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Allan Lichtman is a historian who wrote “The Keys to the White House,” which outlines 13 metrics for predicting the outcome of a presidential election.Lichtman’s method has proven to work over the years, as he broke from other prognosticators and predicted a Donald Trump victory in 2016. And with the 2020 presidential election now less than three months away, he has weighed in on this year’s race.Lichtman predicts that Joe Biden will win in November.The 13 keys looks at issues such as social unrest, the economy, previous midterm results, scandal, and military results. Lichtman predicting elections in the early 80s, and accurately called for Ronald Reagan's victory in 1984. He has called eight elections since.Lichtman explains his method in a New York Times video op-ed. 787

After nine of her fellow students and one of her teachers was killed by a gunman in her school on Friday, Santa Fe High School student Paige Curry told a Houston news station that she wasn't in disbelief that a shooting could happen at her school.MORE:?At least 10 dead in Texas school shooting, explosive devices found in school"No, there wasn't," Curry told KTRK-TV when asked if there was any part of her that asked if there was any part of her that didn't believe a shooting could happen at her school."It's been happening everywhere. I always kind of felt like eventually it would happen here, too. I don't know. I wasn't surprised, I was just scared."  686

A week after initial claims for unemployment benefits fell below 1 million per week for the first time in five months, claims again jumped over the 1 million threshold for the week ending on Aug. 15.According to new figures released by the Department of Labor Thursday, 1.1 million people filed initial claims for unemployment last week, an increase of about 200,000 claims over the previous week.Despite a slight recent dropoff in unemployment filings, weekly figures continue to exceed the pre-pandemic record of 700,000 in a single week.In addition, lawmakers have yet to strike a deal to replace increased 0 weekly unemployment checks, which expired in July. In May, the Democrats passed the HEROES Act through the House of Representatives, which would have extended the benefits through the end of the year and expanded them to include more people. The Republican-controlled Senate has not considered the bill.Senate Republicans began circulating a new COVID-19 stimulus package this week that would include a 0 a week unemployment benefit. However, the plan likely won't be adopted any time soon — Congress has been adjourned for its annual summer break until early September. 1196

Actress Tamera Mowry-Housley was active on social media on Thursday looking for help locating her and husband's niece Alaina Housley who was presumably at the California bar where a gunman killed 12 before taking his own life. Late Thursday morning, the couple confirmed to NBC News that Alaina Housley was among the 12 killed. "Our hearts are broken. We just learned that our niece Alaina was one of the victims of last night’s shooting at Borderline bar in Thousand Oaks," the couple said in a joint statement to NBC. "Alaina was an incredible young woman with so much life ahead of her and we are devastated that her life was cut short in this manner. We thank everyone for your prayers and ask for privacy at this time."Mowry-Housley's social media thread hours after the late-night shooting shows the frantic nature of trying to gather information of loved ones after mass shootings. The shooting took place before midnight late Wednesday night, and Mowry-Housley's Instagram post came more than nine hours later. Mowry-Housley's sister Tia Mowry was also active on social media trying to gather information. "Alaina Housely we are praying," Tia Mowry wrote in Instagram Thursday morning. "We love u! If you know anything or any information please let us know. We love you! #borderline"Earlier on Thursday morning, Alaina Housley's roommate had posted a plea on Twitter trying to find information on her roommate. Mowry-Housley responded to her niece's roommate and went to Twitter looking for any information she could gather on her niece. Mowry-Housley's husband Adam Housley then went to a California hospital in search of their niece. The Los Angeles Times reported that he was turned away by guards at the hospital. “My gut is saying she’s inside the bar, dead. I’m hoping I’m wrong,” he told the LA Times. He added that his niece's Apple Watch and iPhone locators were tracked to the bar's dance floor. The Los Angeles Times reported that Alaina Housley was 18 years old and a freshman at Pepperdine University. Pepperdine confirmed that 16 of its students were at the bar at the time of the shooting, and there was one unaccounted for as of late Wednesday morning.  2335

Actress Felicity Huffman is reportedly heading back to television to star in an upcoming ABC sitcom.A year after serving 11 days of a two-week sentence for her role in the college admissions bribery scheme, Deadline reports that Huffman is starring in a new pilot commissioned by ABC.The untitled comedy stars Huffman as a widowed woman who inherits her husband's baseball team.It was inspired by Susan Savage, who owns the Sacramento River Cats, the Triple-A affiliate of the San Francisco Giants.Actor Zack Gottsagen will play Huffman's onscreen son, a baseball devotee with Down syndrome, according to The Hollywood Reporter.According to Deadline, Hartman Edwards will write and will also be an executive producer with Huffman, Kapital Entertainment's Aaron Kaplan and Dana Honor, Joel Zadak of Artists First, and Savage. Gottsagen will also produce. 861

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