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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Economic forecasters are beginning to warn of a possible 2020 recession, and the impact they say will be felt in the Golden State, according to a new report by UCLA.“Don’t celebrate the 3.1% GDP growth estimate for the first quarter of 2019,” writes UCLA Anderson Professor Emeritus Edward Leamer. Leamer is quoted in a recent report produced by the UCLA Anderson School of Management. According to Leamer, the data actually increases the risk of a recession at some point in the next couple of years. Nationally, economic growth is expected to slow marginally to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 and 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020. RELATED: Fed cuts interest rates for the first time since recessionThe good news is that the report predicts an economic rebound, growing again to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. So what picture does the report paint for California? One forecaster says you can expect California unemployment to rise modestly. “Weakness in housing as well as the slowing U.S. economy is reflected in a very modest growth rate in the U.S. in late 2020,” UCLA Anderson Forecast director Jerry Nickelsburg writes. “As a consequence, we expect California’s average unemployment rate to rise slightly to an average of 4.6% in the first quarter of 2021. For the entire year for 2020 and 2021, we expect average unemployment rates of 4.3% and 4.4%, respectively.”Meanwhile, personal income growth in the state of California is forecast at 2.9 percent in 2019. But the report warns that income growth is expected to slow to 1.9 percent by 2020.It’s not all bad news, however, income growth is expected to rise fairly quickly again in 2021, and is forecast to reach 2.1 percent by the end of the year. There's more good news. The Federal Reserve Wednesday lowered interest rates for the first time since the Great Recession in 2008 to help prevent an economic downturn. 1936

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Filipino World War II veterans who fought under the American flag were honored at a luncheon in Lincoln Park on Sunday. The event took place at the Jacobs Center for Neighborhood Innovation on Euclid Avenue.More than 260,000 Filipino and Filipino American soldiers served the United States during the war, but their service was unrecognized for decades.That changed when the Filipino Veterans of World War II Congressional Gold Medal Act of 2015 was passed and then signed into law by President Obama in 2016.The veterans were honored with a bronze replica of the Congressional Gold Medal (CGM) for their service and sacrifice during World War II. A CGM is the highest civilian honor that Congress can bestow.A total of 61 veterans were honored, with many family members accepting the honor for vets who have passed away. Ten living veterans were present to receive their medals.10News reporter Melissa Mecija emceed the event.  1020

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Despite having the most coronavirus cases of any local university, large off-campus parties continue to be an issue for San Diego State University and nearby residents.Students living off-campus have been attending large parties, according to neighbors. As of Saturday, SDSU had 1,184 COVID-19 cases, 767 of those cases being reported in off-campus students.Locals living in the College Area says many students continue to ignore public health orders and hold large, loud parties with no physical distancing or mask wearing."It's really frustrating and at this point, I feel like there's not a lot that we can do because you know those people, they're just going to keep doing what they're doing," one neighbor said.In a statement to ABC 10News' reporting partner KPBS, San Diego State says more than a hundred notices of violations have been delivered to residences in the college area.The university also contracts elite security to keep an eye on the neighborhood surrounding the school for any violations. If a security guard notices a party, they call police to respond.As of Friday, Cal State San Marcos had reported 18 total COVID-19 cases, three of which were off-campus. At UC San Diego, there have been 106 coronavirus cases since March 1, with three being reported since Oct. 1. Since Aug. 16, the University of San Diego has reported 130 confirmed and 17 probable cases, with 127 COVID-19 cases being non-residential students. 1465

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Hiring is increasing in San Diego County with local employers adding jobs in all industries, the San Diego Workforce Partnership reported. The most recent U.S. Bureau of Labor statistics show unemployment dropped to 3 percent in April, as San Diego County gained 7,800 jobs month-over-month. The largest increase was posted in the construction field, with 2,200 jobs added. The boom was likely due to improving weather in April after an unusually rainy winter, experts said. Other growing industries included Education and Health, and Professional and Business, which added 1,000 jobs. The Government and Leisure and Hospitality fields each grew by 900 jobs. The smallest growth was reported in the Information field, with 100 jobs added in April. RELATED: Making It in San Diego: Standout resume is key in competitive job marketThe San Diego Workforce Partnership reported the most year-over-year growth in Education and Health, with 7,600 jobs added.</noscript><object class="tableauViz" style="display:none;"> 1071

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Enjoy some socially distant exploring in Old Town or stay in for a day of tacos and beer and virtual entertainment.Old Town is hosting Summer Nights Thursday through Sunday to help support local businesses and connect locals with outdoor attractions. Jump into the San Diego Tacos and Beer Festival virtually, with tacos and beer shipped or available for pick up for participants and live entertainment virtually through the festival.San Diego Safari Park is hosting safaris once again, including its Sun Up Safari bringing guests up close and personal with the park's animal ambassadors.(As a reminder, residents are encouraged to stay home if they feel ill and avoid large gatherings with people not from the same household. The county also requires residents to practice social distancing and wear a facial covering when within six feet of those not from the same household.)Oceanside International Film Festival (Friday - Sunday): The Oceanside International Film Festival is moving online from Aug. 15 to Aug. 23, showcasing works from local filmmakers and supporting the local arts. Check out the film, "Orale Thrucha," by ABC 10News editor Brian McHugh and several other works being screened. More infoOld Town Summer Nights (Friday - Sunday): Enjoy Old Town safely with social distance dining, shopping, and sightseeing Thursday through Sunday until Sept. 27. The Old Town Chamber of Commerce is hosting the event from 4 p.m. to 10 p.m. Outdoor attractions will be open for visitors and participating businesses have set up outside for shoppers and diners. More infoVirtual San Diego Tacos and Beer Festival (Saturday): Bring the tacos and beer home for the San Diego Tacos and Beer Festival's virtual edition. Each ticket will come with 7 craft beers, 2 margaritas, and 2 tacos (which can be picked up or sent to your home). The online festival will feature live performances, live chat with brewers and mixologists, tasting tips and walkthroughs, and games. More infoSun Up Safari (Saturday - Sunday): Wake up early with the animals at the San Diego Zoo Safari Park during Sun Up Safari. Guests will take an early stroll through the Safari Park and meet some of the park's residents at Shiley's Cheetah Run and Kijamii Overlook. More infoSpreckels Organ Society online concert (Sunday): The Spreckels Organ Society will give an organ concert online, with Civic Organist Raúl Prieto Ramírez and Spreckels Organ Curator Dale Sorenson. The duo produces the weekly concert every Sunday live from the world's largest outdoor musical instrument. Viewers can make online donations during the concert in support of Spreckels' free concerts. More infoSan Diego County Fair food fun (Friday - Sunday): What's the July 4 weekend without some fair food? The Del Mar Fairgrounds is offering delicious bites from fair vendors Friday through Sunday from now until Sept. 7. Grab a bit from vendors like Chicken Charlies, Roxy's, Sugar Bear, and more! The fair is also hosting virtual exhibits showcasing student artwork, photography, and livestock shows. More info 3085