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020, this is going to be an unprecedented peak season. We’ve actually seen three years of growth in e-commerce pulled forward. So we are expecting a ton of volume.”Carole B. Tome, CEO of UPS, told analysts last month she expects “a pretty peaky peak.”Amazon, which has been growing its own delivery network so it doesn’t have to rely as much on UPS and the U.S. Postal Service, is nonetheless warning shoppers not to wait until the last minute to buy gifts. While the world’s largest online retailer delivers more than half of its packages itself, it still relies on other carriers to get orders to shoppers.“It’s going to be tight for everyone and we will all be stretched,” said Brian Olsavsky, Amazon’s chief financial officer. “And it’s advantageous to the customer, and probably the companies, for people to order early this year.”Satish Jindel, the president of ShipMatrix, which analyzes shipping package data, predicts 7 million packages a day could face delays from Thanksgiving to Christmas. That’s because he’s expecting a total shipping capacity for the industry to be 79.1 million parcels a day during the 34-day period, with 86.3 million packages looking for space. Last year, total capacity was 65.3 million packages with demand at 67.9 million packages a day.Right now, Jindel is predicting delivery delays of one or two days for parcels.U.S. online holiday sales are expected to shatter previous records. Adobe Analytics, which measures sales at 80 of the top 100 U.S. online retailers, predicts a total of 9 billion in online holiday sales, a 33% increase compared to last year. That’s equal to two years worth of holiday e-commerce sales growth shoved into one season.But even with the online surge, overall holiday sales are expected to see only modest gains compared to recent years. Consulting firm Deloitte expects total sales, including online, to rise between 1% and 1.5% during the November through January period. That’s compared with a 4.1% increase last year for the November and December period, according to an analysis by the National Retail Federation. The trade group says it won’t be coming out with a forecast until this month given so much uncertainty.Retailers can’t afford to upset shoppers with delayed deliveries or gifts that come after Christmas so they’re stepping up their game.Kohl’s says it has tens of thousands of items on its website available for curbside pickup. The retailer doubled the number of drive-up parking spaces at its store locations to support increased demand. Likewise, Target has also doubled the number of parking spaces for its drive up services, to 8,000.Meanwhile, carriers have added holiday surcharges to certain packages, a blow to retailers already struggling with higher costs during COVID. Jindel says the U.S. Postal Service might be a good alternative for retailers now that it has gotten through the deluge of mail-in ballots during the elections. He estimates that the Postal Service’s temporary surcharges mostly range from 25 cents to 40 cents per package is considerably lower than to per package at major carriers.“Our network is designed to handle temporary and seasonal increases in volume and we have the ability to deliver those additional holiday packages in a timely manner,” said Kimberly Frum, a spokeswoman at the U.S. Postal Service.For the holidays, FedEx is hiring 70,000 workers, while UPS is in the throes of hiring more than 100,000 temporary employees.Lee Spratt is the Americas CEO for DHL eCommerce Solutions, a division that specializes in processing small packages for mid- to large-size shippers. He predicts online shopping to be up to 50% higher this holiday season compared to the year-ago period. The division has already been grappling with a 40% surge in online orders since the pandemic began.It’s hiring 900 more permanent workers to its current labor force of 3,000. It also will hire 1,400 temporary workers, about the same as last year because the company is investing in more permanent workers instead.In September and October, it also upgraded and some cases added new sorting machines in six key cities including Baltimore and Atlanta, in order to process more parcels.___AP Retail Writers Alexandra Olson and Joseph Pisani in New York contributed to this report._______Follow Anne D’Innocenzio: http://twitter.com/ADInnocenzio 5427

Reversing an earlier decision, the University of Notre Dame will continue providing students and employees with access to birth control free of charge.The Catholic institution was one of the first major employers to take advantage of the Trump administration's weakening of Obamacare's contraceptive mandate.Notre Dame, which had long battled the Obama administration over the provision, said in late October that it would end coverage for employees after Dec. 31 and for students after Aug. 14. The university said it objects to the mandate based on its religious beliefs.Students and employees quickly protested the decision, holding a demonstration and creating an online petition.Under Obamacare, insurance plans had to cover contraception for women without charging a co-pay. A fairly limited number of employers -- mainly churches and some other religious entities -- could get an exemption to the mandate.Some other employers, such as religious-based universities or hospitals, could seek accommodations so that they didn't have to provide coverage, but their workers could still obtain contraceptives paid for by the insurer or the employer's plan administrator. Notre Dame's students and workers received coverage this way.The Trump administration, however, issued new rules last month that would let a broad range of employers stop offering contraceptive coverage through their health insurance plans if they have a "sincerely held religious or moral objection."In his annual faculty address Tuesday, Notre Dame's president, the Rev. John Jenkins, said the university had decided to keep the accommodation for employees in place."As I have said from the start, the university's interest has never been in preventing access to those who make conscientious decisions to use contraceptives," he said. "Our interest, rather, has been to avoid being compelled by the federal government to be the agent in their provision."A university spokesman confirmed that students would continue to have access to no-cost birth control, as well.Notre Dame's initial response was based on its belief that it could no longer utilize the accommodation because the new rule would prompt insurers to discontinue providing no-cost contraceptives. It then learned that carriers would maintain the coverage anyway."We have made the decision not to interfere with the provision of contraceptives administered by insurance administrators and funded independently," said Paul Browne, Notre Dame's vice president for public affairs.Graduate students cheered the reversal."We are grateful and relieved that we were able to help push the administration to respect the Notre Dame community members' right to reproductive healthcare," said the Graduate Workers Collective, an independent group of graduate students. 2815

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — California will ban smoking on state parks and beaches starting next year under legislation signed by Gov. Gavin Newsom.The law also bans disposing cigar and cigarette waste at parks and beaches. Violations of the law will be punishable by a fine of up to . Newsom, a Democrat, announced Friday he had signed the bill into law.It covers smoking traditional cigarettes as well as using electric smoking devices. Smoking will still be allowed in parking lots at beaches and parks. Film and television productions can still allow people to smoke on state property with the proper permits.Democratic state Sen. Steve Glazer has been pushing such a ban for years, with lawmakers approving it several times. But former Gov. Jerry Brown, a fellow Democrat, repeatedly vetoed it."We have many rules telling us what we can and can't do and these are wide open spaces," he wrote last year.Glazer has argued such a rule will protect public health and curtail pollution.California already prohibits smoking at child care centers, within 25 feet (7.6 meters) of farmers' markets, in government buildings and on public transportation. Cities and counties can also adopt their own smoking laws.California has roughly 280 state parks and 340 miles (547 kilometers) of coastline.A legislative analysis predicts it will cost the state parks system nearly million to put up more than 5,000 signs alerting people to the ban and complying with various state regulations.The law is supported by many medical and environmental groups as well the cities of Huntington Beach and Santa Monica. Many Republicans in the Legislature voted against the measure. 1670

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — California's governor announced Friday that he is pardoning three more immigrants facing the possibility they will be deported, continuing a string of such actions that challenge the Trump administration's crackdown on immigrants who committed crimes.Gov. Gavin Newsom also commuted the life sentences of two youthful offenders who can now seek parole.Newsom's office said the three facing deportation "made bad decisions" while breaking the law as teenagers or young adults, but they served their sentences and transformed their lives. Deporting them now would be "an unjust collateral consequence" harming their families and communities.The three hail from Iran, El Salvador and Cambodia, but all now live in Los Angeles County. He also pardoned a fourth man, Curtis Reynolds, 59, of Sacramento County, who was convicted of six drug felonies between 1998 and 2003.Pardons do not automatically protect someone from deportation because they don't erase the criminal convictions on which deportation orders often are based. But they do emphasize the person's rehabilitation. Superior court judges previously granted two of the three immigrants, plus Reynolds, certificates of rehabilitation and recommended that they receive pardons.Newsom and his predecessor, fellow Democrat Jerry Brown, have granted several such commutations since Trump took office.The three newly pardoned immigrants are:— Arnou Aghamalian, 42, who was convicted 20 years ago of helping his cousin set an unoccupied car on fire. The car belonged to a nightclub manager who had been arguing with his cousin. Aghamalian now owns a solar energy company and has a wife and twin newborns, according to Newsom's office. He legally entered the U.S. as a refugee from Iran with his family when he was 15.— Victor Ayala, 38, who was convicted of felony robbery in 2001 when he shoved a security guard after shoplifting items from an electronic store. He had four prior misdemeanor convictions for theft and a hit and run in which no one was injured. The father of three now runs a carpet cleaning business. He was 2 years old when he and his parents lawfully came to the U.S. from El Salvador.— Thear Sam, 41, who was convicted of robbing a man of his wallet and backpack when he was 18. He was later convicted of being an accessory after he separately gave a man a ride after the man stole a car, led police on a high-speed chase and escaped on foot. He has worked more than 17 years for an aviation company, and his wife and daughter are both U.S. citizens. He was 4 when he lawfully entered the U.S. as a refugee from Cambodia fleeing the Khmer Rouge.Separately, the two men whose life sentences Newsom commuted can now go before the state parole board, which will decide if they can be safely released into the community. They also are both from Los Angeles County:— Esdvin Flores, 44, has served more than 20 years for pointing a gun at a victim while his crime partner pulled a gold chain from her neck. Newsom's office said he has since been mentoring at-risk youth.— Jensen Ramos, 35, has served 17 years for attempted murder after shooting at a fleeing vehicle following a fight at a house party, though no one was injured. He is a lead trainer in the Paws for Life rescue dog training program, which says it has had the most commutations of life sentences of any program in the state.The Los Angeles County District Attorney's Office declined comment. 3457

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — The California Senate will investigate a California utility's process for cutting off power to more than 2 million people to prevent wildfires.In a memo to the Senate Democratic Caucus on Thursday, Senate President Pro Tempore Toni Atkins asked the Senate Energy, Utilities, and Communications Committee to "begin investigating and reviewing options to address the serious deficiencies" with PG&E's current process of shutting off power to prevent wildfires.Atkins said an oversight hearing will be scheduled in the next few weeks.Last week, dry conditions and dangerous winds prompted PG&E to cut power to more than 700,000 customers to prevent its equipment from sparking wildfires.Gov. Gavin Newsom and other leaders said the outage lasted too long. Newsom has urged the utility to give rebates to affected customers and businesses. 877

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