa Ana (@CityofSantaAna) October 27, 2020 358
