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Housing and rates are worrying some economists that a recession is looming."One of the biggest concerns is the housing market," said Lindsey Piegza, chief economist for Stifel, on CNNMoney's "Markets Now" live show Wednesday. "It's throwing up a very large red flag and suggests maybe this 4% growth we saw in the second quarter is not sustainable."Home sales?have declined in four of the past five months as housing prices have grown -- but paychecks have remained stagnant. Many people can't afford to buy homes, and those who can are taking on a lot of debt to get into them.Piegza says that echoes what happened right before the Great Recession in 2008."We're not there yet, but this is what led us to the housing crash," she said.How could this happen again? Piegza believes that a decade of rock-bottom interest rates helped people forget about the dangers of borrowing too much."I don't know if we learned our lesson from the Great Recession," she said. "We are going back to a lot of the easy lending that we used to see."Although Piegza said a recession isn't necessarily imminent -- especially after quarterly growth just came in at the fastest pace in almost four years -- there are signs of waning momentum in the economy.Interest rates, for example, are starting to become a bad omen.The Federal Reserve, which finished up its two-day meeting Wednesday, is expected to raise its target rate two more times this year. Higher rates have boosted short-term US Treasury bond rates. But the longer-term bond rates haven't risen along with the shorter-term rates, because investors are growing wary about the economy over the long haul.With two more interest rate hikes planned, the Fed could boost short-term rates higher than long-term ones, inverting the so-called yield curve. An inverted yield curve has preceded every recession in modern history."We could easily be there by the end of the year," Piegza said. "I think we'll see pressure on the longer end by the end of the year, but the Fed will still be raising rates on the short end."Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that he is not concerned about an inverted yield curve. Piegza strongly disagrees."It is a predictive measure of a recession," she said. 2266

IMPERIAL BEACH, Calif. (KGTV) — Imperial Beach is closing off traffic in front of the IB Pier in order to help businesses and restaurants utilize more space for social distancing.The city says Seacoast Drive, from Date Avenue to Elder Ave., will be closed to motorists from Saturday to Monday so that not only residents can social distance, but nearby retail stores and restaurants can get creative with spacing."With many businesses able to reopen to customers, we will see some 'out of the box' thinking from our businesses to maximize their area to increase spacial distancing," the city wrote on Facebook.RELATED:Pacific Beach's El Prez shut down for violating health ordersWhat to know: Changes at beaches, restaurants this Memorial Day weekendWith many retail stores and restaurants reopened this Memorial Day weekend, local cities expect more residents to head outdoors.While restaurants have been allowed to reopen under county guidelines, some establishments may see the county force them to close if they do not meet protocols. Friday, the county closed a Pacific Beach restaurant and bar for violating health orders.In-store retail has also been allowed to reopen with physical distancing protocols as well.Beaches will also be a focus. Currently, only walking and running are allowed on beaches — no lying down or sitting.Countywide, a mandate on wearing facial coverings in public and stay-at-home order is still in effect. 1444

In a pandemic that relies heavily on the expertise and passion of our healthcare workers, we have seen many doctors and nurses working longer hours and even risking their own health to care for those in need.“This is a pandemic that's going to continue to go on. And a lot of health care providers in different settings have already been asked to work overtime shifts or extra shifts. And the thing is, that’s just increasing the burnout,” said Dr. Jessica Rainbow, RN and UArizona College of Nursing assistant professor.“Before the pandemic burnout was already a normalized issue in Nursing. And what I mean by that is that more nurses than not experienced burnout than those who have what I would call good well-being and don't suffer from burnout,” said Chloe Littzen, RN and UArizona College of Nursing Ph.D. candidate.Rainbow and Littzen are seeking ways to mitigate nurse burnout during the coronavirus pandemic. They say the pandemic has only intensified the problem.“They either leave the setting that they're in. Let's say they're in one unit, they go to another unit. They leave that facility going from, let's say, the hospital setting to the community setting or vice versa, or they leave nursing completely,” said Littzen.That puts the industry in a tough spot. The nursing shortage also affects the ability to educate future nurses and the ability to do more research.“It's important to say that this is not an issue that is the nurse's fault right or any healthcare provider or anyone who works in a healthcare setting,” said Rainbow.From their research, they say health care workers are shown to have good self-care, but it’s the systems of the work environment that can be stressful.“Where they're actually given the resources that they need to be successful. So resources as far as things like PPE, things like having adequate staffing,” said Rainbow.They say a big factor is also the public. Loved ones of those in care can help by being understanding and by adhering to guidelines, such as wearing a mask.“You know, it's important to give grace and struggling times and everyone's emotions are heightened and stressed and you know nurses are people, too. They're also a human being and they're also suffering with you,” said Littzen.They found nurses have done things like meditation, spending more time in nature, and seeking peer groups to voice shared experiences.“Social support is huge for nurses. I mean, especially to when you were a provider and you have a job where your significant other at home may not fully understand what you do. And so it's difficult sometimes if you don't have the social support of other co-workers in the same position,” said Rainbow.Rainbow’s study is called “Working in Healthcare During the COVID-19 Pandemic. Participants can access the consent form with study information online or contact her for more information. Littzen’s dissertation study is called “Young Adult Nurse Work-Related Well-being, Contemporary Practice Worldview, Resilience, and Co-Worker Support.”This story was first reported by Taja Davis at KGUN in Tucson, Arizona. 3106

If you have an old car seat, Target is looking to take them at their car seat trade-in event this monthBeginning Sept. 13, consumers will be able to go to any participating Target and exchange old car seats for a 20% off coupon.The event ends Sept. 26.Any car seat will be accepted, Target said.The company says the coupon can be used on a new car seat, stroller, or select baby gear item.The way it'll work is that customers will drop the car seat off in the designated box outside the store and then open the Target App and scan the code on the box.The coupon will appear in your wallet in the Target App, under "extra offers."You'll redeem your voucher by clicking the green checkmark next to the offer when you order online. If at the store, you'll scan your barcode at the register. 795

In 1943, George H.W. Bush was more than 40 years away from becoming the 41st President of the United States. He was 19 and serving in the Navy during World War II. He was also deeply in love with his fiancee, Ms. Barbara Pierce, who would go on to be a beloved First Lady.A handwritten letter from Bush to his bride-to-be is housed at the George H.W. Bush Library and Museum in College Station, Texas, and it offers an intimate glimpse into the love story of a future presidential couple. The text of the letter is below.My darling Bar,This should be a very easy letter to write — words should come easily and in short it should be simple for me to tell you how desperately happy I was to open the paper and see the announcement of our engagement, but somehow I can't possibly say all in a letter I should like to.I love you, precious, with all my heart and to know that you love me means my life. How often I have thought about the immeasurable joy that will be ours some day. How lucky our children will be to have a mother like you —As the days go by the time of our departure draws nearer. For a long time I had anxiously looked forward to the day when we would go aboard and set to sea. It seemed that obtaining that goal would be all I could desire for some time, but, Bar, you have changed all that. I cannot say that I do not want to go — for that would be a lie. We have been working for a long time with a single purpose in mind, to be so equipped that we could meet and defeat our enemy. I do want to go because it is my part, but now leaving presents itself not as an adventure but as a job which I hope will be over before long. Even now, with a good while between us and the sea, I am thinking of getting back. This may sound melodramatic, but if it does it is only my inadequacy to say what I mean. Bar, you have made my life full of everything I could ever dream of — my complete happiness should be a token of my love for you.Wednesday is definitely the commissioning and I do hope you'll be there. I'll call Mum tomorrow about my plan. A lot of fellows put down their parents or wives and they aren't going so you could pass as a Mrs. — Just say you lost the invite and give your name. They'll check the list and you'll be in. How proud I'll be if you can come.I'll tell you all about the latest flying developments later. We have so much to do and so little time to do it in. It is frightening at times. The seriousness of this thing is beginning to strike home. I have been made asst. gunnery officer and when Lt. Houle leaves I will be gunnery officer. I'm afraid I know very little about it but I am excited at having such a job. I'll tell you all about this later too.The wind of late has been blowing like mad and our flying has been cut to a minimum. My plane, #2 now, is up at Quonset, having a camera installed. It is Bar #2 but purely in spirit since the Atlantic fleet won't let us have names on our planes.Goodnite, my beautiful. Everytime I say beautiful you about kill me but you'll have to accept it —I hope I get Thursday off — there's still a chance. All my love darling —Poppypublic fiancé as of 12/12/43Barbara Bush passed away this week at the age of 92 after an undisclosed illness. She is one of two women in American history to have had both a husband and a son elected President (Abigail Adams is the other).She and her husband met in 1941 at a school dance, when she was just 16."I married the first man I ever kissed," she would often say. "When I tell this to my children, they just about throw up."And they were married longer than any other presidential couple.She leaves behind a legacy of public service, in particular a conviction for literacy and education. Of her cause she once said, "I chose literacy because I honestly believe that if more people could read, write, and comprehend, we would be that much closer to solving so many of the problems that plague our nation and our society."And perhaps, there would be more love letters too. 3999

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