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 Sorry to rain on your beach barbecue: There is a 70% chance of tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico over Memorial Day weekend and an even better chance of soaking rains across the eastern Gulf Coast.Hurricane season doesn't begin until June 1, but that doesn't mean we won't see some action Saturday or Sunday.Forecast models have not been in agreement on where the expected storm will go, but they have agreed that it will form. It is now a small cluster of thunderstorms near Belize. Over the next 48 hours, the atmosphere is not favorable for development, but conditions look more favorable as we move into the weekend.The National Hurricane Center says there is a 70% chance that a subtropical or tropical depression could form in the Gulf of Mexico.The American forecast model has been very wishy-washy on the location. Most of its runs have shown the storm moving across the Florida peninsula. The European model has been a little more consistent, showing a tropical or subtropical storm drifting ashore near New Orleans.No matter where this storm moves or how strong it becomes, it will continue to bring tropical moisture into the South from Louisiana to North Carolina. The heaviest rain will fall near the Gulf, with Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama seeing seven-day rainfall totals of 4 to 7 inches.If it gets strong enough to become a subtropical or tropical storm, with sustained winds of 39 miles per hour (63 kilometers per hour) or greater, it will be named Alberto.As we have seen in years past, environmental conditions sometimes allow for development before the hurricane season begins. The last time a tropical cyclone was named Alberto was in 2012; it also formed before the season began, on May 19. It became a tropical storm that meandered off the cast coast of Georgia and South Carolina.Just last year, we had a named storm -- Tropical Storm Arlene -- east of Bermuda in April.This early development doesn't necessarily mean we are in for a busy hurricane season. The official National Hurricane Center forecast released Thursday will be a better indication. Some forecasters have suggested a slightly above-average year. 2191

 SAN DIEGO (CNS) - Years of drought and a significant build-up of grass from last winter's rains has created dangerous wildfire conditions in San Diego and surrounding areas of the county, San Diego Fire-Rescue Department Chief Brian Fennessy said Monday.In a report delivered to the City Council's Public Safety and Livable Neighborhoods Committee, the chief said people think the winter rains will ease the fire threat this fall."Well, it did, in the green-up period in the spring, but all that new growth dies," Fennessy said.RELATED: It's Wildfire Season! Here's how to prepareHe said the dead grass can carry fire into heavier, drought-stricken vegetation, acting as a kindling of sorts. The conditions have led to a large amount of small roadside fires this year, often caused by malfunctioning catalytic converters in vehicles, he said."On top of the five years of drought we experienced, we've got vast accumulations of dead fuel mixed in with this dried, light fuel type," Fennessy said. "I've been doing this nearly 40 years, and I don't know that I've seen the fuels as stricken and as in dire need of moisture as it is now."His report said the weather forecast calls for little to no rainfall this fall.Geologist Dr. Pat Abbott walked the trailhead at the base of Cowles Mountain with 10News.  "You see all the classic elements; the drying out of flat-top buckwheat, a lot of dried grasses. All the rains we've had this year, a lot of grasses have burned; they don't have a lot of fuel but they burn so fast they're almost like wicks to the denser chaparral. The dark green sushes, shrubbery up there; that's a tremendous amount of stored energy."RELATED: County map shows fire threat level by regionAccording to the U.S. Climate Prediction Center, it's more probable than not that temperatures will be warmer than normal through the end of the year, with equal odds that precipitation will be normal.Through Sunday, Cal Fire has responded to 5,350 fires throughout the state this year, which have scorched more than 230,000 acres. The five-year average for the same time period is nearly 4,000 blazes and 198,000 acres, according to data from Cal Fire, which provides fire protection outside major cities.While the conditions for wildfires could be risky, the department is adequately staffed and equipped to respond to blazes that break out, Fennessy said. He said the SDFRD has a dozen brush engines, two water-dropping helicopters and access to the San Diego Gas & Electric heli-tanker.City crews have also been inspecting properties along canyon rims for overgrown brush, he said. 2624

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — A man was injured at a Valencia Park home after a small explosion that police say could be drug-related. San Diego Police responded to a home on the 700 block of Valencia Parkway and transported a 38-year-old man to the hospital. According to police, it appeared he was holding an object that exploded, causing shrapnel-type injuries to his face, chest, and arm. San Diego Fire-Rescue's Hazardous Materials team and a bomb squad were called to the scene. An investigation is ongoing as to what caused the explosion. Police said there was some evidence of materials that might be related to the manufacturing of narcotics found in the home, but could not confirm that was the cause of the blast. Police say it happened in the backyard area of the home. The man was alone at the time, though two children live in the house. Police did not clarify the man's relationship with the kids. The man has not been identified. He's expected to survive. No arrests were made. 994

(AP) — The head of a Chinese government expert team says human-to-human transmission has been confirmed in an outbreak of a new coronavirus. State media said Monday that the leader of the National Health Commission team said two people in southern China caught the diseases from family members. The English-language China Daily newspaper said the National Health Commission task force also found that some medical workers have tested positive for the virus. Human-to-human transmission could make the virus spread more quickly and widely. The outbreak is believed to have started from people who picked it up at a fresh food market in the city of Wuhan in central China. 678

Dear @mrvincecarter15, Thank you for inspiring a nation to believe. Thank you for laying the foundation of basketball in Canada. Thank you for letting us fly with you. Thank you for a lifetime of memories.Love, Canada pic.twitter.com/vTkWLfss4M— Toronto Raptors (@Raptors) June 25, 2020 296