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BEIJING, Aug. 8 -- China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates. That may mean a departure from the rising spiral of inflation after it peaked at an annualized 8.7 percent in February. Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said his team's research found the July consumer price index (CPI), the main barometer of inflation, may drop to 6.7 percent year-on-year from 7.1 percent in June. The domestic Bank of Communications research arm said the figure could fall at 6.4 percent, which is also the estimate of Southwest Securities. China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates. One of the reasons why prices are stable is that there has been no flooding, a regular feature of the rainy seaon, said Sun of Lehman Brothers. Daily price data from the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Development and Reform Commission show that agricultural product prices rose only slightly in July while meat prices fell. Weekly price data released by the Ministry of Commerce also showed a moderate decline in food prices. The relatively high statistical base of last July also contributed to the drop in inflation this July, said Guo Tianyong, economist with the Central University of Finance and Economics. China's CPI hit 5.6 percent year-on-year last July, the first time it reached the 5-percent level that year. "If no major natural disaster hits China in August, CPI could fall below 6 percent in August, providing more room for the government to remove its price controls," said Sun. Economists said that without many unexpected incidence, it will gradually ease to around 5 percent by the year-end. A possible price liberalization of oil products, however, should not be a one-off adjustment, which will put a huge pressure on the country's battle against inflation, Guo said. China raised the prices of oil products and electricity late June. Analysts said that once the inflation pressure eases, policymakers may start a second round of price liberalization, which may lead to a rebound in CPI. If such liberalization moves are indeed made, they should be done in phases, not in one go, said Guo. Only that will ensure inflation does not peak again, as it did in February. The pressure from the rising producer price index (PPI), which gauges ex-factory prices and influences CPI, may be a concern, but even taking into consideration its impact, consumer inflation may no longer exceed the February peak in the coming months and the first half of next year "The worst times are behind us," said Dong Xianan, macroeconomic analyst with Southwest Securities. "From the second half of last year, the tightenting stance had been obvious, which is a pre-emptive move to ensure the current easing of inflation." Macroeconomic growth The economic growth may gradually slow down in the rest of the year, analysts said, but the fine-tuning of policies would shore it up. Dong from Southwest Securities forecasts that given the current growth momentum, the whole-year figure for GDP growth may be 10.1 percent, well below the 11.9 percent of last year. Other estimates are around the 10 percent mark. The global economic slow-down, which reduces external demand for China's exports, will bring much trouble to China, but its domestic consumption and investment will remain stable, analysts said. More importantly, the central authorities may adjust its tight policies to cater to individual demand of regions and sectors that have found it difficult to survive the tightened policies.
CHENGDU, June 21 (Xinhua) -- Jiang Xiaojuan, a policewoman who was well-known to the Chinese public for feeding infants with breast milk after the May 12 quake, has been officially promoted to a ranking post at a local police bureau, despite a nationwide controversy about the promotion. Jiang was appointed a member of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Committee of the Jiangyou Public Security Bureau and the bureau's vice commissar on Thursday, an official surnamed Su from the organization department of the Jiangyou CPC Committee, Sichuan Province, told Xinhua on Saturday. Jiang was currently on a speaking tour and would assume office as soon as she returned to Jiangyou, said the official. Su denied media reports that the promotion had been suspended because of controversy. Jiang Xiaojuan, a policewoman, is feeding an infant with breast milk after the May 12 quake Many people voiced objections when the Jiangyou government sought public opinion after making the promotion. They said an official position should not be used to promote a moral model. "Such a promotion would fuel speculation activities," wrote a netizen dubbed "West Line" at the leading online forum forum.xinhuanet.com, while another netizen said promotion should depend on one's competence. There were also many supporters of Jiang's promotion, saying that what she did showed she is a good public servant. Su, the Jiangyou official, applauded the debate, saying "it shows the public are concerned on promotions of government officials and their enthusiasm for politics." However, he said "we have gone through due procedures and believe she is qualified for her new post." Jiang, 30, a mother of a six-month old, left her own baby with her parents and took part in the disaster relief work after the Sichuan quake. Moved by the plight of babies separated from their mothers, she ended up breast-feeding nine of them. The pictures of her breast feeding spread across the country, which earned her a nickname "the police mum." She has since been awarded laudatory titles of "hero and model police officer" and "excellent member of the Communist Party" by the Ministry of Public Security and the Organization Department of the CPC Central Committee.
SEOUL, Aug. 25 (Xinhua) -- China and the Republic of Korea (ROK) issued a joint communique here Monday, vowing to cement bilateral relations. The two countries pledged to broaden and enhance cooperation, and intensify coordination on regional and international issues so as to achieve long-term common development while contributing to world peace and prosperity, according to the joint communique issued during President Hu Jintao's state visit to the ROK. The two sides agreed to promote the strategic cooperative partnership between the two countries in a comprehensive way. The two heads of state expressed their satisfaction over the development of bilateral ties in various fields including politics, economy and culture since China and the ROK established diplomatic relations in 1992. Chinese President Hu Jintao (3rd L), accompanied by President of the Republic of Korea (ROK) Lee Myung-bak (1st L), reviews the honor guard during the welcoming ceremony held by Lee Myung-bak at the presidential palace in Seoul, capital of the Republic of Korea, Aug. 25, 2008. Hu Jintao arrived in Seoul on Monday for a two-day state visit to ROK China-ROK ties are of great importance for both countries, and the development of relations has not only benefited China and the ROK, but also contributed to peace and development in Asia and the whole world, said the communique. The two sides agreed to intensify political trust and support each other's peaceful development, as well as expand and deepen communication between the governments, parliaments and political parties of the two countries. They also committed themselves to strengthening high-level contact and increasing dialogue on defense. The two sides also decided to explore new areas of cooperation based on the principles of mutual benefit and complementarity. China and the ROK will promote cultural exchanges, enhance mutual understanding and friendship between the two peoples, and intensify cooperation and coordination on regional and international issues. Chinese President Hu Jintao (L Rear) and President of the Republic of Korea (ROK) Lee Myung-bak (R Rear) hold a joint press conference after their meeting at the presidential palace in Seoul, capital of the Republic of Korea, Aug. 25, 2008. Hu Jintao arrived in Seoul on Monday for a two-day state visit to ROKOn the Taiwan issue, the ROK reiterated its adherence to the one-China policy. The ROK pledged to further develop ties with the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) through reconciliation and cooperation, while the Chinese side reaffirmed its support for the reconciliation process between the ROK and the DPRK and their final peaceful reunification. China and the ROK will maintain frequent exchange of high-level visits and contacts, the communique said. Diplomatic bodies of the two countries will hold advanced strategic dialogues this year, as the start-up of a strategic dialogue mechanism of exchanging views on important issues concerning bilateral common interests. Besides, foreign ministries of the two countries will establish a mechanism of coordination in a bid to further exchanges on foreign policy and international situation, the communique said. Experts from the two countries will launch joint research on promoting all-round bilateral exchanges and cooperation, and hand in their reports to the two governments. In addition, senior officials from the defense bodies of the two countries will also increase contact and strengthen exchanges and cooperation on multiple levels. On economic and trade cooperation, the two countries vow to intensify cooperation in trade and investment, inspection and quarantine, trade relief and intellectual property rights, in an effort to bring forward the target of annual bilateral trade worth200 billion U.S. dollars to 2010. Meanwhile, the two countries will facilitate the adjustment and supplementation of the Medium and Long Term Development Vision for China-ROK Economic and Trade Cooperation. The two nations are willing to work together to further expand bilateral economic and trade cooperation, the communique said. In addition, cooperation in fields such as environment, information and communication, logistics and energy will also be pushed forward. Chinese President Hu Jintao (2nd L), accompanied by President of the Republic of Korea (ROK) Lee Myung-bak (1st L), is welcomed by Korean children upon his arrival at the presidential palace in Seoul, capital of the Republic of Korea, Aug. 25, 2008. Hu Jintao arrived in Seoul on Monday for a two-day state visit to ROKGovernment bodies of the two countries will spare no efforts to establish a favorable investment environment to aid mutual economic development. On the principle of mutual benefits, China and the ROK will accelerate studies on the possibility of a free trade zone in order to quickly implement the same. In order to successfully host the 2010 Shanghai World Expo and the 2012 Yeosu World Expo, the two countries also inked a series of agreements on cooperation and sharing of experience in this regard. On cultural exchanges, the two countries will study measures on providing convenient services to visa applicants as part of efforts to expand people-to-people communication. To further people-related exchanges, the two nations have designated 2010 as Visit China Year and 2012 as Visit Korea Year. On regional and international affairs, the two countries will reinforce communication and cooperation in the framework of the six-party talks, and implement the second phase action of the talks in constructive efforts. Both sides will maintain coordination and cooperation in mechanisms like ASEAN and China, Japan and South Korea, the East Asia Summit, ASEAN Regional Forum and Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation. Diplomatic bodies of the two countries will also set up a mechanism of coordination on UN affairs to enhance understanding and cooperation in this aspect, the communique noted. President Hu Jintao arrived in Seoul earlier Monday for a two-day state visit, only months after his ROK counterpart Lee Myung-bak's official visit to China in May. This is President Hu's second state visit to the ROK. He last visited the country in November 2005.
BEIJING, May 28 -- China's economy can maintain a steady growth above 8 percent for a relatively long period because of a stable society, a vast market and ample capital, said Cheng Siwei, an economist and former vice chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress. "China's economy can stay in the fast developing track if we work hard and pay enough attention to existing problems," Cheng said at a three-day forum with the theme of "Economic globalization and the choice of Asia: transition, growth and welfare" Wednesday in Shanghai. "Social stability is crucial to economic development while China has a market of 1.3 billion people, which creates a huge consumption power," said Cheng. "Meanwhile, China's foreign reserves have reached US.68 trillion, and it has built up an ample capital pool." China also beefed up its efforts to improve education and expand its coverage, which paved the way for sustainable economic development, he said, but added that there were problems China could not afford to ignore. File photo of Cheng Siwei One of them was the yawning gap between the rich and the poor. The income of urban residents has tripled that of rural households while the purchasing power in cities was four times larger than that in rural areas. China faced increasing pressure to protect the environment and in securing raw materials and resources for its economy. It also lacks a large pool of senior professionals in finance and management. "For example, we buy a lot of the United States treasury bonds. It means appointing them (US bond managers) to manage our assets and we only gained a little bit of interest," said Cheng. "We are trying to work on such problems." Cheng estimated China's per capita GDP can reach US,000 by 2010, US,000 by 2020 and US,000 by 2049, given its economic expansion and a stronger yuan.
HANGZHOU, July 8 (Xinhua) -- Vice Premier Li Keqiang has urged the country's enterprises to raise their international competitiveness by speeding up transformation and adjustment in line with the changing domestic and global economic situation. During a three-day inspection and research tour in the booming southeastern Zhejiang Province, which ended on Tuesday, Li visited textile factories, electric machinery companies and high-tech enterprises to get a first-hand assessment of enterprise reform amid a new domestic and international market climate. Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang (2nd L, front) speaks while visiting auto parts producer Wanxiang Group in China’s Zhejiang Province on July 7, 2008.During visits to Wenzhou-based enterprises including garment producer Fapai Group and lighter maker Rifeng, Li said the overall Chinese economy was fundamentally in good shape and China was confident of keeping its economy growing steadily and fast. However, he said, the global economic slowdown and imported inflation were having an increasing impact on the economy and the country should take aggressive measures to deal with such challenges. Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang (C, front) talks with migrant worker Qiu Xucui (R, front) who is from the quake-hit Mianzhu city of southwest China’s Sichuan Province while visiting shoemaker Kangnai Group in China’s Zhejiang Province on July 6, 2008.In visiting electric machinery companies such as leading auto parts producers Wanxiang Group and Ruili Group Corp., Li said the economy was undergoing a critical period, which called for deeper reform. The government should lose no time or opportunity to improve the market economic system and try to make price increases "acceptable" for both industries and the public, Li said. He noted that China should also seek better development of foreign trade, improve the mix of imports and exports, and encourage Chinese enterprises to expand into the international market. At high-tech enterprises like Supcon Group and Alibaba, which owns China's largest e-commerce website, Li said enterprises should also continue to promote technological innovation and improve their management so as to boost their competitiveness. He also said vigorous development of enterprises was vital for the economy to maintain steady and fast growth and governments at all levels should do their best to provide better services for all companies and create a better climate for the development of enterprises