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Allan Lichtman is a historian who wrote “The Keys to the White House,” which outlines 13 metrics for predicting the outcome of a presidential election.Lichtman’s method has proven to work over the years, as he broke from other prognosticators and predicted a Donald Trump victory in 2016. And with the 2020 presidential election now less than three months away, he has weighed in on this year’s race.Lichtman predicts that Joe Biden will win in November.The 13 keys looks at issues such as social unrest, the economy, previous midterm results, scandal, and military results. Lichtman predicting elections in the early 80s, and accurately called for Ronald Reagan's victory in 1984. He has called eight elections since.Lichtman explains his method in a New York Times video op-ed. 787

About seven minutes after Sacramento police fatally shot an unarmed black man in his grandmother's backyard last week, officers were instructed to mute their body cameras.Stephon Clark, 22, was in the backyard March 18 when two police officers shot him 20 times. Police said they thought he was holding a gun. But investigators say they did not find a weapon at the scene, only a cellphone near the man's body.The Sacramento Police Department on Wednesday released two body camera videos, the 911 call, the helicopter footage and radio traffic from the shooting.In both videos, an officer can be heard saying, "Hey, mute." Directly after, the video goes silent and officers talk among themselves.'It builds suspicion'The shooting has sparked nationwide outrage, with the muting of the body cameras raising questions about the officers' actions. CNN has called and emailed the police department, but has not heard back.Sacramento Police Chief Daniel Hahn told CNN affiliate KCRA that the action has added to the tension after the shooting."Muting is one of those things that we have to take a look at," Hahn said. "Any time there is muting on this camera, it builds suspicion -- as it has in this case. And that is not healthy for us in our relationship with our community."Although the Sacramento Police Department's 2016 body camera policy designates when to activate body cameras, it does not specifically mention when to activate or deactivate sound or audio recordings. Sacramento police, Hahn said, implemented body cameras last year.When can officers deactivate body cameras?The department policy includes 16 instances when a body camera is required to be activated, including vehicle stops and sobriety tests as well as foot and vehicle pursuits.It says employees can deactivate their cameras in some instances, but that's based on their discretion. These instances may occur when officers are having tactical or confidential conversations, when officers are trying to conserve battery life or if a witness or victim refuses to give a statement on camera, according to the policy.Some situations are also based on the officer's judgment, like if a recording would interfere with the officer's ability to investigate or if recording would be inappropriate based on the victim or witness' physical condition and emotional state.However, it's unclear whether deactivating a body camera or muting are different things."I think it's a policy we should look at very carefully and perhaps change entirely," Mayor Darrell Steinberg said during a news conference Friday.Expert: Muting can be justified at timesPeter Bibring, director of police practices with ACLU Southern California, said he's never heard of a department where an officer muted video."Just because an officer thinks this shouldn't be released," that's not a discussion officers should be having, he said. "Officers should not be having personal conversations during the course of an investigation. And that's certainly not what was going on here."Seth W. Stoughton, assistant professor of law at the University of South Carolina School of Law, has done research, presentations and led training on body cameras for the past two years. He said he'd be surprised if muting cameras was illegal, but said he understands why officers would mute their video."They were in a situation where they didn't want a word to be scrutinized," he said.The inclination among officers, Stoughton said, is not to record footage of an officer unwinding moments after a shooting because officers may not phrase things in the right way.However, he said, muting hurts public trust and diminishes police accountability."I think that muting the microphone is wrong," Stoughton said. "By not capturing that information, they may be undermining the investigation."A different perspectiveWhen officers mute body cameras, Stoughton said, the public looks at it from a different perspective."From a public trust perspective, it may have been better to not have a body camera at all than to have it and turn it off halfway through," he said.Body cameras provide information that the public wouldn't otherwise have, but "it's not perfect information," Stoughton said.There is no statewide body camera policy in California, so body camera policies differ from agency to agency, said Jeff Noble, a police practice consultant and a former deputy police chief in Irvine, California."The cameras served the goal that we put body cameras out for, they were on and activated during the chase and during the shooting," Noble said. 4598

Actor Tom Selleck spread some little holiday cheer when he left a server a generous tip of ,020 at a New York restaurant.Selleck's "Blue Bloods" co-star Donnie Wahlberg posted on Twitter a photo of Selleck's bill that featured the large tip."I found out that my TV Dad #TomSelleck has generously accepted the #2020TipChallenge at Elios Upper East Side!" Wahlberg tweeted. "Love ya, dad. I didn't start it, but I'm proud to be part of it. To those who gave even the smallest extra amount this year — THANK YOU." 520

After November 30, we will unblock the middle seat on our flights. This decision was not made lightly, and we'd like to share how we arrived at it. (1/8)— Southwest Airlines (@SouthwestAir) October 22, 2020 214

Amazon is raising the price of Amazon Prime from to 9 per year.The company announced the price hike for its membership program during a call with investors Thursday. The change will go into effect May 11, and it will apply to Prime renewals beginning June 16."We continue to increase the value of Prime," Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky said on the call, adding that the company has added "digital benefits," like Prime Video.He noted that the company is seeing "rises in cost" for providing Prime services, which include shipping perks and video streaming. 566