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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — City Councilman Scott Sherman is throwing his hat in San Diego's race for the next mayor.Sherman (District 7) pulled candidate intention papers this week, signaling his impending run in 2020, according to documents.Sherman becomes one of the only GOP candidates in the race to replace Mayor Kevin Faulconer, who's also a Republican. Bay Park resident Richard Hansen, a former Democrat who left the party in 2016, entered the race in September as a Republican.In 2020, both Faulconer and Sherman will term out of their respective positions.RELATED: Poll: Gloria pulls early lead in San Diego mayoral raceSan Diego's top Democratic mayoral candidates square off in debateThe Republican councilman will enter the race against several Democratic candidates, including councilwoman Barbara Bry, Assemblyman Todd Gloria, and community activist Tasha Williamson. In a September 10News/Union-Tribune poll, of these three candidates, 46 percent of respondents were undecided on who they'd support, while 36 percent sided with Gloria, 15 percent supported Bry, and 8 percent favored Williamson. That poll was also based on whether these three names were the only ones on the ballot.Candidates have until Dec. 5 to file their nomination papers with the city. The position is technically listed as "non-partisan."Sherman's district covers Miramar, Tierrasanta, Serra Mesa, Linda Vista, Mission Valley, Grantville, Allied Gardens, Del Cerro, San Carlos, and Lake Murray. 1484

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — As states continue to count votes, one thing is clear: the pre-election polls were off again.Pollsters underestimated support for President Donald Trump by a wider margin than they did in 2016, prompting a number of theories about what went wrong and why changes adopted after the 2016 election proved ineffective.Heading into Election Day 2020, candidate Joe Biden led Trump nationally by an average of 8.4%, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average. We won’t know the final margin until all the votes are counted, but it looks like Trump’s support was underestimated by about 3.5%.That’s wider than the national popular vote miss in 2016, when the polls underestimated Trump’s support by 1.1%.“Polling emerged from 2016 with a black eye. This is fair to say a second black eye in 2020,” said Jay Leve of polling firm SurveyUSA.Leve said the industry thought it had corrected its 2016 mistakes. Polling in the 2018 midterms was very accurate.In 2020, pollsters made sure to weigh for education level and include enough non-college-educated white voters to try to capture a representative sample of the electorate.But state polls show it didn’t work. In Ohio, there was a nearly 8-point miss. In Wisconsin, there was a nearly 10-point miss. In Florida, the polls missed by 5 points and incorrectly showed Biden in the lead.“While pollsters attempted to correct for the mistakes that they made in 2016, President Trump was busy hammering home a narrative that, number one, the media is the enemy of the people. And number two, polls are fake polls,” Leve said.Leve thinks that skepticism and distrust caused Trump supporters to ignore pollsters at a higher rate, causing them to be underrepresented in samples.San Diego State political scientist Dr. Stephen Goggin says there are other theories as well.“Between mail-in balloting, the pandemic, between all the early voting and all the confusion it creates, it’s possible some of that played a role in creating the error we saw this time,” he said.Goggin said the pandemic may have made the models used to predict voter turnout less accurate this cycle. Many surveys heading into the election showed an unusual trend: Biden was polling better among so-called “likely voters” than among registered voters overall. Typically Republicans hold an edge among likely voters, Nate Cohn of the New York Times noted.There’s also some early data suggesting once the pandemic hit, Democrats started responding to surveys more frequently, something that could have shifted the poll numbers.There may have also been issues surveying certain demographic groups. Pre-election polls showed Biden chipping away at Trump’s lead with seniors compared to 2016, but Biden actually did worse than Clinton with that demographic in certain key states. Trump’s support among Hispanic voters in Florida also surprised pollsters. If exit polling data shows that trend continued in other states, it might explain about one-quarter of this year’s polling error, according to the New York Times.“Many of these errors are fixable when they find out what went wrong and you can still get high-quality samples,” Goggin said.Pollsters are planning to do detailed autopsies on the election once they have final turnout data and results by precinct. Polling firms will eventually post detailed data from their results to the Roper Center for more finely tuned analysis.ABC 10News used SurveyUSA this election cycle to poll 11 state and local races. The final polls accurately predicted the winner in all 11 races, although the margins weren’t perfect.The ABC 10News/Union-Tribune scientific polls actually overestimated Trump’s support in California by about 4 points, relative to vote totals as of November 12. 3757

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Authorities confirmed Monday that a deadly shooting in Chula Vista and a second shooting at Sunset Cliffs in April are related.Police say three people, Britney Canal known as "Giggles", 29, Cesar Alvarado, known as "Capone", 39, and Michael Pedraza, known as "Monster", 27, have been charged and are being held without bail for the deadly crime spree.According to a prosecutor, the murder charges with special circumstances may lead to the death penalty. To illustrate the callous nature of the suspects, the District Attorney said the three celebrated after killing a man in Chula Vista.  627

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Border Patrol agents arrested a man Thursday they say had more than 100 pounds of narcotics in his car.According to the agency, the arrest happened just before 11 a.m. on October 8 along Interstate 15 near Vista.Border Patrol says agents initiated a vehicle stop “on a suspicious 2015 Chevy Camaro” when a K-9 alerted authorities.After searching the car, agents found 68 bundles of cocaine and crystal meth hidden inside the vehicle’s quarter panels and cowling. The narcotics have an estimated street value of more than 8,000.The driver, who is a US citizen, was turned over to the Drug Enforcement Agency.Since October 1, Border Patrol says it has seized over 491 pounds of cocaine, 7,169 pounds of methamphetamine, 178 pounds of heroin, and 383 pounds of fentanyl. 798

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Art, hot rods, and delicious brews are on tap for San Diego's weekend.If you're looking to exercise your creative sensibilities, try your hand at painting with "Beer and Bob" at Benchmark Brewing, where a session with Bob Ross will teach attendees how to create "Morning Mist." Or, visit the Oceanside Museum of Art Sunday for free admission during first Sunday.Cruisin' Grand returns to Escondido this weekend for some classic car action every Friday through the summertime. Head out and take a gander at some amazing feats of automotive ingenuity.RELATED: Things to do for free in San Diego CountyNorth Park will host a Festival of Beers, featuring 50 beers from the best breweries around, while there's sure to be some delicious brews at the San Marcos Spring Festival and Street Fair and Record Swap event at The Casbah.Here's a look at San Diego's weekend events:THURSDAYPainting with Beer and BobWhere: Benchmark Brewing Co.; Cost: Bust out your painting skills with a brew and a brush during Painting with Beer and Bob at Benchmark. Tickets get guests a beer and one-hour painting session recreating Bob Ross' "Morning Mist" portrait. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix in concertWhere: Copley Symphony Hall; Cost: - The San Diego Symphony will take listeners along Harry Potter's journey through the wizarding world, as they provide the score to the film "Order of the Phoenix" as the movie is projected above the orchestra.FRIDAYCirque Du Soleil: VoltaWhere: Del Mar Fairgrounds; Cost: starting at (Thursday - Sunday) Experience the magic of Cirque Du Soleil under the bog top at Del Mar this weekend, as the energetic circus brings amazing feats using dance, high-flying maneuvers, and even BMX choreography.Cruisin' Grand EscondidoWhere: Grand Ave.; Cost: FreeEscondido's vintage auto show on the street returns every Friday from April 5 to Sept. 27, bringing out visitors, car enthusiasts and hundreds of historic cars. People watch, stop for a bite to eat, and enjoy a look at automotive ingenuity spanning Grand Ave.SATURDAYSouth Bay Earth DayWhere: Memorial Park; Cost: FreeThe South Bay's largest Earth Day event is will bring bicycling events, fix-it clinics, organic food, art exhibits, yoga, and much more fun to Memorial Park in celebration of Earth Day. The event will offer attendees tips and tricks for recycling and energy conservation as well.Vinyl Junkies Record SwapWhere: The Casbah; Cost: Fans of vinyl won't want to miss out on thousands of records up for sale during The Casbah's record swap this weekend. The 21+ event will feature free tote bags and pizza from Lefty's Chicago Pizzeria, live music, and some classic records to gush over — just in time for Record Store Day on April 13.North Park Festival of BeersWhere: Lafayette Hotel; Cost: - Unlimited tastings of more than 50 beers from some of the best breweries around will be featured at North Park's Festival of Beers. Proceeds from the event will benefit the San Diego Music Foundation, funding Taylor Guitars in local school music programs.SUNDAYJulian Gold Rush DaysWhere: Julian Farm; Cost: Admission is free, for adults(Saturday - Sunday) Experience the days of the gold rush in Julian with panning for gold, tomahawk throwing, archery, and more. Julian Farms will also host arts and crafts, a beer garden, and vendor booths to peruse, and free as well as priced activities.San Marcos Spring Festival and Street FairWhere: Via Vera Cruz, between San Marcos Blvd. & Grand Ave.; Cost: FreeCelebrate springtime in San Marcos with more than 250 artisan and craft vendors, a beer and wine garden, live performances and music, and carnival rides for kids during the city's massive Spring Festival and Street Fair.Oceanside Museum of Art Free First SundayWhere: Oceanside Museum of Art; Cost: FreeIt's the first Sunday of the month, which means free admission at the Oceanside Museum of Art. Head up north and check out exhibitions by the National Watercolor Society, artist Matthew Barnes, and a range of surrealism by San Diego artists. 4091

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