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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Economic forecasters are beginning to warn of a possible 2020 recession, and the impact they say will be felt in the Golden State, according to a new report by UCLA.“Don’t celebrate the 3.1% GDP growth estimate for the first quarter of 2019,” writes UCLA Anderson Professor Emeritus Edward Leamer. Leamer is quoted in a recent report produced by the UCLA Anderson School of Management. According to Leamer, the data actually increases the risk of a recession at some point in the next couple of years. Nationally, economic growth is expected to slow marginally to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 and 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020. RELATED: Fed cuts interest rates for the first time since recessionThe good news is that the report predicts an economic rebound, growing again to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. So what picture does the report paint for California? One forecaster says you can expect California unemployment to rise modestly. “Weakness in housing as well as the slowing U.S. economy is reflected in a very modest growth rate in the U.S. in late 2020,” UCLA Anderson Forecast director Jerry Nickelsburg writes. “As a consequence, we expect California’s average unemployment rate to rise slightly to an average of 4.6% in the first quarter of 2021. For the entire year for 2020 and 2021, we expect average unemployment rates of 4.3% and 4.4%, respectively.”Meanwhile, personal income growth in the state of California is forecast at 2.9 percent in 2019. But the report warns that income growth is expected to slow to 1.9 percent by 2020.It’s not all bad news, however, income growth is expected to rise fairly quickly again in 2021, and is forecast to reach 2.1 percent by the end of the year. There's more good news. The Federal Reserve Wednesday lowered interest rates for the first time since the Great Recession in 2008 to help prevent an economic downturn. 1936

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Frustrated business owners in the Midway District say an old strip club was a better neighbor than the current property owner, which happens to be a church. The Rock Church bought the strip club, formerly known as The Body Shop, in August of 2018. Now, businesses say nothing has changed except there’s now more trash and drugs. Neighbors say they want the church to clean it up. Noor Shamoon comes to work at Navis Pack and Shop to a very unwelcome sight. “Food, trash feces on wall, on our vehicles.”He says it’s a foul odor and claims people who hang out in the area vandalized the businesses work truck. Employees at the Midas muffler business across the street also say trash and loitering have become huge problems. “We're trying to run a business and it's hard when you have that across the street,” said Gary Stricker. People who work in the area say prostitution is rampant as are drugs. One man reportedly overdosed recently. “I think he maybe shot up some kind of drug or something. We were concerned about him so we called an ambulance,” Stricker said. When The Rock Church dropped the banner over the “nude girls” sign at the former strip club, they promised to clean up the neighborhood. Since the church purchased the property for .3 million, they haven’t touched it. "I hope they do something about that to clean the place up you know,” Stricker said. The Rock Church responded Tuesday to 10News requests for comment. 1463

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Fall is in the air, perfect for Halloween fun and street fair excitement around San Diego.La Jolla Playhouse brings the performance outside during their Without Walls Festival at Liberty Station. Check out live, immersive performances and productions all across the arts district.Borrego Springs celebrates the desert life with the Borrego Days Desert Festival, featuring a parade and fly-over, and festival filled with fun for the whole family.SAN DIEGO HALLOWEEN:San Diego's Whaley House: Tour one of America's most haunted homesFrightful fun: San Diego Halloween, fall events for familiesExperience Halloween chills at these San Diego attractionsSpirited shindigs: Halloween parties for San Diego's 21+ crowdFree haunted hikes, Halloween carnivals at San Diego County parksEscondido and Encinitas are hosting a pair of North County street festivals, where visitors will have their pick of delicious foods, arts and crafts, and can enjoy live music throughout the day.Here's a look some fun around town this weekend:THURSDAYWithout Walls FestivalWhere: Liberty Station; Cost: Free - (Thursday - Sunday) Jump into an immersive blend of performances and theater-style productions, most of which are free to the public. Performances include interactive shows, bands, creative dancing, and short plays.Del Mar International Horse ShowWhere: Del Mar Fairgrounds; Cost: Free - (Thursday - Sunday) See Olympic and world-class athletes compete for a spot in Wolrd Cup Finals during the Del Mar International Horse Show. The show encompasses world-class jumping and horse riding as part of the Longines FEI Jumping World Cup North America League.FRIDAY54th annual Borrego Days Desert FestivalWhere: Christmas Circle Park, Borrego Springs; Cost: Free(Friday - Sunday) Borrego Days celebrates the desert town with a parade and fly-over, activities for kids, a car show, live music, art, and so much more between the event's opening parade and festival. Delicious food will be on hand from vendors, arts and crafts to sale, and a kids zone with even more fun.Lowriders: The Art of Low N' SlowWhere: San Diego Automotive Museum; Cost: - (Friday - Sunday) Explore the global and local phenomenon of low rider culture and communities at the San Diego Automotive Museum. The museum's exhibit covers communities in the U.S., Japan, Europe, and Latin countries.SATURDAY25th annual Eastlake Cycle & 5K and Technology & Innovation FairWhere: Eastlake Middle School; Cost: Free - Lace up your shoes for a 5K cycle or run and hang out afterward to explore the world of STEAM with free activities and education at Eastlake Middle School this weekend. Local experts will be on hand to lead sessions in STEAM activities and parents can learn about local programs available for kids.Villains in the VillageWhere: Third Avenue, Chula Vista; Cost: -Families are invited to stroll Chula Vista's Third Avenue as villains take over for frightfully fun selfies, eerie children's activities, delicious eats and drinks, and a costume contest during the Village holiday takeover.Bahia FestWhere: Embarcadero Marina Park North; Cost: - 0More than 7,000 music fans are expected at Embarcadero Marina for Bahia Fest, featuring an all-star lineup of Latin reggae musicians, delicious craft beer and bites from local restaurants, and local arts and crafts vendors as well. SUNDAYEscondido Grand Avenue FestivalWhere: Grand Ave., Escondido; Cost: FreeStroll through Escondido's Grand Ave. and check out hundreds of vendors, international cuisine, local entertainment, and more during Grand Ave. Festival. A kids corner offers youngsters arts and crafts fun and Art in the Garden gives visitors the chance to peruse unique displays.Saltdog ClassicWhere: Encinitas Community Park; Cost: Free - Encinitas' community festival brings out live music, craft breweries, and local artists and businesses to enjoy the sights, sounds, and tastes of Encinitas, while benefitting Rancho Coastal Humane Society.The Haunted HotelWhere: Westfield Mission Valley; Cost: - The popular attraction moves from downtown to Mission Valley for 2019, offering three haunted features and free parking. The Haunted Hotel is not recommended for young children and pregnant women will not be allowed inside. 4305

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Five people who witnessed a potentially deadly situation were honored by the California Highway Patrol Friday to taking action that helped save a man's life.Dennis McNea is a driver for the Freeway Service Patrol. His job is to help stranded motorists. But Nov. 13, 2019, he was driving on State Route 94 when he suffered a medical emergency. "Almost hit me," said witness Gina de la Torre, a Navy sailor who was on her way home at the time. "And as I saw him, he was hitting the highway barrier and I noticed that he was slumped over in his car."RELATED: Community helps man devoted to keeping park cleanAnother witness, Alberto Robles, used his own truck to make contact with McNea's, slowing them both down to a stop. The other four, including de la Torre, stopped to help. "They just kind of stopped and looked at me like, 'What do we do?'" she told 10News. "So that's when I was like, okay, keep calm and just do whatever you have to do."They performed CPR until medics arrived. "I don't remember what happened to me at all," McNea said. "I woke up in the hospital a couple of days later. I was told what happened."RELATED: San Diego Police honor boy who risked life to save brother from drowningMcNea said it was emotional when he finally got the chance to meet each of his rescuers at a ceremony put on by CHP Friday. "A million thanks is not enough. They gave me a lottery ticket. They gave me life. You can have a billion dollars, but you can't buy life, and they gave me life," McNea said.McNea has since returned to work. He says he plans to take CPR training so he can provide the same life-saving support he received to others in need. 1675

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Firefighters on alert after seeing the latest Wildland Fire Potential Outlook maps released by the National Interagency Fire Center. The maps show San Diego with an above average wildfire potential that increases from June through August and starts to wane slightly in September.Cal Fire Public Information Officer Thomas Shoots said the outlook focuses on three things; "We're dealing with fuel, weather and topography." Shoots said the agency can't do anything about the topography or weather, but every neighbor can do their part reducing fuel, especially around their home.RELATED: How to prepare defensible space around your homeShoots acknowledged the winter weather gave San Diego County a reprieve fire-wise, but it posed a new problem: new growth that's already drying out."A grass fire can run a lot faster and spread faster which means our resources are spread out quicker, and then that means it has the heat and momentum to build up to the bigger fuels," Shoots said.Just down the road, a neighbor had landscapers pruning her yard."I think it's very important to have this done...helps the whole neighborhood," said the woman named Gene.Cal Fire said the best time to get the landscaping work done is before 10 a.m. and after 4 p.m.Last week, neighbors in Rancho Santa Fe saw the danger become a reality when Cal Fire said a landscaping crew using the lawn mower sparked a 3-acre fire near Fairbanks Ranch."It's starting to get to the point where it's too late; we need you to clear while we have the chance," Shoots said, referring to hot weather making these incidents more likely."We need all the help we can get," he said."Definitely, they've got a lot of work ahead of them, I think," Gene said.Cal Fire reported this year to June 16th, there have been 1,386 fires, burning 11,954 acres across the state. Last year at the same time, it was about half that, 2,154 fires, burning 20,791 acres. Cal Fire says fires are becoming more common, with 248 wildfires over the past week. 2023