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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — San Diego County public health officials said Friday that the region is dangerously close to being placed in the state's most restrictive reopening tier.The county's coronavirus case rate over the last 48 hours was alarming, according to Supervisor Nathan Fletcher."We've been living for most of the last month on the precipice of tiers," Fletcher said. "We now are concerned about the trends and we're concerned about the likelihood that we can tip back into purple."Fletcher says over the last six days, San Diego County's daily unadjusted case rates continue to increase.County Public Health Officer Dr. Wilma Wooten said since the start of this week, the county has seen its unadjusted case rate increase from 7.2 cases per 100,000 residents (7-day daily average from the previous week) on Sunday to 7.8 on Friday. The county's adjusted case rate has increased from 6.8 to 7.0 during the same time span.The last week reported for the county, San Diego reported an unadjusted case rate of 7.2 and an adjusted case rate of 6.8.Fletcher says the unadjusted case rate more closely represents the actual public spread of the coronavirus."The overwhelming majority of San Diegans are doing everything right. But we just have to go that extra mile in order to protect our status in our tier," Fletcher said.According to the state's reopening tier system, counties with a case rate of more than 7.0 and/or testing positivity percentage of 8% or greater for two consecutive weeks are placed in the purple tier, the state's most restrictive.Next Tuesday, Oct. 20, the state will report metrics for Oct. 4-10. Then on Oct. 27, the state will report results from Oct. 11-17.Officials say that's why they're sounding the alarm now, to encourage residents to double down on efforts around slowing the spread. Officials pointed to being more vigilant in facial coverings, avoiding indoor gatherings, and employers allowing more employees to telework.If San Diego County is pushed into the state's purple tier, several business sectors would need to conduct operations outdoors or adjust indoor capacity:Retail stores will have to lower to 25% capacity indoors,Restaurants must move to outdoor dining only,Shopping centers will move to 25% capacity with closed common areas and a closed food court,Personal care businesses must move to outdoor operations,Museums, zoos and aquariums will go to outdoors only,Places of worship and movie theaters will be held outdoors only,Gyms and fitness centers will also have to go outdoors only,"We're here to sound the alarm," said County Public Health Officer Dr. Wilma Wooten. "Going forward, the actions we're asking you to take will help improve and have an impact on whether we go into the purple tier." 2761

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- San Diego County has taken its first step into the dreaded "purple" tier of the state's four-tiered COVID-19 reopening plan, leaving just one week to determine if the county will be forced to shutter nearly all of its nonessential indoor businesses."It would take a significant change in trajectory," Supervisor Nathan Fletcher said Wednesday.State officials reported that San Diego County had an unadjusted new daily coronavirus case rate of 8.7 per 100,000. The adjusted case rate dropped to 7.4 per 100,000, above the baseline of 7, qualifying the state for the purple, or most restrictive tier of the reopening plan. Last week's unadjusted case rate was 7.8 per 100,000.In recent weeks, the region had an unadjusted rate well above the purple tier guidelines, but a significant effort to increase the volume of tests had allowed for an adjustment to bring it back to the red, or substantial, tier.According to the reopening plan, a county has to report data exceeding a more restrictive tier's guidelines for two consecutive weeks before being moved to that more restrictive tier. A county then has to be in that tier for a minimum of three weeks before it may move to a less restrictive tier.San Diego County has been in the red tier for months, skirting but ultimately avoiding the purple tier, which would necessitate the closure of almost all indoor operations of nonessential businesses. Recent trends have shown a slow but steady increase in infection numbers."People are tired of the pandemic and letting down their guard," Supervisor Greg Cox said. "We need to do better. We need to do a lot better and we can do better."If the county cannot drop its adjusted daily case rate below 7 per 100,000, indoor operations in locations such as restaurants, museums, places of worship, breweries and retail businesses will have to either close entirely, move to outdoor operations only or modify in other ways.Dr. Wilma Wooten, the county's public health officer, said retail operations, including indoor shopping centers, will be limited to 25% of building capacity, down from the current 50%. Schools, unless they have already restarted in-person learning, will be restricted to distance learning. K-12 schools already in session can continue, Wooten said.The county's testing positivity rate actually improved, declining 0.3% from last week to reach 3.2%, but remains high enough for this metric to remain in the orange tier.The state's health equity metric, which looks at the testing positivity for areas with the least healthy conditions, increased from 5.1% to 5.3% and entered the red tier. This metric does not move counties backward to more restrictive tiers, but is required to advance.The state data reflect the previous week's case data to determine where counties stand. It is usually updated on Tuesdays, but this week's update was rescheduled because of the election.County public health officials reported 404 new COVID-19 cases and three new deaths Wednesday, raising the region's case total to 58,106 and the death toll to 904.Of the 15,345 tests reported Wednesday, 3% returned positive, maintaining the 14-day rolling average of positive tests at 3%.Of the total number of cases in the county, 3,983 -- or 6.9% -- have required hospitalization and 921 patients -- or 1.6% of all cases -- had to be admitted to an intensive care unit.Seven new community outbreaks were also confirmed Wednesday, two in business settings, three in restaurant/bar settings, one in a grocery setting and one in a health care setting. Over the previous seven days, 25 community outbreaks were confirmed. A community outbreak is defined as three or more COVID-19 cases in a setting and in people of different households over the past 14 days. 3771

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - San Diego Police announced Tuesday the arrest of a man suspected of sexually assaulting an elderly woman in a nursing home in Hillcrest. Detectives took Lusean Arline, 48, into custody Monday for the crime which occurred Oct. 27. Police did not release the name of the nursing home, but administrators with Balboa Nursing and Rehabilitation Center confirmed with 10News the attack happened in their facility.Police said the 88-year-old victim was inside the nursing home when Arline illegally entered the facility. He sexually assaulted the woman, who was in her bed, officers said. RELATED: Police arrest man suspected of biting Hillcrest restaurant workerThe victim and other patients in the room began screaming. “When staff members responded, Arline ran away,” police wrote in a news release. San Diego Police Sex Crimes Unit investigators collected evidence at the scene, including male DNA which was processed by the Crime Lab and loaded into the Combined DNA Index System (CODIS). RELATED: Hillcrest restaurant reopens after one week after shootingInvestigators identified Arline as the suspect and, with the help of the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation, Arline was arrested. Arline is currently being held on a parole violation. He will face multiple felony counts that include burglary, felony sexual assault, and elder abuse charges, according to police.Administrators with the nursing home sent 10News the following statementWe are grateful authorities have apprehended a suspect who entered our community illegally and assaulted one of our residents. Our thoughts remain with the resident and the resident’s family, and we will continue to cooperate fully with officials as they investigate and seek justice for this individual. We will continue to stay in close contact with the resident and the resident’s family and provide support and help in any way. We are committed to doing whatever necessary to help ensure the safety of residents, families, staff and visitors to our community at all times. Out of respect for the resident and the resident’s family, as well as the authorities’ investigative process, additional comment at this time would be inappropriate. 2229

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- San Diego may be seeing more rain than usual this winter, but a panel of scientists recently hypothesized that the storm of all storms could cause billions in damage, destroying vital infrastructure statewide. SPECIAL REPORT: Complete coverage of California's winter stormsA report on "the big one" of all storms, called ARkstorm, has the potential to destroy water supplies, damage the state's power grids and topple agriculture, according to the United States Geological Survey report. The storm would virtually leave California in the dark for some time. RELATED: How to check if your neighborhood is at risk of floodingThe report goes into detail about what California could expect to see should a massive storm hit. Scroll down to see what scientists predict would be damaged should a storm like ARkstorm ever strike the Golden State. TelecommunicationsAfter the storm passes, telecommunications would be a top priority because, according to the report, rebuilding and supplying the state with other lifelines such as its water supply depend on cellular service. The USGS report estimates that a massive storm such as ARkstorm could cost service providers an estimated 0 million. The cost includes material damage damaged in the storm, logistical support and technical personnel. PowerPower restoration would also be a top priority. Without electricity, many other lifelines, such as communication networks, couldn't operate. One of the panels involved in the report concluded that power would be intentionally shut off to all flooded areas, and that electricity would be restored to customers after buildings are determined to be safe. In San Diego County, It’s estimated that full power would be restored to all areas within 23 days.RELATED: Devastating 'ARk' storm envisioned for California by U.S. Geological SurveyAgricultureGrains would be among the hardest hit crop in San Diego County, according to the report. Damage to San Diego’s grain crops could cost as much as million to repair. Damage to San Diego’s livestock could also be significant. According to the report, livestock damage could cost million for the replacement of dairy and livestock feedlot cattle. Building damageIn San Diego County, flood-related damage to buildings is estimated to cost billions. According to the report, such damage could cost the county as much as .5 billion. Statewide, the estimates are much more, soaring to an estimated 0 billion. On top of that, flood-related content losses, such as personal belongings, will cost an estimated 0 billion to replace. Water SupplyWater systems could be heavily damaged due to flooding. The report lists contamination of water supplies and electrical damage as the main sources of damage to water infrastructure. Repair costs for the water supply to larger water districts could range from to 10 billion. The time to restore water largely depends on how much damage has been done, according to the report. WastewaterIt’s estimated that 17 percent of San Diego’s wastewater treatment plants could be flooded, causing sewage contamination in parts of the county. The specific areas that would be affected in San Diego aren’t stated in the report, but full sewage service could take as many as 38 days to restore, according to the report. Damage to DamsThe release of large amounts of water from reservoirs through spillways could damage roads, bridges and lifelines such as water supplies and telecommunication. If a dam collapsed or overflowed, the damage and loss of life could be far greater. This scenario played out during what’s referred to “the great flood of 1916.”According to sunnycv.com, the 1916 flood was the worst natural disaster in the history of the South Bay. Massive amounts of rain fell in the area in January of 1916, flooding all river canyons in the county and destroying all bridges. The Otay Dam broke on January 27, 1916, flooding the entire valley and destroying the town of Otay along with hundreds of farms. 11 Japanese farmers living below the dam were killed. The flood also carried debris and topsoil that blocked ship channels in the San Diego Bay for years. The massive amounts of rain also filled the Sweetwater Reservoir and, when an abutment below the dam gave way, it unleashed floodwater into the valley. It’s unclear exactly how many people died due to the flooding that January. Estimates range anywhere from 15 to 50, according to the San Diego Reader. HighwaysAccording to the report, most of the damage to San Diego’s highways will be caused by flooding. Repairs to a majority of highways in the county are expected to be 90 to 100 percent completed three days after the storm. Other more rural highways could take more than 90 days to repair, the report states. 4791

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- San Diego Fire-Rescue responded after a man reportedly got his hand stuck in an industrial tortilla press Thursday night.According to the department, the incident happened just after 5:30 at Tortillera La Perla on the 3100 block of National Avenue in San Diego.The man has been carried out of the factory, but a piece of the equipment is reportedly still stuck to the man's hand. His condition is unclear at this time. Also unclear is how the man got his hand stuck in the press. 507