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发布时间: 2025-05-30 09:06:02北京青年报社官方账号
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BEIJING,Aug 9(Xinhuanet) -- China's high savings rate is expected to fall substantially in coming years as its workforce shrinks, the population ages and social security spending increases, a BIS report shows.In research published by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) on the “myth and reality” of China’s savings rate, Ma Guonan and Wang Yi found that the Asian giant needs its population to spend more in order to sustain rapid economic growth in coming years.The researchers, who were writing in their personal capacity, also reject claims that Chinese State firms have been benefiting from high savings thanks to exchange rate distortions and subsidies designed to drive economic growth.They point out that “less advantaged” and more efficient firms have been the ones posting the greatest gains in earnings in recent years rather than State-owned companies.China’s gross national savings soared from 39.2 percent of output in 1990 to 53.2 percent in 2008, far higher than the United States, which saved only 12.2 percent in 2008.Even compared to other Asian giants — Japan with 27 percent in 2007 and India with 33.6 percent in 2008 — China’s share of savings as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) is significantly larger.Nonetheless, the population and social trends that have underpinned China’s growth and savings rates are likely tail off significantly over the next decade, the two Chinese researchers argued.In the wake of the global slump, world leaders and economists have been asking China to spend more, rather than pin its economic growth on exports to the West, in order to help address world trade imbalances.Ma, a BIS economist and Wang, who is from the Chinese central bank, said however that the current savings trend by Chinese households will not last.The swelling working population in recent years has boosted savings in recent years, they said.In addition, large-scale corporate restructuring between 1995 and 2005 increased job uncertainty, forcing workers to set aside more money in case they were fired. The lack of a social safety net also pushed workers to make “precautionary savings.”Beyond households, government savings have also been increasing in tandem, as more is being set aside to meet pension needs which are expected to rise significantly as the population ages.However, these trends are expected to be reversed in coming years.“It is reasonable to assume that the large-scale labor retrenchment observed during 1995 to 2008 is by and large been behind us,” say the researchers.In addition, China is expected to enter into a phase of “accelerated population ageing within a decade.” This means that the workforce will decline, leading to a fall in overall income and therefore savings.At the same time, infrastructure spending is expected to continue, in order to provide for the ageing population and the urbanization of the country.

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BEIJING, June 29 (Xinhua) -- A deputy head of the top academic institute of the Communist Party of China (CPC) said Tuesday the institute is striving to open up to the outside world.Li Jingtian, vice president of the Party School of the CPC Central Committee, made the remarks during a press conference on Tuesday, two days ahead of the 89th anniversary of the founding of the CPC.Li said many foreign political and business leaders and scholars were willing to give lectures or deliver speeches at the party school."As a think-tank, we have established cooperation with over 30 foreign universities, think-tanks and research institutes," said Li.Li said the Party School had trained 60,000 communist cadres over the past three decades.The party school provides various training classes and seminars for cadres at provincial and ministerial levels, party secretaries at the county level, young cadres and cadres of ethnic minorities, he said.

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BEIJING, July 12 (Xinhua) -- Thousands of Chinese have joined a heated discussion about new rules that are designed to curb corruption and increase transparency about the assets of government officials.A regulation that took effect Sunday extends the list declarable assets for officials and introduces dismissal as the maximum penalty for failing to report assets honestly and promptly.The regulation adds six more items to the list of declarable assets issued in 2006, bringing the total to 14. The new items include incomes from sources like lecturing, painting and calligraphy; homes owned by spouses and children; and equities and investments owned by officials, their spouses and children.A FIRM STEPThe new rules have struck a public chord and almost 50,000 people had left comments on China's two biggest Internet portal websites on Monday. Thousands more were joining the discussion on other news sites and discussion forums.More than 36,500 people had made online comments on a news entry about the regulation on leading portal Sohu.com as of 1:30 p.m., and more than 11,000 comments on an entry at Sina.com.cn.Most of the published postings welcomed the new rules, but some said they should go further."The fight against corruption has a long way to go, but I am really glad to see each firm step taken by the central authorities," said a posting from Shanghai on Sina."We want to see more detailed provisions and harsher punishments in the rule," said a post by "Shihuiwen 197" on Sohu.The regulation was issued by the General Office of China's State Council and the General Office of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee.It requires officials at deputy county chief level and above to annually report their assets, marital status and whereabouts and employment of family members.It also empowers local provincial level CPC committees and governments to expand the regulations to officials below deputy county chief level.A CPC statement said Monday that most village or town chief level officials are prone to power-for-money transactions and corrupt actions as they are dealing with practical issues involving personnel, finance and materials.But as there are a large number of them, requiring all of them to report personal information will require much work and high costs, said the statement jointly issued by the CPC Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) and the CPC Central Committee's Organization Department.So the central authority left the decision to local governments to decide based upon their own conditions, it said.New requirements for officials to report homes and investments reflected the need to change disciplinary structures in line with changing social and economic values, said Professor Liu Chun, deputy dean of the Graduate Institute of the Party School of the CPC Central Committee.

  

BEIJING, July 24 (Xinhua) - Flooding was temporarily eased on the Yangtze River as the Three Gorges Dam on China's longest river saw water levels slightly down from its crest stage, the nation's flood control authority said Saturday.The water level at the dam fell to 158.54 meters as of 8 a.m. Saturday, 0.32 meters lower than its highest level of 158.86 meters which took place on Friday morning, according to data from the Office of State Flood Control and Drought Relief HeadquartersThe water was flowing from the upper stream of the river at 31,000 cubic meters per second, said the office in a statement on its website.However, the water level was still 13.54 meters above the alarm level and is expected to increase again due to rainfall and water inflows from tributaries in the upper stream, the statement said.The office warned that the water level at the dam is very likely to exceed the historical level, if it rises again.Some of the country's other major rivers were also witnessing water levels surpassing their warning levels, including the Jialing River, Hanjiang River and Huaihe River, the statement said.Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said China was at a "crucial stage" for flood control during an inspection tour in central China's Hubei Province that began July 23.He ordered local governments to adopt scientific measures to be well-prepared for "more serious floods and disasters" .Floods in China this year have left 742 people dead and 367 missing as of Friday, according to the flood control office.

  

ULAN BATOR, Aug. 3 (Xinhua) -- A group of children from China's earthquake-stricken Qinghai province arrived in Mongolia on Tuesday for an eight-day visit.A ceremony was held at the Nairamdal international children's center, 27 km from the capital city of Ulan Bator, to welcome the 59 children and youngsters from Qinghai in western China, which was hit by a major earthquake in April.Prime Minister Batbold Sukhbaatar invited the children from the quake-hit region for a visit in early June when Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao visited Mongolia.Last year, 60 children from China's southwestern Sichuan province, which was also hit by a deadly earthquake in 2008, visited Mongolia at the invitation of then Prime Minister Bayar Sanjaa.

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