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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Economic forecasters are beginning to warn of a possible 2020 recession, and the impact they say will be felt in the Golden State, according to a new report by UCLA.“Don’t celebrate the 3.1% GDP growth estimate for the first quarter of 2019,” writes UCLA Anderson Professor Emeritus Edward Leamer. Leamer is quoted in a recent report produced by the UCLA Anderson School of Management. According to Leamer, the data actually increases the risk of a recession at some point in the next couple of years. Nationally, economic growth is expected to slow marginally to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 and 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020. RELATED: Fed cuts interest rates for the first time since recessionThe good news is that the report predicts an economic rebound, growing again to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. So what picture does the report paint for California? One forecaster says you can expect California unemployment to rise modestly. “Weakness in housing as well as the slowing U.S. economy is reflected in a very modest growth rate in the U.S. in late 2020,” UCLA Anderson Forecast director Jerry Nickelsburg writes. “As a consequence, we expect California’s average unemployment rate to rise slightly to an average of 4.6% in the first quarter of 2021. For the entire year for 2020 and 2021, we expect average unemployment rates of 4.3% and 4.4%, respectively.”Meanwhile, personal income growth in the state of California is forecast at 2.9 percent in 2019. But the report warns that income growth is expected to slow to 1.9 percent by 2020.It’s not all bad news, however, income growth is expected to rise fairly quickly again in 2021, and is forecast to reach 2.1 percent by the end of the year. There's more good news. The Federal Reserve Wednesday lowered interest rates for the first time since the Great Recession in 2008 to help prevent an economic downturn. 1936

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Demonstrators gathered Friday outside San Diego Police Department's headquarters and marched through the streets downtown in protest of the Wisconsin shooting of Jacob Blake.Sky10 was live overhead as protesters marched through the streets, some carrying flags, to demonstrate. The gathering occurred on the same day as the March on Washington in the nation's capital, where thousands rallied on the 57th anniversary of Martin Luther King Jr.’s “I Have a Dream” speech.SDPD shut down Broadway and E Street between 14th and 15th streets, on the north and south sides of downtown SDPD headquarters in preparation for the protest. A flyer for the demonstration advertised the event as being in solidarity with protesters in Kenosha, Wisc., where Blake, a 29-year-old unarmed Black man, was shot seven times in the back by a police officer on Aug. 23.Officers have not said what led up to the shooting, but video shot by a neighbor shows Blake walking to an SUV and attempting to enter it moments before an officer grabs him by the shirt and shoots him.Blake is reportedly paralyzed from his wounds and recovering in a hospital.Sky10 video showed one individual being detained by police during the gathering. Police say they stopped a vehicle following the crowd after it ran at least one red light. During the stop, SDPD said the crowd also stopped and a suspect from the crowd "sprayed a chemical irritant spray at a line of officers."Four people were arrested, according to police: one for battery on an officer and resisting arrest with violence, and the remaining three for resisting/obstructing officers. SDPD later added that two people were arrested for shining a laser at officers and a police helicopter. Three more people were arrested later in the night, according to police. They said someone punched an officer and when police were in the process of arresting that person, two other people tried to interfere. All were arrested. 1967

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Get ready for sunny days at SeaWorld this summer, as the cast of a television favorite comes to San Diego.SeaWorld will host Sesame Street favorites including Elmo, Cookie Monster, and others with themed floats, music, and two performances along the parade route during the Sesame Street Party Parade.The parade will feature 10 massive floats depicting the areas kids know and love, like Mr. Hooper's Store and the Count's Castle.More than 20 dancers will jump and jive alongside Elmo down the parade route, along with a cast of furry friends.During the two mid-parade shows, performers will jump rope, hula hoop, and groove to guests' delight. One show will star Rosita, a Sesame Street favorite known for her guitar skills. The parade can be seen on weekends running from May 25 - Sept. 1 at the park. 830

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — For five days, Balboa Park will be filled with some end-of-the-year food truck fun under the park's dazzling lights.From Dec. 26-30, the Holiday Food Truck Festival brings more than a dozen delicious local food truck vendors to Plaza de Panama from 12 p.m. to 7 p.m. Delicious flavors from Cousins Maine Lobster, Mangia Mangia, Tacos la Mezcla, LouZiana Food, and many more feature tastes from around the world in this delicious holiday event.Live music is also on the menu throughout each day, with performances by Carmen Murray Jazz Trio, Finnegan Blue, Theo and the Zydeco Patrol, Sue Palmer, the Bayou Brothers, and many more.RELATED: Kid-friendly, adult New Year's Eve parties in San DiegoIn addition to eats and tunes, some Balboa Park museums will be offering special activities and hours for guests.Fleet Science Center: From Dec. 26-27 and 30 until 6 p.m., and Dec. 28-29 until 9 p.m., visit the "Winter Parad-ice" ice skating event and enjoy rink-side cocktails. Beer and wine is also available at the Craveology Cafe.San Diego History Center: From Dec. 26-30 11 a.m. to 5 p.m., enjoy kid-friendly activities and free seating in the museum atrium to enjoy your food truck bites.San Diego Natural History Museum: Dec. 26-30 from 11:30 a.m. to 5 p.m., the museum's rooftop cafe is open for alfresco dining to anyone with general museum admission.Spanish Village Art Center: Dec. 26-30 from 12 p.m. to 6 p.m., participating studios will remain open until 6 p.m.San Diego Museum of Art: Dec. 26 and 28-30 until 7 p.m., and Dec. 27 until 8 p.m. On Friday, get admission starting at 5 p.m.Guests can enter a raffle throughout the festival for the chance to win a four-pack of tickets to one of several Balboa Park attractions too.RELATED: Pop-up bars, yuletide events hit San Diego this holiday seasonPlus, the park will host a rotating selection of lawn games and activities, like giant checkers, hula hoops, bowling, cornhole, and giant Jenga blocks. The San Diego History Center, San Diego Police, House of China, the San Diego Model Railroad Museum, and others will host special activities as well.A full schedule of food trucks, entertainment, and activities can be found here. 2216

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Fire officials and city leaders credit timely preparation and resources for helping to knock down the fast-moving Lilac Fire last December.In an after-action report released Friday, the county said the massive show of firefighting effort and management, and a break in the weather, helped to contain the fire's spread within 12 hours."However, as destructive and disruptive as the disaster was, it could have become much larger and destroyed thousands of homes," the report stated.INTERACTIVE LILAC FIRE MAP | LILAC FIRE PHOTOS | MORE THAN 0K RAISED FOR VICTIMSCounty officials also praised the response of fire and emergency personnel as "second-to-none" and "spontaneous care and generosity of residents made the Lilac Fire response and ongoing recovery efforts a success."The county also released a list of recommendations based on the response to the fire, which stated in part: 932