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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — The latest ABC News national polling average shows former Vice President Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump by 8 points.But a lot of people are wondering, can we trust the polls after what happened in 2016?The last time Donald Trump was on the ballot in 2016, the polls had him trailing former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton by an average of 3.2 percentage points, and we know what happened.However, pollsters weren’t off by as much as you might think.“At the national level, the polling was, remarkably, given all things, precise,” said Jay Leve, CEO of the polling firm SurveyUSA.Trump lost the popular vote by 2.1 points instead of 3.2, the most accurate these national polls had been in 80 years, according to an analysis by the American Association for Public Opinion Research.Where the polls did miss badly was at the state level, particularly in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, three states that were critical in the Electoral College.Leve said there were several reasons for the polling problems at the state level.“Polling is a very expensive undertaking and so it is not possible for the handful of media organizations with pockets deep enough to afford a public opinion poll to be able to poll in every critical battleground state,” he said.Another reason? “Some of it has to do with what’s called ‘weighting,’” he added.To understand weighting, you have to know the two R’s of a good poll: it needs to be representative and random.Random samples are critical to the accuracy of polling, and you can look to your kitchen for an example why. Picture adding salt to a soup. If you mix it right, you can check the taste with any one spoonful -- you don’t have to eat the entire pot. That’s because each spoonful is a truly random sample.If you don’t mix the salt in, you could easily wind up sampling a part of the soup without any salt.When you’re trying to sample the American public with a political poll, either over the phone or most of the time now online, it’s more challenging to get a perfectly random spoonful.“The challenge is to find the individuals in the right numbers and secure their cooperation. Those two things don’t automatically work in sync,” Leve said. “People don’t want to be disturbed. They want privacy and a pollster by definition is an interruption.”It turns out, certain people tend to resist taking polls, while others are more willing. Research shows people with college degrees are more likely to respond to surveys than high school grads.That means surveys run the risk of not being representative of the voter population at large, and Leve said that kind of imbalance played a big role in 2016.To make a sample representative, pollsters gather up as many responses as they can, then adjust them with a process called weighting -- basically boosting or shrinking responses from people with certain demographics to match census data and the expected turnout.“The weighting criteria that was in issue in 2016 was whether you had enough non-college educated white voters in your sample,” Leve said. “If you did, you got the Trump forecast correct.”State polls that didn’t weight by education level missed badly, because to an extent far greater than in previous elections, voters with a college education broke for Clinton while voters with a high school education backed Trump.There’s some evidence that pollsters have learned from their 2016 mistakes. Polling in the 2018 midterms was very accurate -- a full point better than the average over the last 20 years.So can we trust the polls this time around?Leve says yes, as long as you remember that polls are just a snapshot in time and Donald Trump is difficult to predict.“Don’t be surprised if something happens in the final four, five, six days of the election, right before November 3rd, that’s so unforeseeable that neither you nor I nor anyone watching us could have imagined. And if so, that’s going to throw all the polls off,” he said. 3979

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - The family of a YouTube star who drove his McLaren the wrong way on the 805 last year, killing a mom and her daughter, are suing the City of San Diego, County of San Diego, and the Psychiatric Emergency Response Team (PERT).The lawsuit claims the “horrific and tragic event” was entirely preventable.Eighteen-year-old Trevor Heitmann, known as McSkillet, drove his McLaren the wrong way on the freeway in August 2018, killing Aileen Pizarro and her 12-year-old daughter Aryana. The sports car collided with the family's SUV, which burst into flames.RELATED: Autopsy details mental state of McSkillet before deadly crash on Interstate 805 in San DiegoIn the lawsuit Heitmann's family claims "SDPD was warned by Plaintiff's on the day of, but before his death, that Trevor intended to drive his McLaren at a high rate of speed in the wrong direction on a public roadway, under the delusion that he (Trevor) could drive through vehicles traveling in the opposite direction without incident."Worried about their sons' dangerous intentions and fearing for his well-being, as well as the safety of others, Dr. Mary Rusher, a board-certified psychiatrist, called 911 and made a 5150 request for a psychiatric hold, the lawsuit alleges.The lawsuit claims, "Defendants' purported PERT response team conducted either or both no assessment or the wrong assessment of the mental health status of Plaintiffs' son Trevor, pursuant to and under California Welfare and Institutions Code 5150."RELATED: YouTuber's parents requested psychiatric evaluation before deadly I-805 crashIt alleges, defendants also failed and refused requests to take Heitmann into protective detention to transport him to a designated evaluation and treatment facility."As a consequence, and despite Plaintiffs' attempts to ensure their son's safety and the safety of others by blocking the driveway of their residents, Trevor later that day left his residence and drive the McLaren to the Interstate 805 Freeway where he was killed in the beforementioned collision, which also tragically took the lives of the Pizarros."A spokesman for the County of San Diego told 10News they couldn't comment.RELATED: Son remembers mother and sister after release of driver's autopsy in deadly 805 crashAs of this writing, officials with the City of San Diego and PERT have not responded to 10News requests for comment.This is the third lawsuit filed regarding the 2018 crash. Two other lawsuits were filed by family members of the mother and daughter killed in the crash. 2545

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Summer is right around the corner, San Diego.For younger San Diegans, that means week of adventure and learning at summer camp! And there's something for every interest around San Diego County. Whether it's a traditional day camp with fun activities or something specific (did someone say Circus Camp?)RELATED: Events to enjoy with your toddler in San DiegoHere's a look at a variety of camps — specialty or traditional — around the county this summer:Summer Critter CampWhere: Helen Woodward Animal Center; When: June 10 - Aug. 30Kids will get to experience animal encounters and summer camp activities, animal-themed games, crafts, songs, and get a free Critter Camp t-shirt.YMCA Overnight and Day CampsWhere: Various locations; When: June - AugustYMCA branches across San Diego County offer up a variety of day and overnight camps, from traditional to specialty, and camps just for sports, leadership, adventure, and more.Mesa Rim Climbing CampWhere: Mesa Rim locations; When: March - AugustKids can hit the ropes at Mesa Rim's two San Diego locations, learning yoga, top roping and bouldering skills, or enjoying non-climbing activities like a ninja obstacle course, scavenger hunts, and more.San Diego Zoo and Safari Park Summer CampWhere: San Diego Zoo and Safari Park; When: June - AugustCampers will get to enjoy a wide variety of animal adventures at the San Diego Zoo or Safari Park, with options for various grade levels and featuring a variety of exhibits, tours, games, crafts, and more.Girl Scout CampsWhere: Various locations; When: Various datesWhether or not your child is a Girl Scout yet, they can jump into summer day camps, resident camps, weekend camp outs and more, all featuring educational activities and leadership building fun. Circus CampWhere: San Diego Circus Center; When: June 17 - Aug. 9Kids will learn the fundamentals of circus arts at the San Diego Circus Center's summer camp. Everything from aerial tricks, tumbling, juggling, and clowning to help build strength, teamwork, and focus.Wildlife Day CampWhere: Living Coast Discovery Center; When: June 10 - July 26Campers will experience animal encounters, games, arts and crafts, outdoor exploring, and more while learning about wildlife, conservation, and science.Outside the LensWhere: Liberty Station; When: June 21 - Aug. 23Interested in photography? Kids can jump into a variety of digital media camps throughout San Diego County, designed to build photography and filmmaking skills, promote creativity, and encourage collaboration.Science Summer CampWhere: Fleet Science Center; When: June - AugustA variety of science-themed activities await covering STEAM topics, wildlife, energy and physics, coding, space, and much more through experiments and hands-on learning.Youth Programs at La Jolla PlayhouseWhere: La Jolla Playhouse; When: June - JulyChildren will take part in a series of interactive theatre training programs that cover acting, musical theater, stage movement, improvisation, or behind-the-scenes tasks like costumes and props, set design, and technician support. 3098

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - The City of San Diego is taking legal action against the owners, operator and property manager of a independent living facility with squalid living conditions.Ten people lived in the now-closed home on Ewing Street near San Diego State, most of them elderly. Photos from inside the home show mold on mattresses, rat feces, holes in the walls, and overflowing trash cans.The City Attorney's office says fumes from an illegally installed water heater contaminated the interior, and the conditions were so dirty that a man's foot had to be amputated after a sore got infected. RELATED: Residents complain of bedbugs at El Cajon independent living facility"The mattresses are filled with bed bugs, there are mice droppings, it's awful," City Attorney Mara Elliott said. Independent Living Facilities are unlicensed and unregulated. They are often a last chance for vulnerable people to avoid becoming homeless - paying rent with social security or disability checks. Elliott's office is suing the owners, property manager, and operator, who could be forced to pay up to million. Additionally, operator Mark Rogers is being charged with 22 misdemeanors. Rogers also owns an independent living facility in El Cajon, where a tenant was murdered with a frying pan late last year. RELATED: Man charged with elder abuse for operating 'squalid' home in College AreaThe home on Ewing is known to police, who have responded to 300 calls over the last six years, mostly for disturbing the peace, suicide threats, and psychiatric evaluations.At least one person is still living inside. Morgan Cherry, who lives next door, said the home has a reputation in the neighborhood, but that the pictures took it to a new level. "I had no idea how bad it was," she said. Rogers said he is no longer operating the home. His attorney declined comment Thursday. 1865

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Target cash registers suffered a nationwide outage Saturday, leaving some customers around the country sitting in line for hours.The company's corporate office said an "internal technology issue" shut down registers for about two hours Saturday, preventing customers from making purchases in store.Target added that the technology issue was not a data breach or security-related issue and that customer data was no compromised. By 2:30 p.m., Target said their systems were back online:"Target’s registers are fully back online and guests are able to purchase their merchandise again in all stores. The temporary outage earlier today was the result of an internal technology issue that lasted for approximately two hours. Our technology team worked quickly to identify and fix the issue, and we apologize for the inconvenience and frustration this caused for our guests. After an initial but thorough review, we can confirm that this was not a data breach or security-related issue, and no guest information was compromised at any time. We appreciate all of our store team members who worked quickly to assist guests and thank everyone involved for their patience."10News has reached out to Target to see how many stores in San Diego were affected by the outage, but have not heard back.Twitter users across the country took to chronicle their "#TargetDown" experience online, ranging from long wait times, abandoning carts full of groceries, and some checking in — and out — of work at a location as the outage continued.#targetdown I was able to get out in a little over an hour because my cashier would not give up. He had to scan every single item at least 10 times but it worked. They are still turning away people at the door. pic.twitter.com/jbEzBcIjmj— Naomi Thompson ?? (@NaominotNyomi) June 15, 2019I moved from Manhattan to Brooklyn this morning faster than I can check out at @Target. #TargetDown pic.twitter.com/Eko97zgXBS— tanya (@thetiebandit) June 15, 2019I was at Target. Seems to be no end in site for the register outage or the forming lines. I abandoned cart and left... can't waste my whole day there. #targetdown #targetoutage pic.twitter.com/IolXjTIjOz— Jeff of The Game Capital & The Poke Capital (@ThePokeCapital) June 15, 2019Every Target register in the country is down! This is crazy. Been on line for 30 minutes!!#targetdown pic.twitter.com/MLPcP6QEng— IceburG?? (@So_Ice_Cold) June 15, 2019Just left target after patiently waiting for an hour or so. Every single person working there is amazing & I honestly feel for them. I just had to take the L. If you’re still there, please be patient with these guys. They are doing their best! #targetdown pic.twitter.com/yBcEYL4Jsx— Elizabeth Matthews (@momof2boys79) June 15, 2019A similar issue hit Target stores in 2014. That outage appeared to be a "glitch" causing delays at checkouts, "but is not in any way related to a security issue." 2951

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