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BEIJING,Aug 9(Xinhuanet) -- China's high savings rate is expected to fall substantially in coming years as its workforce shrinks, the population ages and social security spending increases, a BIS report shows.In research published by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) on the “myth and reality” of China’s savings rate, Ma Guonan and Wang Yi found that the Asian giant needs its population to spend more in order to sustain rapid economic growth in coming years.The researchers, who were writing in their personal capacity, also reject claims that Chinese State firms have been benefiting from high savings thanks to exchange rate distortions and subsidies designed to drive economic growth.They point out that “less advantaged” and more efficient firms have been the ones posting the greatest gains in earnings in recent years rather than State-owned companies.China’s gross national savings soared from 39.2 percent of output in 1990 to 53.2 percent in 2008, far higher than the United States, which saved only 12.2 percent in 2008.Even compared to other Asian giants — Japan with 27 percent in 2007 and India with 33.6 percent in 2008 — China’s share of savings as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) is significantly larger.Nonetheless, the population and social trends that have underpinned China’s growth and savings rates are likely tail off significantly over the next decade, the two Chinese researchers argued.In the wake of the global slump, world leaders and economists have been asking China to spend more, rather than pin its economic growth on exports to the West, in order to help address world trade imbalances.Ma, a BIS economist and Wang, who is from the Chinese central bank, said however that the current savings trend by Chinese households will not last.The swelling working population in recent years has boosted savings in recent years, they said.In addition, large-scale corporate restructuring between 1995 and 2005 increased job uncertainty, forcing workers to set aside more money in case they were fired. The lack of a social safety net also pushed workers to make “precautionary savings.”Beyond households, government savings have also been increasing in tandem, as more is being set aside to meet pension needs which are expected to rise significantly as the population ages.However, these trends are expected to be reversed in coming years.“It is reasonable to assume that the large-scale labor retrenchment observed during 1995 to 2008 is by and large been behind us,” say the researchers.In addition, China is expected to enter into a phase of “accelerated population ageing within a decade.” This means that the workforce will decline, leading to a fall in overall income and therefore savings.At the same time, infrastructure spending is expected to continue, in order to provide for the ageing population and the urbanization of the country.
BEIJING, June 14 (Xinhua) -- China on Monday urged the United States political figures to stop blaming others for U.S. economic problems and to solve the problems themselves, as pressure on the Renminbi exchange rate mechanism builds."It's unreasonable to politicize the RMB exchange rate issue or engage in trade protectionism against China under the guise of the exchange rate issue. Doing so will only harm both sides," Foreign Ministry spokesman Qin Gang commented in response to some U.S. politicians' remarks on the Renminbi exchange rate issue.U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said at a congressional hearing last Thursday China's refusal to revalue its currency impedes global economic reforms -- even as he highlighted the importance of U.S.-China trade and hailed the recent growth of Chinese imports of U.S. products.Some U.S. congressmen have said they will soon push for a trade sanctions bill targeting countries "whose currency exchange rate is not equal to fair value.""We agree with the remarks China-US trade is very important. The trade is mutually beneficial and win-win in nature," Qin said.China does not intend to pursue trade surpluses and is actively increasing its imports from the United States to push for sound and balanced trade ties, he said.In the first quarter of this year, U.S. exports to China surged by 50 percent year on year but less than 20 percent to other regions, according to Geithner.
BELGRADE, July 15 (Xinhua) -- Visiting top Chinese legislator Wu Bangguo and Serbian Prime Minister Mirko Cvetkovic met here on Thursday and agreed to expand cooperation between their two countries.During their talks, Wu, chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress of China, spoke highly of the China-Serbia ties, saying China sees Serbia as an important cooperation partner in Southeastern Europe.Thanks to their joint efforts, the two countries have made remarkable achievements in their cooperation in infrastructure construction, automobile manufacturing and other areas, noted Wu, the highest-ranking Chinese official to visit Serbia since the two countries established their strategic partnership in 2009.The Chinese guest particularly referred to the official inauguration of the Zemun Bridge construction, the biggest infrastructure project to be conducted in Serbia by a Chinese enterprise.Wu on Wednesday attended the groundbreaking ceremony for building the bridge, which will span the Danube river and ease local traffic strain.As the two countries boast good political relations, strongly complementary economies and huge cooperation potential, Wu stressed, China and Serbia should make a full use of such advantages and seize opportunities to deepen bilateral collaboration in infrastructure construction including roads, bridges and power plants.Meanwhile, the two countries should explore new ways and fields of cooperation, consolidate the leading role of enterprises in bilateral economic and trade cooperation, and thus build up momentum for a substantial leap forward on the cooperation track, added Wu.Stressing that China encourages its businesses to cooperate with their Serbian counterparts in various ways, Wu expressed the hope that the Serbian side will further facilitate corporate cooperation between the two countries.For his part, Cvetkovic first recalled his experience in the Serbian National Pavilion Day activities at the World Expo in Shanghai last month, saying that he was deeply impressed by the unparalleled exhibition, which he said will surely help Serbia better showcase its splendid history and modern accomplishments to the world.Noting that economic and trade cooperation is a significant part of the Serbia-China strategic partnership, the Serbian host also cited the Zemun Bridge project, stressing that the new fruit of bilateral cooperation symbolizes the Serbia-China friendship and injects new impetus into the strategic partnership between the two countries.Serbia attaches great importance to enhancing ties with China, and is ready to continue expanding cooperation in infrastructure, energy, agriculture, tourism and other fields, Cvetkovic emphasized.Serbia keeps its door open for Chinese enterprises, and is ready to create a better environment for corporate cooperation between the two countries, he continued, adding that his country will learn from China's successful opening-up policy and foreign investment incentives.Wu met with Serbian President Boris Tadic on Wednesday after a visit to France. He is scheduled to leave on Friday for Switzerland, the last leg of his three-nation Europe tour, where he will attend the Third World Conference of Speakers of Parliament in Geneva.
BEIJING, Aug. 16 (Xinhua) -- China's top legislature will discuss the constitutional reform package of Hong Kong, which refers to the amendments to the methods of selecting the city's Chief Executive and forming the Legislative Council in 2012, during a bimonthly session scheduled from Aug. 23 to 28.The draft amendments to Annexes I to the Basic Law of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region concerning the methods for the selection of the Chief Executive was submitted to the National People's Congress (NPC) Standing Committee for approval by Hong Kong Chief Executive Donald Tsang.The draft amendments to Annexes II concerning the formation of the city's Legislative Council was submitted to the NPC Standing Committee for the record.The Legislative Council of Hong Kong passed the draft amendments in June, before Donald Tsang gave his consent to draft amendments later in the month.According to Monday's Chairmen's Council of the NPC Standing Committee, presided over by NPC Standing Committee Chairman Wu Bangguo, lawmakers will also continue to deliberate draft amendments to the law on officers in reserve service, the draft law on mediation, as well as the draft law on the application of laws to civil relationships involving foreign interests.Lawmakers will also deliberate for the first time draft amendments to the law of deputies to the NPC and local People's Congresses, draft amendments to the Criminal Law, the draft law on intangible cultural heritages, and the draft revision of the soil and water conservation law.Also on the agenda of the upcoming session are discussions of the reports on implementation of the national economic and social development plan and budgets, among others.
TOKYO, July 27 (Xinhua) -- China and Japan on Tuesday conducted the first round of negotiation on the implementation of the principles of consensus concerning the East China Sea issue.Present at the talks were Ning Fukui, director general of the Chinese Foreign Ministry's Boundary and Ocean Affairs Department, and Akitaka Saiki, director general of the Japanese Foreign Ministry's Asian and Oceanian Affairs Bureau, Natural Resources.In a positive, candid and practical atmosphere, the two sides exchanged views on the implementation of the principles of consensus.And the two sides agreed to make concerted efforts to gradually accelerate the process of implementing the principles of consensus through friendly consultations and attain the common goal of turning the East China sea into a sea of "peace, cooperation and friendship."The decision to hold the negotiation was made by Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi and his Japanese counterpart Okada Katsuya after a meeting on the sidelines of the ASEAN Ministerial Meeting in Hanoi, according to a press release from the Chinese foreign ministry Thursday.