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President Donald Trump and Former Vice President Joe Biden are squaring off for the first presidential debate in Cleveland. But do debates make a difference when it comes to the actual result? DEBATE HISTORY The first presidential debate between general election candidates on television was in 1960. Immediately, there was an impact with viewers reporting they felt Richard Nixon looked ill compared to the young Sen. John F. Kennedy. Nixon elected to not wear makeup and often had a sweaty lip during much of the debate, while Kennedy wore makeup. The next presidential debate didn't happen until 1976 when sitting President Gerald Ford delivered the first major gaffe in a debate. Ford claimed, "there is no Soviet domination of Eastern Europe." At the time, all of Eastern Europe experienced some influence from the Soviet Union. Humor has often been used in debates as well. In 1984, President Ronald Reagan was criticized for his age during his reelection campaign. Reagan responded to the moderator's question by saying, "I want you to know that also I will not make age an issue of this campaign. I am not going to exploit, for political purposes, my opponent's youth and inexperience."IMPACT ON RESULTSHowever, since 1984, there are few examples of debates dramatically shaping the race. In every election, except 2000 and 2016, the candidate leading going into the debate ended up winning the presidency. As a result, more articles have been written like this in recent years: "Debates don't matter the way people think they do." 1549

POWAY, Calif. (KGTV) — A Poway woman is taking legal action against the city after she says she fell ill from drinking contaminated water.The city on Nov. 30 issued a precautionary boil advisory after residents reported brownish water coming from their faucets. Poway officials reported that a storm drain backed up into a clear well, and said they issued the boil advisory in an abundance of caution. The advisory lasted about a week and was lifted Dec. 6. RELATED:Inspection found 12 flaws in Poway's water delivery systemBusinesses struggle to make up for losses after water shut offPoway server gets ,000 tip after restaurant reopensPoway attorney Natasha Serino is representing the woman who filed the claim against the city. Serino says she is hearing from other individuals who have fallen ill, and seeks to represent them, along with businesses who lost revenue. Serino, a Poway resident, said she herself and her two-year-old son were also sickened by the water. "Personally I felt ill after drinking the water, and my son, I had to take him to urgent care" Serino said. "So just in my own family, because we are Poway residents, I have two small children, it's affecting us as well and other people that we work with." A spokesman for the city says Poway is aware of the claim and processing it. 1316

President Donald Trump said Thursday that he will throw out the first pitch at the New York Yankees game on August 15. The event will mark the first time as president Trump has thrown the first pitch.The Yankees will take on the Boston Red Sox that night.Trump made the announcement during a news briefing on the coronavirus after speaking to New York Yankees president Randy Levine earlier."I think I’m doing that on Aug. 15 at Yankee Stadium," Trump said during the briefing. "And I say, 'How’s the crowd going to be?' And, you know, it’s like you don’t have a crowd."Major League Baseball is opening its season Thursday.Sitting in the briefing with Trump was Yankees legendary closer Mariano Rivera. The hall-of-fame reliever who won five World Series titles with the Yankees was at the White House as part of an event with youth baseball players in honor of MLB Opening Day. 886

Predicting the outcome of elections can sometimes be easy. Other years, it is not. Professor Allan Lichtman has predicted every election since 1984, using a model he developed alongside Soviet Union scientists.One of Lichtman's proudest achievements was accurately predicting the 2016 election. President Donald Trump signed a Washington Post article about Lichtman in recent years with his autograph and the phrase "good call."THE METHODLichtman doesn't look at polls."Polls are not predictors, they are misused as predictors," Lichtman said.Instead, Lichtman looks at the political party currently controlling the White House. Then he uses 13 keys to gauge whether the party controlling the White House will lose or not.They are: midterm gains, no contest in the primary, incumbency, no third party, strong short-term economy, strong long-term economy, major policy change, no social unrest, no scandal, no overseas failure, major overseas achievement, charismatic incumbent, uncharismatic opponent."If six or more, any six more, turn against the party holding the White House, they are a predicted loser," Luchtman said.2020 PREDICTIONLichtman says before 2020, Trump appeared to be heading to a reelection. However Trump has now lost seven keys.In Lichtman's opinion, Trump has lost midterm gains, short term economy, long-term economy, no social unrest, no scandal, major overseas achievement, and charismatic incumbent."Could I be wrong? Of course human beings are wrong. But my keys have quite a track record," Lichtman said. 1541

President Donald Trump claimed that up to 15,000 US troops could be sent to the border to deal with the group of migrants heading toward the US through Mexico."As far as the caravan is concerned our military is out, we have about 5,000-8 (thousand), we'll go up to anywhere between 10 (thousand) and 15,000 military personnel on top of border patrol, ICE and everybody else on the border," Trump told reporters Wednesday.The Pentagon has already announced 5,200 active duty troops are being sent to the border and has identified an additional 2,000 that could go. There are currently 2,100 National Guardsmen on duty at the border and an additional 2,000 could be called upon to go if needed.Shortly after Trump spoke, the Pentagon released a statement saying "The number of troops deployed will change each day as military forces flow into the operating area, but the initial estimate is that the DOD will have more than 7,000 troops supporting DHS across California, Arizona and Texas."The migrants, who are over 800 miles away from the US, are weeks away from arriving at the border where many reportedly plan to seek asylum.Trump also added that he is thinking "very seriously" and "immediately" of stopping aid to countries where people in the group of migrants are coming from."Nobody's coming in. We're not allowing people to come in," Trump said. "If you look at what happened in Mexico two days ago with the roughness of these people in the second caravan that's been forming, and also frankly in the first caravan, and now they have one forming in El Salvador. ... We are thinking very seriously, immediately stopping aid to those countries because frankly, they're doing nothing for the American people.""Immigration is a very, very big and very dangerous -- a really dangerous topic and we're not gonna allow people to come into our country that don't have the well being of our country in mind," Trump added.Trump also responded to a question on immigration saying, "I'm not fear mongering at all." 2019

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