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President-elect Joe Biden’s proposal to forgive ,000 of federal student debt as COVID relief could erase loan balances for 15 million borrowers and reduce balances for millions more, according to federal data.Broad student loan forgiveness could affect 45.3 million borrowers with federal student loan debt who owe a total of .54 trillion to the government. Wiping out ,000 each — as Biden calls for — would result in up to 9 billion canceled.Seth Frotman, executive director of the Student Borrower Protection Center, says removing the student loans “albatross around their financial lives” could mean the difference for consumers who aspire to buy a house, save for retirement or start a business.“Student loan borrowers across the spectrum — old, young, urban, rural, high-balance, low-balance, Black, white — are hurting with their student loans, and that was before COVID even hit,” Frotman says.For now, Biden’s proposal is just an amount, with no details to answer questions about which loans might be canceled, whether forgiven amounts would be taxed and if borrowers would have defaulted loans removed from their credit history. It also faces huge hurdles politically.But here’s how ,000 in forgiveness could affect some categories of borrowers.For 15 million borrowers, a slate wiped cleanMore than a third of federal borrowers could see their balances fall to zero with ,000 in debt cancelation. Among those, 7.9 million owe less than ,000 in student loans and 7.4 million owe between ,000 and ,000, according to federal data.These are also the borrowers most likely to default on their loans. Over half of those who default (52%) have less than ,000 of federal undergraduate debt, according to an analysis of federal data by The Institute for College Access and Success, or TICAS.That’s because those with lower debt amounts often have not completed their schooling, so they don’t reap the benefits of a degree that leads to a better paying job. Among those who default, 49% did not complete their program of study, TICAS found.Default has severe consequences: It can sabotage credit scores and trigger collection efforts that can include seizure of tax refunds and Social Security payments.Many of these borrowers are current on their payments. For them, forgiveness could help, but it might not be much of a boon to the overall economy, says Betsy Mayotte, president and founder of The Institute of Student Loan Advisors.“If you owe ,000 and your payment is 0 — and that’s a lot of money to a lot of people — but you all of a sudden don’t have to pay 0 a month, I don’t see that 0 being put toward something that will stimulate the economy,” Mayotte says.For 19 million borrowers, some breathing roomThe typical student leaves school with around ,000 in debt, according to TICAS, an amount that can grow quickly with interest if students pause payments or go on repayment plans that allow them to make lower payments.Nearly 19 million borrowers owe between ,000 and ,000 in federal student loans, according to federal data. Without detailed execution plans from the Biden team, it’s trickier to say how these borrowers would be affected.For example, cancellation might not reduce the amount they pay each month, but it could draw their end date closer and lower the total amount they’d pay overall, due to interest. Or it might wipe out one loan completely but leave payments on others intact.For 11 million borrowers, a drop in the bucketHigher income households, as a whole, are the ones that hold the most debt.The high debt/high earner correlation makes sense because those who make more money tend to have more advanced education, according to findings from Georgetown University Center for Education and the Workforce. To get those advanced degrees, students rack up debt in the process.More than 8 million people owe the government between ,000 and 0,000 in student loans. An additional 3.2 million borrowers owe more than 0,000 on their federal loans, data show.A borrower repaying 0,000 on the standard federal 10-year plan at 5% interest would pay off the loans 15 months early if ,000 were forgiven.Forgiveness is still a big maybeThere’s also the question of how loan forgiveness could move forward: Will it be through Congress or executive action or not at all?“If anything can be done by executive action, [forgiveness] could happen very quickly,” says Robert Kelchen, associate professor of higher education at Seton Hall University. “I’m just not sure whether forgiving debt would withstand legal scrutiny.”Experts say any executive action could face lawsuits or be subject to judicial review, which would leave the fate of an order for forgiveness in the hands of the Supreme Court.“There are a lot of conservative judges, so I can imagine that many of them could be hostile to the policy,” says Wesley Whistle, senior advisor for policy and strategy, higher education at the public policy think tank New America.Mayotte said she is doubtful borrowers will see straight forgiveness since the reach of this type of pandemic relief wouldn’t be as broad as, say, providing supplemental unemployment or propping up small businesses.Forgiveness won’t happen before payments restartBiden proposed his forgiveness measure as part of COVID-related relief, but experts say there’s an even more pressing student loan concern that will come to a head before Biden starts his term — the end of the payment pause for student loan borrowers, which is set to sunset after Dec. 31.Doug Webber, associate professor of economics at Temple University, says he’s worried about the pitfalls of going “zero to 60” in one day with reinstating loan payments for a population that isn’t ready.“Once you give people a benefit, it’s always harder to take it back,” Webber says.The payment pause, known as a forbearance, has been in effect since March as part of the first coronavirus relief bill. President Donald Trump extended the relief through the end of the year, but neither the outgoing or incoming administration has committed to extending it again.While borrowers await the fate of forgiveness, they should contact their servicer to get enrolled in an income-driven repayment plan if they won’t be able to afford their payments. These plans set payments at a portion of their income and can be as low as zero if they’re unemployed.NerdWallet writer Ryan Lane contributed additional reporting to this story.More From NerdWallet10+ Student Loan Forgiveness Programs That Discharge LoansFederal Loans Are Paused Until 2021 — Should You Pay Anyway?Income-Driven Repayment: Is It Right for You?Anna Helhoski is a writer at NerdWallet. Email: anna@nerdwallet.com. Twitter: @AnnaHelhoski. 6765
Proponents of the SDSU West and SoccerCity initiatives both say they'll turn the SDCCU Stadium site into something beautiful. But two new memos from the city attorney Mara Elliott's office say those developments, even if approved by voters, aren't guaranteed. 288
President Donald Trump will make two campaign stops in the upper Midwest Monday as he attempts to sway voters in crucial battleground states of Minnesota and Wisconsin.Trump's campaign stops will come the same day that Democrats will open their party convention — a convention originally scheduled to take place in nearby Milwaukee, Wisconsin, but which has since been rescheduled to take place virtually.According to the official White House schedule, Trump will first travel to Mankato, Minnesota and deliver remarks at North Star Aviation. He'll then fly to Oshkosh, Wisconsin, where he'll deliver a speech at the city's airport.Trump is expected to deliver a speech on "jobs and the economy" at both locations, according to the official White House schedule.The state of Wisconsin proved critical to Trump's victory in 2016, where he broke through the Democrats' "Blue Wall" in the Upper Midwest and edged out a close victory in the state. The state could again prove critical in 2020 election, and recent polls show presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden with a slight edge in the state.Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton carried Minnesota during the 2016 election.Trump's comments come the same day that an ABC/Washington Post poll showed Biden leading nationally with 53% to 41% lead. 1308
Researchers at University of Michigan have developed a fake news detector to help fight against misinformation. The technology is "an algorithm-based system that identifies telltale linguistic cues in fake news stories." The team says the system is "comparable to and sometimes better than humans at correctly identifying fake news stories."According to their study, linguistic analysis tracks things like grammatical structure, word choice, punctuation and complexity. But there are challenges to making sure the system properly deciphers stories. Researchers say the difficulty in building a fake news detectors is not in developing the algorithm itself, "but in finding the right data with which to train that algorithm."The system is still in its beta stage. Details of the fake news detector system will be presented on August 24 at the International Conference on Computational Linguistics in Santa Fe. Read the full study here. 962
President Donald Trump signed two pieces of legislation into law on Wednesday that aim to inform consumers about drug prices.Both measures, the Know the Lowest Price Act and the Patient Right to Know Drug Prices Act, aim to end the drug industry's so-called gag orders of pharmacists, which prevent them from discussing cheaper price options with consumers. These price options include discussing whether a medication may be less expensive if using insurance or paying out-of-pocket.At Wednesday's signing, the President called the gag clauses "unjust" and said the legislation would lower drug prices that are "way out of whack" and "way too high.""It's called the law of supply and demand. They didn't want to have that. But now we have that and it's going to lower drug prices," Trump added.Both the President and Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said at the signing that they expect further regulatory action on reducing drug prices in the coming months.Some states and municipalities have pharmacy gag order bans, but the Patient Right to Know Drug Prices Act, sponsored by Maine Republican Sen. Susan Collins, addresses banning the practice of gag orders on a federal level. The Know the Lowest Price Act, sponsored by Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow, prohibits Medicare drug plans from putting a gag clause on a pharmacy in their contracts.Collins and Stabenow were present at Wednesday's signing, as well as Tennessee Republican Sen. Lamar Alexander, Louisiana Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy, Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein and National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow.Some pharmaceutical industry experts say that although eliminating the gag clause is step toward consumer transparency, it doesn't address the issue of lowering actual drug costs, making it unclear how much of a tangible effect the legislation will have.The President has frequently expressed his frustration over rising drug prices, and in May, he laid?out his vision for increasing competition, reducing regulations and changing the incentives for all players in the pharmaceutical industry.The administration released a 44-page blueprint of the plan, entitled American Patients First, aiming to increase competition and improve the negotiation of drug prices, as well as reduce consumers' out-of-pocket spending on medicines and create incentives to lower list prices.Ending the pharmacy gag orders was included the plan, as well as speeding up the approval of over-the-counter medications and asking the Food and Drug Administration to require manufacturers to include prices in their TV ads.A gag order on a pharmacy is frequently brought on by clauses in contracts with pharmaceutical benefit managers, which manage most of our nation's prescription drug programs. The benefit managers negotiate prices with drug companies on behalf of insurance companies and other payers and then share those prices to retail pharmacies. They also negotiate rebates from manufacturers and discounts from drugstores. If pharmacists violate the gag rule, they risk losing their contract with the pharmaceutical benefit manager.Daniel Nam, executive director of federal programs at America's Health Insurance Plans, told Kaiser Health News that gag orders on pharmacies are becoming less frequent because these clauses are "not something they are incorporating into their contracts."Mark Merritt, president and CEO of a lobbying group for pharmaceutical benefit managers, the Pharmaceutical Care Management Association, told the publication that these clauses are "very much an outlier." 3635