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Predicting the outcome of elections can sometimes be easy. Other years, it is not. Professor Allan Lichtman has predicted every election since 1984, using a model he developed alongside Soviet Union scientists.One of Lichtman's proudest achievements was accurately predicting the 2016 election. President Donald Trump signed a Washington Post article about Lichtman in recent years with his autograph and the phrase "good call."THE METHODLichtman doesn't look at polls."Polls are not predictors, they are misused as predictors," Lichtman said.Instead, Lichtman looks at the political party currently controlling the White House. Then he uses 13 keys to gauge whether the party controlling the White House will lose or not.They are: midterm gains, no contest in the primary, incumbency, no third party, strong short-term economy, strong long-term economy, major policy change, no social unrest, no scandal, no overseas failure, major overseas achievement, charismatic incumbent, uncharismatic opponent."If six or more, any six more, turn against the party holding the White House, they are a predicted loser," Luchtman said.2020 PREDICTIONLichtman says before 2020, Trump appeared to be heading to a reelection. However Trump has now lost seven keys.In Lichtman's opinion, Trump has lost midterm gains, short term economy, long-term economy, no social unrest, no scandal, major overseas achievement, and charismatic incumbent."Could I be wrong? Of course human beings are wrong. But my keys have quite a track record," Lichtman said. 1541

Prepare to question your career choices.A 9-year-old boy who reviews new toys online has been named the highest-paid YouTube star of 2020 by Forbes.The media company says the boy, Ryan Kaji, raked in .5 million over the course of a year, from June 2019 to June 2020.According to Forbes, Kaji has amassed about 41.7 million subscribers on his YouTube channels, including more than 27.7 subscribers on his main channel Ryan’s World.The young entrepreneur draws kids from around the world to his videos. Along with reviewing toys, he records DIY science experiments and shares stories with his family.Not all of Kaji’s money comes from YouTube though. Forbes says a bulk of the boy’s business comes from licensing deals for thousands of Ryan’s World products, which range from bedroom décor to toys.Behind Kaji in the list of top YouTube earners were Mr. Beast (Jimmy Donaldson) at million, Dude Perfect at million, Rhett and Link at million, and Markiplier (Mark Fischbach) at .5 million.Forbes says it estimated the earning of the YouTubers based on data from Captiv8, SocialBlade and Pollstar, as well as interviews with industry insiders. The amounts are pretax and don’t include deductions for agents, managers, lawyers, etc. 1253

PORTLAND, Ore. (AP) — Videos posted online appear to show a man punched and kicked unconscious by demonstrators just blocks away from a peaceful protest in Portland, Oregon. News outlets report the man had been driving a truck that crashed downtown Sunday night. Afterward, the man is seen sitting in the street. A video showed the man apparently being punched and kicked in the head by demonstrators.A police spokesperson told The Oregonian that the man was taken to a hospital with serious injuries. According to The Oregonian, some people tried to hold the assailants back, while others rummaged through the man's truck.A peaceful protest took place blocks away outside a U.S. courthouse. Demonstrations, often violent, have happened nightly in Portland for more than two months following the killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis.The incident is still under investigation and no one has been arrested, The Oregonian reported. 938

President Donald Trump late Tuesday ordered flags lowered to half-staff through Saturday night in memory of former first lady Barbara Bush, who died earlier Tuesday at the age of 92.And the White House Historical Association announced Tuesday that members of the public who wish to sign the official condolence book for Bush can do so beginning at 9 a.m. Wednesday.The condolence book will be at the White House Visitor Center, steps from the White House, at 1450 Pennsylvania Ave. NW in Washington. The center is open daily from 7:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. and is free to the public, according to the historical association.Members of the public also can pay their respects?Friday as Bush's body lies in repose at St. Martin's Episcopal Church in Houston. An invitation-only funeral will be Saturday at Second Baptist Church.A website for the former first lady suggests donations to the Barbara Bush Foundation for Family Literacy.Bush was married to former President George H.W. Bush for 73 years. The mother of six children -- including President George W. Bush -- grandmother to 17 and great-grandmother to seven, the former first lady spearheaded family literacy programs during her time in office and beyond."Mrs. Bush played an especially important role in the White House in that she reactivated the Committee for the Preservation of the White House and helped establish the White House Endowment Trust," White House Historical Association President Stewart McLaurin said in a statement, thanking Bush for her work that continues to provide financial assistance for conservation projects in the state rooms of the White House and other collections.Bush was known as a matriarch to a political dynasty, and for her quick wit and strong personal views.Speaking to Wellesley College's Class of 1990, an appearance that drew criticism from students who questioned her credentials to address female graduates entering the workforce, she addressed the audience with her signature good humor."Somewhere out in this audience may even be someone who will one day follow my footsteps and preside over the White House as the president's spouse. I wish him well," she said. 2194

President Donald Trump on Monday announced he is nominating Alex Azar, a former pharmaceutical company executive and George W. Bush administration official, to succeed Tom Price as the secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services.In tweeting the announcement, Trump called Azar a "star for better healthcare and lower drug prices."He previously served as HHS general counsel and deputy secretary for President George W. Bush. Following his time with the administration, he worked for pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly & Co. and became president of Lilly USA in 2012. As part of his role at Lilly USA, Azar was on the board of directors for the Boards of the Biotechnology Industry Organization (BIO), a drug lobbying group. He left Lilly USA and BIO in January. 782

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