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The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation has published projections on just how the onslaught of COVID-19 cases are expected to impact the nation and all 50 states in the coming weeks. The data, which the White House has used to help advise President Donald Trump and members of the coronavirus task force, is dubbed the "Chris Murray Model." The Chris Murray Model is made available through the University of Washington website. It is updated every morning based on testing from around the country.Dr. Debroah Birx, a member of the White House coronavirus task force, said that the data is consistent with projections used from 12 other sources the White House has relied on to model its COVID-19 projections. "We’ve reviewed 12 different models, and then we went back to the drawing board over the last week or two, and worked from the ground up utilizing actual reporting of cases," Birx said in a White House briefing on Sunday. "It’s the way we built the HIV model, the TB model, and the malaria model. When we finished, the other group that was working in parallel which we didn’t know about, (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) and Chris Murray, ended up at the same numbers. So if you go on his website, you can see the concern that we had with the growing number of potential fatalities.” As of Tuesday, the Chris Murray Model projects that the United States would see a peak demand of ICU visits around April 11 and hospitalizations on April 15. The data also projects that the national peak of deaths per day would come around April 15. Unfortunately, the data suggests that the demand in most states will far exceed the supply for ICU beds. In New York, the number of patients requiring an ICU bed will exceed the supply of such beds by 12 times, based on the projection. In Louisiana, the demand for ICU beds is expected to be three times the supply. The Chris Murray Model does offer some optimism that the United States will successfully "flatten the curve." Only a handful of states are expected to have a shortage of overall hospital beds. It also shows that numbers in most states will begin to tail off by early May, although some states, such as Virginia, could still be dealing with a number of cases well into June. The model also assumes that every state will maintain social distancing guidelines through the duration of the epidemic, which offers a key variable on how the numbers could change. The Chris Murray Model does have a slightly more optimistic outlook on the number of fatalities compared to official White House figures. The Chris Murray Model projects a death toll of nearly 84,000 COVID-19-related deaths into the summer, giving an overall projected range of nearly 36,000 to 154,000. The White House said on Tuesday that it is projecting a national death toll of 100,000 to 240,000. The projection shows that as many Americans will die from COVID-19 in April compared to an entire high-end flu season, even with social distancing guidelines in place. Click 3025

The major television networks will provide wall-to-wall coverage of President Donald Trump's prime time address on border security on Tuesday.NBC, ABC, CBS and Fox broadcast network all said on Monday that they had agreed to the White House's request for air time.CNN, Fox News and MSNBC will all carry the address live, as well.Presidents have been using Oval Office addresses to make big announcements for decades. But this is Trump's first time using the setting for an address to the nation. On Monday the White House requested air time for the speech, as is customary in the relationship between a president and the press.But for a few hours, it was unclear what the networks would do.Trump announced his plan for the 9 p.m. ET Tuesday address via Twitter. In his tweet, he characterized the situation on the border as a "national security crisis," a description that even some people in his own party reject.In response, a broadcast network executive said "time has been requested for 9 p.m. Networks are deliberating."The broadcasters have been known to resist presidential requests for air time for a variety of reasons, including the perceived urgency of the subject and the popularity of the shows that would be interrupted.With Trump, there were other factors to consider, including his record of deception and his tendency to ramble off script in long speeches.Many Trump critics posted messages on social media urging the networks not to air an address that could be filled with falsehoods. Some said that a prominent Democrat should be given equal time. It is unclear if any sort of Democratic rebuttal is in the works.With all that in mind, network newsrooms were abuzz with speculation about what the broadcasters would decide, since it was sure to be controversial either way.CBS was the first of the broadcasters to say it would go ahead and carry the address. Then NBC, ABC and Fox broadcast network said the same. There's no word on a decision from PBS yet.There is precedent for broadcast networks declining to air a presidential speech. In 2014, ABC, NBC, and CBS declined to carry an 2119

The Dow hit 27,000 points for the first time ever on Thursday, as stocks climb higher on hopes of an interest rate cut later this month.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell shored up rate cut hopes with his testimony before the Senate Banking Committee Thursday and House Financial Services Committee Wednesday.The Dow rose to a fresh all-time intraday high before pulling back slightly. It is up 0.4% or 111 points.The S&P 500 is up a modest 0.1%. 466

The last few months of 2018 saw an uptick in domestic terror arrests compared to some other quarters in recent years, a senior FBI official said.Nearly 25 were arrested over the last three months of 2018, said the official, who did not provide more recent data.The domestic terror arrests include but are not limited to far right/white nationalists. The official did not provide an explanation for the increase in that quarter.The FBI has approximately 900 open domestic terror investigations, the official told CNN. These are separate from international terrorism investigations that, for example, involve plots related to ISIS and al Qaeda, including so-called "lone wolf attacks."Notably, there are not domestic terror statutes in the US that allow for specific domestic terror charges. Prosecutors use other violations — such as of weapons possession laws — to charge people accused of plotting domestic terror attacks. Recently, a Coast Guard officer accused of seeking to kill politicians and journalists was charged with firearms and drug violations. And last year, a man espousing anti-Semitic views opened fire on a synagogue in Pittsburgh.Some recent case examples include:Christopher Paul Hasson — a Coast Guard lieutenant arrested last month on firearms and narcotics charges stemming from an FBI investigation that unearthed plans Hasson had for a 1373

The Northern California town of Guerneville has been turned into an island as the Russian River has risen over 45 feet.The river crested 45.31 feet Wednesday night, Sonoma County Emergency Operation Center spokesman Barry Dugan said, after rising steadily for two days and leaving the community with 4,500 residents isolated.Their homes surrounded by flood waters, they have been moving around on kayaks and canoes."The roadways leading into the town along the river and across the river have been cut off by the rising floodwaters," Sonoma County emergency manager Chris Godley said.Dugan said roughly 2,000 homes and buildings have flooded to some degree. Fifty-nine people so far have been rescued and there are no reported injuries.Eighty-nine roads remain closed in the county. Officials said they are in the planning stages to allow people to re-enter as early as Friday, Dugan said.Stunned residents marveled at the rising waters earlier Wednesday, raising cellphones with one arm and snapping unbelievable photos."It is incredibly flooded. It is really nuts. You see just the rooftops popping over on the side of the road," Joe Pease, a county employee who delivered sandbags to firefighters but had to stop because of deep water, told CNN affiliate KGO.Aerial video from the station in San Francisco showed people paddling through Guerneville in canoes and kayaks. On some streets, the water reached the windows of cars. On one street, the water reached the rooflines of a few buildings.The river was 13 feet above flood stage by Wednesday evening, and county officials issued an emergency declaration.They have requested Gov. Gavin Newsom issue a state of emergency, to help local authorities by expanding available resources."(The proclamation) is not just a sign that we have insufficient resources or we're overwhelmed, but instead that we recognize the true potential worst-case scenario here and we want to make sure that we're mobilized effectively and fully to deal with that threat," Godley said."I have lived here in this area for the last 10 years and this is the highest I have ever seen it," said Zak Wood, who lives in Forestville, which is about a mile from the river.Officials expect the river to drop precipitously Thursday and Friday. The record river height is 49.5 feet.Sonoma County residents were told Tuesday night to evacuate.Not every road in Guerneville was under water -- a few were still passable, and now lined by cars and trucks from owners who found the higher ground.KGO reported that one hotel popular with wine enthusiasts was evacuated.The town was the worst hit by flooding, but not the only one.The sheriff tweeted a photo of part of a road in Monte Rio, about 5 miles away, deluged by water."Please heed evacuation orders," the sheriff tweeted.About 20 miles upriver, musician Garrett Pierce posted a video of the Healdsburg Memorial Bridge on Wednesday. Water rushes under the truss bridge, close to the spans. The video shows some breaks in the clouds.More rain is forecast through Sunday -- except on Thursday. A flood warning is in effect for parts of the area, the weather service said. A flood warning means flooding is imminent or occurring; a watch indicates potential for flooding based on forecasts. 3268