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ORANGE, Calif. (KGTV) -- Just in time for beach weather, the Amtrak Pacific Surfliner has announced a new discount for those looking to take a springtime trip.Amtrak said Wednesday that they’ll be offering a friends and family discount on train travel to Ventura, Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo counties through May 23.Passengers can purchase one full-fare adult ticket and book up to three additional passengers on the same reservation at a 50 percent discount on certain trips.The discount is valid for travel to and from the stations below: 554
On their surface, a lot polls got the 2016 election wrong. As late as October 23, 2016, an ABC News poll had Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 12%.But pollsters say that polls like the one conducted by ABC News do not even tell the whole story.“National polls are very helpful in giving us a sense of who might win the popular vote. In that regard, 2016 polls were relatively accurate,” said Emily Goodman is a principal at EMC Research, a nationwide polling firm.Hilary Clinton won the popular vote by about 2.8 million votes or 2%. In the last week of the election, many polls had tightened to have Clinton winning by about 2 to 5 percent. Goodman says a lot of people don’t understand polls.“One of the most important things to know about polls is that, they’re just a point in time, it’s a snapshot,” she said. There are a few key things you should look for when it comes to polling, the first being you don’t win the presidency by winning the popular vote.“The path to the presidency is by winning 270 Electoral College votes and that is why the state by state polling is incredibly important,” said Goodman. So nationwide polling won’t tell you who will win. Instead, state by state polling is more helpful.There’s also a few other things you should look for if you see a poll on the news, social media or other places.“The first is timeline, when was it conducted? Are you looking at a poll that was very recent, or a poll that was conducted months ago? Who the poll is conducted among. So are you looking at a poll of adults, are you looking at a poll of registered voters, of likely voters, or some other subset of the population? The sample size, that is, how many people were actually included in the poll? That ultimately tells you what the margin of error is. How the poll was conducted, what was the methodology? Was it conducted on telephone and did those phones include landlines and cellphones? Was it conducted online, over text?” Goodman explains. One key thing there, how polling respondents are reached, and it’s one thing that a pollster who got the 2016 election right says is key.“I don’t want the public face, I want what you really think because your real opinions are what go in that voting booth with you, when nobody is looking," said Robert Cahaly, the lead pollster for the Trafalgar Group,In 2016, Trafalgar projected Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Florida for Donald Trump. He says in 2016, there was a group of hidden Trump supporters. He said it’s a result of what’s called the Social Desirability Bias.“When you speak to a live person on the phone, you tend, especially when you know they know who you are, you tend to give an answer to a question that you think will make you look best in the mind of the person you’re talking to versus your true feeling,” he said. Cahaley says to some people, being seen as a Trump supporter is so undesirable, they won’t tell the truth to people conducting polls on the phone. He’s seeing the same exact thing in 2020 he saw in 2016 and that traditional polling may not be accounting for this.However, Goodman says that the industry is expanding how to reach respondents.“What used to be the gold standard of telephone surveys, exclusively landlines, is no longer appropriate. Cellphones, but beyond just having someone just call up a voter on your cellphone, we’re also now including texting, emailing, that includes a link to take a survey online and using a mix of those methodologies really helps get a representative sample of likely voters,”Both pollsters do agree on one thing however, this election will come down to turn out.“A lot of this is really going to come down to turn out,” said Goodman. “This thing has never been a persuasion election, I’ve said that from the beginning, it’s a motivational election. Whichever side turns out their people is going to win this race, and it’s that simple,” said Cahaley. 3923

OCEANSIDE, Calif. (KGTV) - After years of planning, the City of Oceanside is now weeks away from breaking ground on a project that will create a new source of drinking water. Called Pure Water Oceanside, recycled water with go through a rigorous purification system, ultimately supplying 32 percent of the city's water supply needs. "It's more sustainable and will help us stabilize rates moving forward," said Sarah Davis, a Senior Environmental Specialist with the City of Oceanside.Right now, the city is offering tours of its water plant and educating residents on Pure Water Oceanside. LIFE IN OCEANSIDE:Oceanside's brewery scene helps spur city's growthFrom 'Ocean Side' to region's third-largest city5 places to spend the day in Oceanside"Oh, the town is growing, yes. It seems like every open space I see in Oceanside is going to have a house on it," said Tad Shiner, an Oceanside resident of eight years. On Shiner's mind is whether the new source of water will be safe and how the project will impact resident's bills. Similar projects have gained headlines because water from your sinks and toilets is recycled into drinking water.Davis wants to assure the public that Pure Water Oceanside will yield high-quality drinking water that is clean, safe, drought-proof, and environmentally sound. "Currently, Oceanside imports the majority of our water from Northern California or the Colorado River, so that comes from hundreds of miles away, and takes a lot of energy to transport. Also, the cost of that continues to increase," said Davis. The process uses state-of-the-art water purification steps that replicate and accelerate nature's natural recycling process:Microfiltration - Filters remove bacteria and suspended solids from reclaimed waterReverse Osmosis - Ultra-fine filters remove salt, viruses, bacteria, pharmaceuticals and chemicalsUltraviolet Light and Advanced Oxidation - The final polishing step neutralizes any remaining substancesInjection - Minerals are added before the water is injected into the Mission BasinTreatment - Water is extracted from the aquifer and treated again at the city’s Mission Basin Groundwater Purification FacilityDelivery - The water is distributed to customersThe city plans to break ground in January 2020 and the facility is expected to be complete in 2022.To learn more about the project or sign up for a tour, click here. 2389
OCEANSIDE, Calif. (KGTV) - A U.S. Marine Corps truck caught fire on northbound Interstate 5 in Oceanside Friday afternoon, backing up traffic on the busy freeway. Witnesses reported the military vehicle on fire with small explosions about 1 p.m., according to Oceanside Fire Division Chief Pete Lawrence. Two Marines were in the truck when “they heard a loud bang and immediately saw smoke and fire in the rear of the cab,” Lawrence said. The troops escaped without injury. As firefighters arrived, they found the cab of the Oshkosh 10-wheel drive Logistic Vehicle System Replacement well involved in flames with a small fire burning in brush near the Oceanside Blvd. offramp, Lawrence said in a news release. See witness video:Severe fire on a military convoy traveling Northbound on I-5 in Oceanside, CA. @nbcsandiego pic.twitter.com/mWSl2LPqz2— David Hall (@dhall371) September 6, 2019 Three lanes of north I-5 were shut down as crews put out the flames and worked to determine no hazardous materials or live ammunition were on board. The closure also contributed to slow traffic westbound 78 near Oceanside, officials said. The fires in the truck and brush were extinguished within half an hour, Oceanside Fire reported. The truck’s cab was destroyed and the front section of the chassis was damaged with a possible financial impact of 0,000. “The preliminary fire investigation points to a failure of a power take-off unit which severed the hydraulic line,” Lawrence said. “The explosions reported by callers were caused by several large rubber tires exploding in the heat of the fire.” Crews cleaned up the resulting hydraulic fluid spill on the freeway two hours after the incident was reported. 1713
One-term Rep. Joe Cunningham, D-SC, might not be leaving the US House the way he wanted to, but he certainly was going to make the best out of his November election defeat.Giving a farewell speech on the floor of the House on Thursday, Cunningham pulled out a can of beer from his jacket and opened it. Cunningham was toasting bipartisanship during his address on the floor."For the betterment of this country, we have to come together. We have to sit down and listen to each other and maybe even have a beer. The spirit of the bipartisanship and cooperation. I raised this glass to my colleagues, both Democrats and Republicans,” Cunningham said.It’s unclear if Cunningham actually finished the beer. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi requires House members to keep their masks on while in the chamber.Cunningham lost re-election last month in a tight race against Republican Nancy Mace. Cunningham scored a narrow victory in South Carolina in 2018. Cunningham claimed the seat that was held by prominent Republican and the state’s former Gov. Mark Sanford. 1059
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