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BEIJING, Aug. 8 -- China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates.    That may mean a departure from the rising spiral of inflation after it peaked at an annualized 8.7 percent in February. Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said his team's research found the July consumer price index (CPI), the main barometer of inflation, may drop to 6.7 percent year-on-year from 7.1 percent in June.     The domestic Bank of Communications research arm said the figure could fall at 6.4 percent, which is also the estimate of Southwest Securities. China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates.    One of the reasons why prices are stable is that there has been no flooding, a regular feature of the rainy seaon, said Sun of Lehman Brothers.     Daily price data from the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Development and Reform Commission show that agricultural product prices rose only slightly in July while meat prices fell. Weekly price data released by the Ministry of Commerce also showed a moderate decline in food prices.     The relatively high statistical base of last July also contributed to the drop in inflation this July, said Guo Tianyong, economist with the Central University of Finance and Economics.     China's CPI hit 5.6 percent year-on-year last July, the first time it reached the 5-percent level that year.     "If no major natural disaster hits China in August, CPI could fall below 6 percent in August, providing more room for the government to remove its price controls," said Sun.     Economists said that without many unexpected incidence, it will gradually ease to around 5 percent by the year-end.     A possible price liberalization of oil products, however, should not be a one-off adjustment, which will put a huge pressure on the country's battle against inflation, Guo said.     China raised the prices of oil products and electricity late June. Analysts said that once the inflation pressure eases, policymakers may start a second round of price liberalization, which may lead to a rebound in CPI.     If such liberalization moves are indeed made, they should be done in phases, not in one go, said Guo. Only that will ensure inflation does not peak again, as it did in February.     The pressure from the rising producer price index (PPI), which gauges ex-factory prices and influences CPI, may be a concern, but even taking into consideration its impact, consumer inflation may no longer exceed the February peak in the coming months and the first half of next year     "The worst times are behind us," said Dong Xianan, macroeconomic analyst with Southwest Securities.     "From the second half of last year, the tightenting stance had been obvious, which is a pre-emptive move to ensure the current easing of inflation."     Macroeconomic growth     The economic growth may gradually slow down in the rest of the year, analysts said, but the fine-tuning of policies would shore it up.     Dong from Southwest Securities forecasts that given the current growth momentum, the whole-year figure for GDP growth may be 10.1 percent, well below the 11.9 percent of last year. Other estimates are around the 10 percent mark.     The global economic slow-down, which reduces external demand for China's exports, will bring much trouble to China, but its domestic consumption and investment will remain stable, analysts said.     More importantly, the central authorities may adjust its tight policies to cater to individual demand of regions and sectors that have found it difficult to survive the tightened policies.

BEIJING, April 27 (Xinhua) -- China should still be alert to the credit crisis starting in the United States more than one year ago that has afflicted the Chinese financial sector and export, Ou Minggang, deputy editor-in-chief of Chinese Banker magazine, said on Saturday.     Ou told Xinhua during an interview that domestic banks and other financial institutions bear the brunt of the widespread U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, as those agencies' asset value and book earnings would dip to some extent.     "Currently the impact on domestic financial institutions is still limited," he said.     The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, the country's largest lender, said at the end of last month its 2007 net profit rose 64.9 percent year-on-year to 82.3 billion yuan (11.7 billion U.S. dollars).     The Bank of China posted a 31.3 percent net profit rise in 2007 after booking 1.3 billion U.S. dollars as an impairment allowance for its 4.99 billion U.S. dollars in investment in securities linked to U.S. subprime mortgages by the end of last year.     However, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on April 8 that the recent financial turbulence triggered by the collapse of the U.S. subprime mortgage market could cost the global financial system to the tune of 945 billion U.S. dollars.     "The global financial system has undoubtedly come under increasing strains since October 2007, and risks to financial stability remain elevated," the IMF warned in its latest Global Financial Stability Report.     Ou said, "The crisis also made Chinese financial supervision regulators face up to the challenges of balancing financial innovation and risks, which requires them to push forward the reforms in the country's financial system in a more cautious manner."     Experts warned that financial risks know no national boundaries and some foreign capital has fled from the Chinese financial market as many banking titans including Citigroup and Merrill Lynch were in deep water in credit crisis.     China's benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, which covers both A and B shares, shrank nearly half from the peak of 6124.04 points of Oct. 16 last year to 3094.67 points on April 18.     The overnight announcement of a cut in share trading taxes drove Chinese stocks 9.29 percent higher in soaring turnover on Thursday, with the key Shanghai Composite Index up 304 points to 3,583.03, the largest gain since Oct. 23, 2001.     Chinese regulators announced curbs on the sale of non-tradable shares that come out of lock-up periods on April 20, another move to bolster the falling market.     However, market observers held that the credit crisis and the U.S. economic slowdown are still casting gloom over Chinese investors' confidence.     Experts said the crisis was spreading beyond the financial sector. Consumption confidence in the United States is dampened as the credit crisis unfolded, with Chinese exports also hurt.     From January to March, China's total exports rose 21 percent to206 billion U.S. dollars, 6.4 percentage points lower than a year earlier. The exports to the U.S. grew 5.4 percent to 53 billion yuan, 15 percentage points lower than the same period of last year, according to customs statistics.     In the trade hub of southern Guangdong Province, the growth of exports to the United States dwindled to 4.8 percent in the first quarter of this year from 15.5 percent in the same period of 2007,said Wu Gongquan, vice director-general with the province's department of foreign trade and economic cooperation.     Zhang Yansheng, director of the International Economic Research Institute under the National Development and Reform Commission, said China needs to shift its economic driving force from relying on exports to domestic consumption, technology upgrading and management innovation.     Ou added that the country should increase financial transfer payments to help low-income families to consume more and boost the consumption in the vast rural areas.     Experts suggested that Chinese exporters should upgrade their products mix and open new markets besides their traditional key markets in the United States and Europe.

BEIJING, June 24 (Xinhua) -- Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao has called on the country's top scientists to make more contributions to the social and economic development with more science and technology achievements. Wen made the remark while attending a meeting Tuesday for both the 14th Congress of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Ninth Congress of the Chinese Academy of Engineering. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao delivers a speech at the conference of the 14th Congress of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) and the 9th Congress of the Chinese Academy of Engineering (CAE) in Beijing, capital of China, June 24, 2008.    He highlighted the importance of science and technology for the reconstruction in quake-ravaged areas when he reported the latest situation of the relief work to the attending scientists.     Scientists and experts specializing in various of disciplines and fields of research should work closely and provide more scientific evidence and consultations to decision-making, Wen said.     He said after China experienced major disasters and incidents this year the social and economic development had been better than predicted due to Party and government endeavors. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (L) poses for a photo with his teacher Yang Zunyi, academician from the Chinese Academy of Sciences, after the conference of the 14th Congress of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) and the 9th Congress of the Chinese Academy of Engineering (CAE) in Beijing, capital of China, June 24, 2008.  However, he admitted there were still problems in the current economic situation that would challenge the economy's long-term, steady growth, adding the general level of the country's science and technology had not met the needs of the social and economic development.     Wen outlined science and technology research should make more achievements to reduce more energy consumption, safeguard agricultural production, prevent serious diseases and deal with climate change and disasters.     He hoped senior scientists and experts could cultivate and guide more young talents and provide more advice to the government's work.

MIANYANG, Sichuan, May 22 (Xinhua) -- Ten days after the devastating earthquake in southwest China, six days after he returned to Beijing, Premier Wen Jiabao was back on the front lines of quake relief.     He flew to Mianyang in Sichuan Province, one of the worst hit cities, on Thursday afternoon. Upon arrival, he conducted a fly-over inspection by helicopter of a "quake lake," which is formed by landslides that block rivers.     People would have found him on the same tight schedule early this year as Wen visited the regions hit by the worst winter weather in 50 years four times in nine days.     The Hong Kong-based daily Ta Kung Pao said in a commentary: "Chinese premiers have developed an image of being caring and conscientious since late Zhou Enlai, the first premier of the People's Republic of China."     When a 6.8-magnitude earthquake rocked Xingtai, in the northern Hebei Province in 1966, Zhou rushed to the region and oversaw relief work, risking aftershocks, Du Xiuxian, a photographer of Zhou's era, recalled in his published photographic memoir "The Last Legends."     Wen has inherited that tradition of Chinese premiership. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (C) talks to local officials in Beichuan, southwest China's Sichuan Province, on May 22, 2008. Wen Jiabao made his second trip to the quake-battered zone on Thursday afternoon to oversee disaster relief work. Two hours after the quake rocked Wenchuan County in the northwestern mountainous region of Sichuan Province, he was in theair.     As a large part of the country felt the tremors and experienced great shock, Wen promised the country in front of China Central Television (CCTV) camera that the government would lead the people to win the battle against the earthquake.     "Confronted with the disaster, we need composure, confidence, courage and an effective command," he said with a sober and steadfast attitude.     During the next four days, Wen set foot in almost all of the worst-hit counties, walking over rocks and tiles, comforting weeping children and encouraging rescuers.     He made it very clear that the top task at the initial stage was to save lives, and he pressed officials and troops very hard to implement rescue work.     Back in Beijing on May 16, Wen did not relax but hosted several key meetings on rescue and relief work.     Observers found that he has presided over at least 13 high-level meetings since the quake.     At these meetings, the topics under discussion ranged from big issues such as the top priorities of the relief task force to tiny details like milk powder for infants.     He stressed prevention of epidemics and handling of victims' corpses, told an expert team to give scientific and technical support to rescue and relief work, and worked out solutions to homeless survivors' problems.     While guidelines were set for relief work, detailed orders were made as well, such as to send 6,000 temporary houses within two days and order rescue teams to reach all remote quake-hit villages within 24 hours. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (R) shakes hands with a soldier in Beichuan, southwest China's Sichuan Province, on May 22, 2008. Wen Jiabao made his second trip to the quake-battered zone on Thursday afternoon to oversee disaster relief work.Rehabilitation was also discussed and a directive was issued to fully consider the geological conditions and bearing capability of the local environment so as to balance cities and rural areas, industry and agriculture.     The focus has shifted from rescue to rehabilitation of quake survivors and their communities, he said Thursday while en route to Sichuan. The latter "will be a harder and long-term task," he said.     Chinese are captivated by what the premier has done.     Chen Hui, a middle-aged mother in Chongqing Municipality near Sichuan that was also affected by the quake, participated in a text message prayer campaign for Wen.     She sent a text message to her son in Beijing, saying: "The 66-year-old Premier Wen has worked really hard for quake relief. He has comforted and moved us. Pass this on your friends, pray for him."     Chen received the message from a friend. The campaign, whose organizer is unknown, aims to collect 1 million prayer text messages.     A compilation of scenes of Wen's visit to Sichuan is popular on-line and Netizens have created a forum called "Premier Wen, we love you."     "As one of China's senior leaders, the premier not only manages the government's daily work but also displays the ruling party's ideals and principles personally," Ta Kung Pao said. "A premier of China can not be copied elsewhere."

BEIJING, Sept. 29 (Xinhua) -- Communist Party of China (CPC) chief Hu Jintao has urged Party members to learn the theory on socialism with Chinese characteristics more conscientiously.     Hu, general secretary of the CPC Central Committee, made the remark at a seminar which was participated in Sunday afternoon by members of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee.     Prof. Yan Shuhan from the Party School of the CPC Central Committee and prof. Qin Xuan from the Renmin University of China delivered speeches at the seminar and put forward their views on applying the theory into practice.     Presiding over the seminar, Hu said the theory on socialism with Chinese characteristics is a fundamental guideline of the Party and government for social and economic construction.     Party members should understand the basic principles of the theory and use them in their practical work, he added.     Hu asked Party organs at all levels to make the theory accessible and understood by every Party member and draw long-term plans to promote and develop the theory.

来源：资阳报