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Allan Lichtman is a historian who wrote “The Keys to the White House,” which outlines 13 metrics for predicting the outcome of a presidential election.Lichtman’s method has proven to work over the years, as he broke from other prognosticators and predicted a Donald Trump victory in 2016. And with the 2020 presidential election now less than three months away, he has weighed in on this year’s race.Lichtman predicts that Joe Biden will win in November.The 13 keys looks at issues such as social unrest, the economy, previous midterm results, scandal, and military results. Lichtman predicting elections in the early 80s, and accurately called for Ronald Reagan's victory in 1984. He has called eight elections since.Lichtman explains his method in a New York Times video op-ed. 787

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez just went from bartender to Congress woman. But the youngest member of the House of Representatives says she's having a hard time finding affordable housing on a working-class salary. Members of Congress have to live in their home state and Washington, D.C., where homes are small and expensive. Rent ranges from ,500 to ,800 a month.For New York's Ocasio-Cortez, that means paying rent in two of the most expensive cities in the country.“To live in two major cities at 29 years old, it's not easy for anybody to do until she gets that income that she's waiting for once her job starts,” Steve Gaich, a relator in D.C., says.After winning her election, Ocasio-Cortez told the New York Times, "I have three months without a salary before I’m a member of Congress. So, how do I get an apartment? Those little things are very real."Other members of Congress have admitted to sleeping on cots and couches in their congressional offices, while some share apartments and homes.“I think the sticker shock does take people back sometimes, and they don't realize I’m paying 0 a month for a full house in Kansas or in Iowa, and 0 might get you a shared room in a house in D.C.,” Gaich says.Members of the House make 4,000, and Ocasio-Cortez admits she'll be fine once she starts receiving a paycheck. But is it enough for the average American to afford to serve in Congress?  “I don't think you have to be rich to run for Congress. I think she has shown that's an example of someone that's not that wealthy and doesn't have a lot of support coming financially, so I think she's definitely paved the way for a lot of other normal average working, modest income people to be able to run for Congress,” Gaich says. 1757

After President Donald Trump announced early Friday morning that he tested positive for COVID-19, many are wondering what happens if a president becomes incapacitated.White House Physician Dr. Sean Conley said in a memo that the president and First Lady Melania Trump "are both well at this time," but did not say whether they were experiencing symptoms of the virus.Trump, who is 74 years old, meets several categories that science found makes COVID-19 symptoms worse — his age, his gender, and his weight. The president is technically obese through his body-mass index.The 25th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution, which was adopted on Feb. 10, 1967, deals with the issues of presidential succession and who runs the country if the president is incapacitated.Section 3 of the 25th Amendment allows the president to submit, in writing, that he is not able to discharge the powers of the office. In that case, the president will voluntarily transfer the authority to the vice president, but the VP does not become president and the president remains in office.Section 3 was invoked under President Ronald Reagan when he underwent a colonoscopy, and twice under President George W. Bush when he underwent colonoscopies.In the case of Trump, he could voluntarily transfer power to Vice President Mike Pence if he believes it is necessary.Section 4 also gives the president's Cabinet the ability to strip him of power if the Cabinet believes he has become incapacitated. This Section has not been invoked. In this case, the Vice President would assume the powers of the office and become the Acting President."Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President," Section 4 reads.This story was originally published by Max White on WXYZ in Detroit. 2164

Air pollution could be more damaging to our health than previously thought, according to a new study, which found that prolonged exposure to dirty air has a significant impact on our cognitive abilities, especially in older men.According to the study published Tuesday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, breathing polluted air causes a "steep reduction" in scores on verbal and math tests.Researchers at the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) examined data from the national China Family Panel Studies longitudinal survey, mapping the cognitive test scores of nearly 32,000 people over the age of 10 between 2010 and 2014 against their exposure to short- and long-term air pollution. 730

After spending months in isolation during the pandemic, when 103-year-old Dorothy Pollack was allowed to leave her nursing home she had a few things on her to-do list.She got her first tattoo, a frog, to celebrate her birthday. After being in isolation for so long, she said out of nowhere she decided she wanted a tattoo.Why a frog? Pollack says it’s the one thing she loves more than beer and burgers.The tattoo artist says Pollack took the experience like a champ and he didn’t see her flinch.After getting the tattoo, Pollack crossed another item off her bucket list, riding on a motorcycle. 603