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The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation has published projections on just how the onslaught of COVID-19 cases are expected to impact the nation and all 50 states in the coming weeks. The data, which the White House has used to help advise President Donald Trump and members of the coronavirus task force, is dubbed the "Chris Murray Model." The Chris Murray Model is made available through the University of Washington website. It is updated every morning based on testing from around the country.Dr. Debroah Birx, a member of the White House coronavirus task force, said that the data is consistent with projections used from 12 other sources the White House has relied on to model its COVID-19 projections. "We’ve reviewed 12 different models, and then we went back to the drawing board over the last week or two, and worked from the ground up utilizing actual reporting of cases," Birx said in a White House briefing on Sunday. "It’s the way we built the HIV model, the TB model, and the malaria model. When we finished, the other group that was working in parallel which we didn’t know about, (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) and Chris Murray, ended up at the same numbers. So if you go on his website, you can see the concern that we had with the growing number of potential fatalities.” As of Tuesday, the Chris Murray Model projects that the United States would see a peak demand of ICU visits around April 11 and hospitalizations on April 15. The data also projects that the national peak of deaths per day would come around April 15. Unfortunately, the data suggests that the demand in most states will far exceed the supply for ICU beds. In New York, the number of patients requiring an ICU bed will exceed the supply of such beds by 12 times, based on the projection. In Louisiana, the demand for ICU beds is expected to be three times the supply. The Chris Murray Model does offer some optimism that the United States will successfully "flatten the curve." Only a handful of states are expected to have a shortage of overall hospital beds. It also shows that numbers in most states will begin to tail off by early May, although some states, such as Virginia, could still be dealing with a number of cases well into June. The model also assumes that every state will maintain social distancing guidelines through the duration of the epidemic, which offers a key variable on how the numbers could change. The Chris Murray Model does have a slightly more optimistic outlook on the number of fatalities compared to official White House figures. The Chris Murray Model projects a death toll of nearly 84,000 COVID-19-related deaths into the summer, giving an overall projected range of nearly 36,000 to 154,000. The White House said on Tuesday that it is projecting a national death toll of 100,000 to 240,000. The projection shows that as many Americans will die from COVID-19 in April compared to an entire high-end flu season, even with social distancing guidelines in place. Click 3025

The House Oversight Committee voted on Wednesday to subpoena testimony from White House counselor Kellyanne Conway after a federal agency recommended that she should be fired for repeatedly violating a law that limits the political activities of federal employees.Chairman Elijah Cummings, Democrat of Maryland, has warned that his panel would vote to hold Conway in contempt if she ignores the subpoena, which could set up another challenge in court between Congress and the Trump administration. Conway did not appear on Wednesday on the advice of White House counsel for the committee's scheduled hearing.The vote was 25 to 16, with Democrats and Rep. Justin Amash, Republican of Michigan, voting to subpoena Conway."This is not a conspiracy to silence her or restrict her First Amendment rights," Cummings said. "This is an effort to enforce federal law.""Nobody in this country is above the law," added Cummings.Earlier this month, the independent Office of Special Counsel sent the Trump administration a letter outlining Conway's "numerous violations" of the Hatch Act, finding that from February to May she publicly criticized the field of Democratic presidential candidates and sought to boost the Trump campaign while in her official role at the White House.Special counsel Henry Kerner on Wednesday said the office did not make its recommendation "lightly," saying Conway's conduct sent a "false message" to other federal employees that they don't need to abide by the Hatch Act.Trump has said that he's not going to fire Conway over the alleged Hatch Act violations and White House counsel Pat Cipollone said in a letter Monday that Conway does not need to testify before Congress."As you know, the precedent for members of the White House staff to decline invitations to testify before congressional committees has been consistently adhered to by administrations of both political parties, and is based on clearly established constitutional doctrines," Cipollone wrote.The office has found that she had made similar offenses before. In 2018, the OSC said Conway violated the law during the 2017 Alabama special election for Senate.Last month, Conway mocked that finding. "Let me know when the jail sentence starts," she told reporters.Rep. Jim Jordan, the top Republican on the oversight committee, called the allegations "ridiculous" and claimed that the special office felt "slighted" by Conway's dismissal of the Office of the Special Counsel.Jordan said that Democrats "want to focus on Kellyanne Conway's tweets" rather than "issues that matter to Americans.""That's the obsession you have with going after this president." added Jordan. 2667

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says one of the best ways to prevent the spread of illness, including the novel coronavirus, 152

The acting US spy chief broke with President Donald Trump and some Republicans who've criticized and questioned the motives of an intelligence community whistleblower who filed a complaint against the President, when 229

The heat of summer is still toasting much of the U.S., but the chill of winter is around the corner, and if you believe Farmers' Almanac's projection, parts of the U.S. could be blasted with cold weather this winter. The Farmers' Almanac said almost all of the U.S. is projected to have below average temperatures, with the coldest weather coming in the Midwest and Northeast. Not only will the winter be colder, but it is expected to go deeper into the spring for the Midwest and Northeast.For more info on Farmers' Almanac's projections, click 558

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