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When experts look at the economy and its rebound, they go through an alphabet soup of letters, with a “V” shape recovery being the best-case scenario. It’s a fast decline with a fast recovery. Letters like “W” or “L” mean a much slower and painful path forward.A resurgence of more COVID-19 cases is shifting the likely shape of our economic recovery, and having economists evaluate the likelihood of a recovery in the shape of the more dreaded letters.“The fact that the virus has increased in a number of states shows that it is still very much a threat not only to one’s health but the economy,” said Michelle Meyer, who heads U.S. Economics at Bank of America. “The initial stage of the recovery was quite robust. It felt quite ‘V’ like, the economy was digging its way out of what was a very deep hole.”According to Bank of America, about a third of the jobs lost during the pandemic have been recovered. However, the recovery has slowed down into more of a “U” shape, and now data is showing a stall with concern of a higher chance of a “W” or “L” shape recovery.“The ‘W’ trajectory would be the worst-case scenario. That would show real fragility on the economy if we dipped back into a recession,” added Meyer.Experts say it would lead even higher unemployment, and more permanent job loss and business closures. In addition, to come out of a “W” or “L” shape recovery, we would need even more stimulus money from the federal government, which may not even improve the economic downturn as much as it did the first time.“Stimulus in Washington provides a really nice band-aid and I think it helped tremendously in the first stage of this recovery but at the end of the day, we need the economy to fundamentally improve,” said Meyer.The good news is unless there is a significant or full shutdown again, a “W” shape recovery is still less likely to occur than a “U” shape.“Our analysis projects that a 'U' shape recovery with rather steep losses and growth this year and rather flat next year and then recovering subsequently is the most likely outcome,” said David Turkington, the Senior Vice President at State Street Associates.A recent State Street study based on 100 years of historical data shows that the U.S. still has 30.1% chance of a “U” recovery, and a combined 24.4% chance of a “W” or “L” shape recovery which include stagflation and depression outcomes.“The real economy I think is what determines the recovery and how that plays forward,” said Turkington.The real economy is jobs, businesses and consumer spending. Providing stability there could determine which way the economy goes. 2615

While giving a daily briefing at a hospital near Miami, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis was interrupted by a protester who called for DeSantis' resignation.Video from the press conference shows the protester yelling over DeSantis, accusing him of "falsifying information" and having "no plan" to combat the pandemic."Shame on you!" the protester said.He was later led out of the room by security. As guards grabbed him, the protester asked them to "social distance" and not touch him. The guards led him out of the media event anyway.DeSantis did not respond to the comments. 577

While recognizing that the 2020 presidential race has not been called yet, Democratic nominee Joe Biden said he expects to win the states of Pennsylvania and other key battleground states.A win in Pennsylvania would give Biden enough Electoral College votes to win the presidential election and become president-elect. Biden led the state of Pennsylvania by 29,000 votes as of late Friday. Twenty-four hours earlier, Biden trailed in the state, but was bolstered by mail-in voting numbers on Friday.Biden also leads in the states of Arizona, Nevada and Georgia.Meanwhile, President Donald Trump has vowed to fight the vote count in the four aforementioned states.“Joe Biden should not wrongfully claim the office of the President. I could make that claim also. Legal proceedings are just now beginning!” Trump tweeted on Friday.If the results hold, Trump would become the first one-term president since George H.W. Bush who lost in 1992 to Bill Clinton."And look at the national numbers: We’re going to win this race with a clear majority of the nation behind us," Biden said.Biden said that his transition team is not waiting to get to work.“Yesterday, Senator Harris and I held meetings with a group of experts on the public health and economic crises our country is facing,” Biden said. “The pandemic is getting significantly more worrisome all across the country. Daily cases are skyrocketing, and it is now believed that we could see spikes as high as 200,000 cases in a single day.”Biden then addressed the economy.“More than 20 million people are on unemployment. Millions are worried about making rent and putting food on the table,” Biden said. “Our economic plan will put a focus on a path to a strong recovery.”Biden concluded the speech by urging civility in politics as protests across the country continued.“My responsibility as President will be to represent the whole nation. And I want you to know — that I will work as hard for those who voted against me as for those who voted for me,” Biden said. 2024

WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) — Unemployment benefits for millions of Americans are set to lapse at midnight unless President Donald Trump signs an end-of-year COVID relief and spending bill that had been considered a done deal before his objections. He is demanding larger COVID relief checks for Americans and complaining about "pork" spending. But Congress has already passed the package by large margins in both houses. Failing to sign it will mean pain for those struggling to make ends meet and a potential federal government shutdown in the middle of a global pandemic. 581

With Georgia playing a key role in this year’s presidential election, Democrats in the state are reminding voters to check the status of their ballot before a 5 p.m. Friday deadline.Voters in Georgia have until then to “cure” their ballot as the state has a rule that allows people who have their ballot rejected for administrative reasons, such as forgetting a signature, to fix their ballot. Ballots not cured by 5 p.m. Friday are thrown out.Georgia is not the only state that allows for ballot curing. According to the National Association of State Legislatures, 18 states have rules that allow voters to correct errors such as signature discrepancies. While in some states, the deadline to fix such discrepancies has passed, in other states, voters have up to three weeks to fix their ballot depending on the state.Other close states that allow ballot curing include Nevada and Arizona. Nevada gives voters seven days to correct a signature discrepancy. Arizona gives voters five days to make a correction.Pennsylvania is a state that does not have a process for ballot curing. According to WPVI-TV, some counties allowed voters to cure their ballot, prompting a lawsuit from Republicans. According to WPVI, nearly 1,600 voters in Bucks County had their ballot rejected, many for not properly placing their ballot inside of the “secrecy envelope," as voters in Pennsylvania are required to place their ballot inside an unmarked envelope, which is placed inside a marked envelope.In most states that permit ballot curing, elections officials are to notify voters of the discrepancy immediately. But with thousands of ballots being counted, there are questions on whether election officials are able to reach all voters.Stacey Abrams, a prominent Georgia Democrat who had an unsuccessful bid for governor in 2018, launched a website “CheckMyBallot.net” which allows voters in key battleground states to check the status of their mail-in or provisional ballot.What voters aren’t able to do through vote curing is change their vote. 2040

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