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The housing market has been strong in 2020, but as we head into 2021, it seems the market will continue to buck all home buying and selling trends.“It used to be true the home buying season was spring or summer when kids are out of school,” says Daryl Fairweather, chief economist for Redfin. “The pandemic has changed all that.”It's her job to study the market, follow migration patterns, and make sure both agents and customers are informed.“I predict that the early winter -- January, February -- is going to be an unusually busy home buying and selling season,” Fairweather says.Fairweather said people can move anytime and they're eager to get it over with when they've made the decision to relocate.“People want to move to places that really fit their preferences whether it's a beach town or a lake town or to be closer to their family, people are moving to places that they really want to live in, not just places that are close to the office,” Fairweather said.Jordan Thomas bought a home while the market has been hot.“It's a very quick process, buying was extremely competitive,” Thomas said.Thomas said she was among the many who decided the time to buy is now.“Because the interest rates were so great, I was able to get a really great deal on a larger home for myself,” Thomas said.She was the first to put in an offer on her Houston-area home. Six more offers followed that same day.“Because I was the first to put in the offer and I was aggressive with what I put forth, the first time around was the reason why I ended up getting the home,” Thomas said.And true to Fairweather's prediction about what people want in a home, Thomas was ready to renovate. Like others, she wanted an updated, larger kitchen and a bigger home office.“Two days after I closed on my home, I handed the key over my contractor and said ‘go to town,’” Thomas said.If you're looking at one of those "hot markets,” places like the suburbs, vacation towns, or mountainous and lake areas, Fairweather said, “My advice to buyers is that timing matters.”Fairweather added that buyers should be ready for competition. 2110

The makers of the popular video game Fortnite have a big supporter in their corner as they go to battle against Apple - Microsoft.A few weeks ago, Epic Games introduced Epic Direct payments, a direct-payment plan for Apple's iOS and Google Play that bypasses the App Store.Apple said the service violated its guidelines, so they removed the game from the App Store.Epic, in return, took legal action. On Sunday, Microsoft issued a statement, which was tweeted out by Xbox boss Phil Spencer, that explained they were backing up Epic in their court battle because "Apple’s discontinuation of Epic’s ability to develop and support Unreal Engine for iOS or macOS will harm game creators and gamers." 703

The number of people killed in wildfires burning in California has risen to 50 -- including 48 from northern California's Camp Fire, already the most destructive and deadly blaze in state history.As firefighters battle that fire Wednesday in Butte County north of Sacramento, authorities fear more human remains will be found as searchers comb through rubble and ashes in Paradise, the ravaged town of about 27,000 residents."I want to tell you, though, this is a very, very difficult process," Butte County Sheriff and Coroner Kory L. Honea told reporters. "There's certainly the unfortunate possibility that even after we search an area, once we get people back in there, it's possible that human remains can be found."PHOTOS: Wildfires devastationAuthorities have requested that 100 National Guard troops join cadaver dogs, mobile morgues and anthropology teams in the grim search and recovery of human remains.In Southern California, firefighters still are battling the Woolsey Fire, which so far has left two people dead in Malibu.They've also been fighting a new blaze, the Sierra Fire, in San Bernardino County. It started late Tuesday about 50 miles east of Los Angeles near Rialto and Fontana, and by Wednesday morning had burned 147 acres, though no evacuations have been ordered, the San Bernardino County Fire District said.Fire officials said the Sierra Fire was fanned by the Santa Ana winds -- strong, dry winds that high-pressure systems push from east to west, from the mountains and desert areas down into the Los Angeles area.Winds will be "particularly strong" Wednesday morning but are expected to weaken by evening, the National Weather Service said.Meanwhile in Northern California, forecasters have said the winds fueling the Camp Fire would slowly begin to decrease Wednesday and give firefighters a reprieve. 1842

The polling industry has a lot on the line heading into Tuesday's midterm election.Critics blamed pollsters when voters were caught off guard by Donald Trump's election in 2016. Old cries of "don't believe the polls" became fevered shouts. And the president has encouraged distrust by calling certain polls "fake" and claiming they are used to "suppress" the vote.Although there is no evidence to suggest that is true, there is persistent and widespread suspicion about polling, according to, you guessed it, a McClatchy-Marist poll. And it exists on both sides, albeit in different forms."I think Democrats may have felt let down by the polls but don't think it was an intentional error. I think many Republicans believe the polling errors of 2016 were intentional," GOP pollster and co-founder of Echelon Insights Kristen Soltis Anderson told CNN.So can the industry regain trust?Since 2016 there's been a whole lot of self-reflection in the polling world. Pollsters have tweaked their techniques; pundits have become more cautious when talking about polls; and news outlets have conducted some fascinating experiments.On Tuesday, all the efforts are being put to the test."Some pollsters would disagree with this, but the way that the public generally views whether or not polling is accurate is whether or not it gets the results of the election right," CNN analyst Harry Enten said on "Reliable Sources.""I'm not necessarily sure that's fair," Enten said, "but I do think that there is more pressure on pollsters this year to get it right given the president's rhetoric and given what happened in 2016."Many, though not all, 2016 polls underestimated support for Trump. This effect was particularly pronounced at the state level, where there were embarrassing "misses," showing Hillary Clinton with safe leads in states Trump actually carried.Most national polls accurately showed Clinton winning the popular vote. But reporters and commentators made lots of mistakes in their interpretations of the polls. Readers and viewers did, too. Many people discounted the margin and other factors and made faulty assumptions that Trump would lose to Clinton.There were other problems, too. Predictive features on websites gained lots of traffic before the election but caused lots of consternation afterward. HuffPost's model infamously showed Clinton with a 98 percent chance of winning. "We blew it," the site admitted afterward.But just as importantly, HuffPost's Natalie Jackson tried to explain why.Other news outlets have also tried to be more transparent and remind voters of what polls cannot convey.In special elections since 2016, Democrats have repeatedly outperformed polls of their races.The top example was the Virginia governors' race. "Ralph Northam was favored by three points. He ended up winning by nine," Enten said.But past outcomes are not an indicator of future results."I think many pollsters and forecasters have tried to be much more intentional about explaining uncertainty and being humble about what data can and can't tell us," Anderson said. "Because I think there was a big sense that in 2016, there was more certainty conveyed than may have been justified by the available data."So political pros and reporters are communicating poll results differently this time. Time magazine's Molly Ball, who has a no-predictions rule for herself, said that even people who do make predictions are adding more caveats: There's "less of the, 'Well, the needle shows this' and more of, 'Here's what it doesn't show, here's what we should always remember can happen about probabilities.'"Early voting has been explosive in the midterms, indicating above-average enthusiasm among both Democrats and Republicans. Pollsters have to make assumptions about turnout when contacting "likely voters," and this is a difficult election to forecast.The 2018 electorate is "a universe that doesn't exist yet," Democratic pollster Margie Omero said. "I mean, people don't know whether they're going to vote, some people."They may tell a pollster that they're sure to vote, but never make it to the ballot box. Or they might change who they're voting for.Conversely, certain subsets of voters may have a big impact on the final results without really showing up in the pre-election polling. If pollsters assume relatively low youth turnout, but lots of young people vote for the first time, that could cause big surprises in certain races.The vast majority of people who are called by pollsters decline to participate, so the researchers have to make a huge number of phone calls, bend over backwards to reach a representative sample of people, and weight their results accordingly.Some polls are higher quality than others. Most news outlets tend to favor live interviewers, as opposed to computerized systems, and a mix of landline and cell phone calls. But some outlets are wading into web-based polling. CNN's polling standards preclude reporting on web polls.This fall The New York Times pulled back the curtain by conducting "live polling" and publishing the results in real time, call by call. Working with Siena College, the surveyors made 2,822,889 calls and completed 96 polls of House and Senate races."We wanted to demystify polling for people," said Nate Cohn of The Times' Upshot blog."From our point of view, it's almost a miracle how accurate polls usually are, given all the challenges," Cohn said in an interview with CNN.He emphasized that polls are "very fuzzy things." And the real-time polling showed this to the public. The researchers sought to interview about 500 people for each race that was examined.In Iowa's fourth congressional district, for example, 14,636 calls resulted in 423 interviews.The results showed the incumbent, far-right congressman Steve King, with 47% support, and his Democratic challenger J.D. Scholten with 42%.The Times characterized this as a "slight edge" for King, with lots of room for error. "The margin of sampling error on the overall lead is 10 points, roughly twice as large as the margin for a single candidate's vote share," the Times explained on its website.Cohn's final pre-election story noted that "even modest late shifts among undecided voters or a slightly unexpected turnout could significantly affect results."That's the kind of language that lots of polling experts are incorporating into their stories and live shots, especially in the wake of the 2016 election."With polling, you never actually get to the truth," Cohn said. "You inch towards it, and you think you end up within plus or minus 5 points of it at the end."As Enten put it, "polls are tools," not meant to be perfect. But that message needs to be reinforced through the news media. 6753

The homestretch of the 2020 presidential campaign culminates on Tuesday as President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden meet for the first of three presidential debates.Tuesday’s debate will air live on this network at 9 p.m. ET from Cleveland.Here is what you need to know about Tuesday's showdown.The candidatesDemocratic Party nominee Biden and Republican nominee Trump were the only two candidates invited to Tuesday’s debate based on polling. In order to be invited, a candidate must poll at 15 percent or above in a series of national polls to qualify.An aggregate of national polls by Real Clear Politics has Biden leading the popular vote by a 50-43 margin. But as Hillary Clinton learned in 2016, winning the popular vote does not mean victory.The moderatorFox News’ Chris Wallace will moderate a presidential debate for the second straight election cycle. Wallace was widely praised for his moderation of the 2016 debate between Clinton and Trump.While Fox News is considered by many to be right-leaning, Wallace is called one of the networks more independent anchors. Before joining Fox News, he was a reporter for ABC News, and the Washington Bureau Chief of NBC News.While Wallace did not moderate a Democratic Party debate, he is quite familiar with Trump. During the summer, Wallace held wide-ranging interview with Trump, which took Trump to task for the federal government’s response to the coronavirus.While this is the first time Wallace has moderated a debate involving Biden, he has moderated a debate involving Trump four prior times.Wallace moderated three GOP debates for Fox News during the 2016 primary season. During one of the debates, Wallace chided Marco Rubio and Trump stating, “Gentlemen, you’re going to have to do better than this.”The formatThe debate will be broken into six, 15-minute segments.Those segments include:The Trump and Biden RecordThe Supreme CourtCOVID-19The EconomyRace and Violence in our CitiesThe Integrity of the ElectionWhile the exact times candidates will be allowed to speak have not been released, during the last debate Wallace moderated, candidates had two minutes to answer each question, with remaining time to go into a deeper discussion on the topicPrepping for the debateWhile Trump has kept a busy public schedule in the week leading up to the debate, Biden has cut back on appearances to focus on debate prep.Trump had wanted the first debate to be held earlier as voters in a small number of states have started casting ballots.Unrest in US citiesOne of the six topics listed is on race and violence in US cities. The topic will be discussed just days after a Kentucky grand jury announced that two officers who shot and killed Breonna Taylor in Kentucky would not be charged.The issue of race and unrest has been one the two candidates are deeply divided on. While both candidates have said they oppose defunding police departments, Trump has frequently mischaracterized Biden’s position on policing, claiming that Biden supports defunding police departments.Meanwhile, Biden has frequently accused Trump of inciting violence and that Trump’s rhetoric has increased tensions.The Supreme CourtIn 2016, it was a certainty the next president would have to fill at least one Supreme Court vacancy. As Trump is about to likely fill his third open seat on the court, what happens in 2021 and beyond is unclear.Democrats have suggested that they would push to expand the size of the Supreme Court if they control the Senate and White House. Biden has not said whether he would go allow with that plan.Assuming Trump’s third nominee is confirmed, the Supreme Court will give conservatives a distinct advantage.The oldest member of the Supreme Court, 82-year-old Stephen Breyer, is a Clinton appointee. The next oldest justice, George H.W. Bush appointee Clarence Thomas, is a whole decade younger.CoronavirusLikely no issue has shaped the 2020 election more than the coronavirus. With more than 200,000 coronavirus-related fatalities, an unemployment rate that has doubled since March, and the US deficit jumping to near-record levels, the virus has impacted everyday life for virtually all Americans.How the country responds to the virus between now and Inauguration Day could change, however. Will a vaccine be ready by then? Will Americans trust that the vaccine is safe and effective? And what if a vaccine takes longer than expected and/or is not effective as hoped? 4457

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