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BEIJING, Aug. 8 -- China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates. That may mean a departure from the rising spiral of inflation after it peaked at an annualized 8.7 percent in February. Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said his team's research found the July consumer price index (CPI), the main barometer of inflation, may drop to 6.7 percent year-on-year from 7.1 percent in June. The domestic Bank of Communications research arm said the figure could fall at 6.4 percent, which is also the estimate of Southwest Securities. China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates. One of the reasons why prices are stable is that there has been no flooding, a regular feature of the rainy seaon, said Sun of Lehman Brothers. Daily price data from the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Development and Reform Commission show that agricultural product prices rose only slightly in July while meat prices fell. Weekly price data released by the Ministry of Commerce also showed a moderate decline in food prices. The relatively high statistical base of last July also contributed to the drop in inflation this July, said Guo Tianyong, economist with the Central University of Finance and Economics. China's CPI hit 5.6 percent year-on-year last July, the first time it reached the 5-percent level that year. "If no major natural disaster hits China in August, CPI could fall below 6 percent in August, providing more room for the government to remove its price controls," said Sun. Economists said that without many unexpected incidence, it will gradually ease to around 5 percent by the year-end. A possible price liberalization of oil products, however, should not be a one-off adjustment, which will put a huge pressure on the country's battle against inflation, Guo said. China raised the prices of oil products and electricity late June. Analysts said that once the inflation pressure eases, policymakers may start a second round of price liberalization, which may lead to a rebound in CPI. If such liberalization moves are indeed made, they should be done in phases, not in one go, said Guo. Only that will ensure inflation does not peak again, as it did in February. The pressure from the rising producer price index (PPI), which gauges ex-factory prices and influences CPI, may be a concern, but even taking into consideration its impact, consumer inflation may no longer exceed the February peak in the coming months and the first half of next year "The worst times are behind us," said Dong Xianan, macroeconomic analyst with Southwest Securities. "From the second half of last year, the tightenting stance had been obvious, which is a pre-emptive move to ensure the current easing of inflation." Macroeconomic growth The economic growth may gradually slow down in the rest of the year, analysts said, but the fine-tuning of policies would shore it up. Dong from Southwest Securities forecasts that given the current growth momentum, the whole-year figure for GDP growth may be 10.1 percent, well below the 11.9 percent of last year. Other estimates are around the 10 percent mark. The global economic slow-down, which reduces external demand for China's exports, will bring much trouble to China, but its domestic consumption and investment will remain stable, analysts said. More importantly, the central authorities may adjust its tight policies to cater to individual demand of regions and sectors that have found it difficult to survive the tightened policies.
BEIJING, May 4 (Xinhua) -- Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao urged Chinese law students to be fair-minded and patriotic in future law enforcement here on Sunday. A law student should develop a high degree of sense of responsibility for the country, the society and the people. He or she should be fair-minded and above all, love this country, said Wen during his visit to the China University of Political Science and Law on China's Youth Day. During his trip, Wen first went to the first floor of the university's library, which boasts the country's largest collection of modern law books. Here Wen met senior experts and professors and talked with them about the law history. "We will better implement the policy of 'administration according to Law'", said Wen, when receiving a collection of law history books from professor Zhang Jinfan, who spent 19 years with some 10 professors to compile these books. Wen then stepped into the second floor of the library, where he joined the students in the reading room and exchanged views on legal system building. When asked by Wang Tuo, a PhD candidate majoring in Criminal Law, about his expectations for the concept of "Ruling the Country by Law", Wen said the concept served as a basis for developing economy and maintaining social harmony To promote democracy, improve the legal system, and rule the country by law is not only a national strategy, but also serves to safeguard the personal rights and freedom of every citizen, he said. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (L) has lunch with students in the dining hall of China University of Political Science and Law in Beijing, capital of China, May 4. When asked to comment on the link between people's livelihood and the concept of "Ruling the Country by Law", the Premier said that only when policies addressing issues of people's livelihood were stipulated into law, could people enjoy the benefits of these policies for a long term. Wen then walked into the dormitories and chatted with the students. "I learnt things that are not taught in classrooms. The Premier knows so much about law and puts such strong emphasis on law, I will study hard and make my contributions to the country," said postgraduate Chen Xuemeng. Around 12 o'clock, Wen walked into the school's cafeteria and had lunch with the students. The Premier expressed his concern over the recent price rise, and asked the students if they could afford the daily food and whether the scholarship could help them solve their difficulties. To make sure that the college students' living standards are not influenced by the price rise, the government has allocated 20 yuan of subsidy per month for each college student, with those from very poor families receiving 40 yuan each per month, Wen said. At 12:30, the premier left the campus as large crowds of students waved goodbye. "The Premier's visit makes this Youth Day special and meaningful," said student Yang Kunzhang, "The premier's expectations direct the way of our future efforts".Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (L) shakes hands with students of China University of Political Science and Law in Beijing, capital of China, May 4, 2008. Wen spent the May 4 Youth Day of China at the university on Sunday at the invitation of students of the university
BEIJING, April 29 (Xinhua) -- Hu Jintao, general secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee, on Tuesday urged Taiwan to work together with the mainland based on four principles: "Building mutual trust, laying aside disputes, seeking consensus and shelving differences, and creating a win-win situation." He called for substantial efforts for the welfare of Chinese compatriots on both sides, to seek peace across the Taiwan Strait and create a new situation for the peaceful development of cross-strait relations. Hu made these remarks in a meeting with Lien Chan, honorary chairman of the Kuomintang Party (KMT), his wife and his delegation, at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in central Beijing. Hu Jintao (R), general secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, meets with Lien Chan, honorary chairman of the Chinese Nationalist Party, or Kuomintang (KMT), in Beijing, April 29, 2008. Positive changes have taken place in Taiwan and the cross-strait relationship has witnessed sound development, said Hu. He thanked Lien for bringing to the mainland the works of a well-known Taiwan sculptor as a gift to the Beijing Olympics. Hu recalled his first meeting with Lien three years ago, which was the first official summit between the CPC and the KMT in the past 6 decades. At that first summit, the two parties publicized common aspirations for the peaceful development of cross-strait relations, which laid the political foundation for cooperation, he noted. He called for resuming cross-strait talks on the basis of the "1992 Consensus" as early as possible, to resolve problems in a practical manner, make substantial efforts for the welfare of Chinese compatriots on both sides and seek peace across the strait. "The Chinese nationality will realize a bright future in its great rejuvenation, a common glory for the compatriots of the two banks," He said. The compatriots share the same fate and belong to the same big family of the Chinese nationality, Hu said. He expressed the hope that compatriots on both banks will further join hands to create a new environment for the peaceful development of cross-strait relations, realize the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nationality, and promote the lofty cause of peace and development of mankind. In his remarks, Lien agreed with Hu. He said the principles adopted at the KMT-CPC summit in 2005 were "of epoch-making importance" and have since been the guidelines for the peaceful development of cross-strait relations. The welfare of the compatriots on both banks must be built upon the peaceful development of cross-strait relations, Lien said. He called for joint efforts to increase exchanges and cooperation in the fields of economics, culture, education and social security. Also present were senior mainland officials including Wang Qishan, Ling Jihua, Chen Yunlin and Chen Shiju.