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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — There could be as many as 78 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines available by the end of 2020, according to the most optimistic timeline in leaked documents from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.But assuming that the vaccine will require two doses per individual, that figure would only be enough to inoculate the highest priority individuals, based on draft guidelines released this week from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.“We’re not even going to get through Phase 1 people” in 2020, said Dr. Mary Barger, an epidemiologist at the University of San Diego.There are an estimated 44 million people in NASEM’S Phase 1 group: frontline healthcare workers, first responders, people with multiple high-risk factors, and adults living in nursing homes and other group settings.Based on leaked CDC guidance to states published by the New York Times, if two vaccine candidates become available in October, there would be enough doses for 39 million people by the end of 2020 -- not quite enough to cover the entire Phase 1 group.If only one vaccine is available by October, the projections suggest there could be enough doses to cover 13 to 26 million people.That might only be enough for frontline healthcare workers and first responders, of which there are an estimated 17 million.Healthcare workers and first responders get the highest priority, which NASEM calls Phase 1a, so they can maintain the integrity of the healthcare system.“When there’s a pandemic, you want to make sure you have enough people to take care of those that are sick,” said Dr. Abisola Olulade of Sharp Rees-Stealy Medical Group.Phase 1b includes individuals with multiple underlying conditions, like cancer, chronic kidney disease, and serious heart conditions.Approximately 75% of adults hospitalized for COVID-19 in the U.S. between March 1 and August 15 had at least two underlying conditions, according to data from the COVID-19 Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network cited in the NASEM guidelines. More than 60% of hospitalized adults had three or more underlying conditions.“It would make sense that you would include a segment of the population that’s at risk of doing the worst,” said Dr. Peter Chin-Hong, an infectious disease specialist at UC San Francisco.There are an estimated 27 million people in the Phase 1b category.Critical workers in high-risk industries like grocery store clerks, mail carriers, and bus drivers would be in Phase 2, along with teachers, homeless people, prisoners, people with moderately risky underlying conditions, and anyone over the age of 65.“Even though people 65 and older make up less than 20% of the population, there have been 80% of COVID-19 deaths in this age,” Dr. Olulade said.Risk factors including high blood pressure, liver disease, or moderate-to-severe asthma would qualify an individual for Phase 2.There are an estimated 27 million people in this phase.In Phase 3, NASEM recommends inoculating people who are at lower risk of a bad infection but may be vectors for the spread of disease, including young people and children.NASEM noted that it will be “critical to conduct additional trials to gain better understanding of safety and efficacy of COVID-19 vaccine among children before they receive the vaccine.” Currently, there are no COVID vaccine trials that include children.Other essential workers at moderate risk of exposure would also be included in Phase 3, including employees in restaurants, hotels, hair salons, and exercise facilities.Phase 4 includes everyone else. 3589

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - The Trump administration’s latest effort to keep asylum seekers out of America is being met with opposition. Attorney General William Bar directed immigration judges to deny bond hearings for asylum seekers arriving at the border. The ruling does not go into effect for another 3 months and Barr himself noted it will have a "significant impact" on the already overcrowded detention centers. “A person can be detained indefinitely," said immigration attorney Edward Orendain. "This is just another attempt by this administration to make things more difficult for those seeking asylum.” The Department of Homeland Security acknowledged overcrowding many of their detention centers along the border earlier this month and requested the 90-day delay after Barr’s ruling on Tuesday. “It’s only a call to build more detention centers,” said Benjamin Prado with American Friends Service Committee. “Those contracts go to a private prison corporations that make huge amount of profits on the detention of people, off the ‘warehousing’ of individuals.”Barr’s ruling is expected to be challenged in court. 10News has reached to Immigration and Customs Enforcement on how this would affect their centers in San Diego. 1234

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — This weekend, head out to catch some drive-in movie fun at the mall or get set at home for virtual fun from Liberty Station or with one of San Diego's most popular breweries.Westfield Mission Valley is hosting "Movies Under the Stars" this weekend, with three showings this weekend in the mall's parking lot.Liberty Station is hosting its First Friday arts festival online, with live events, art, and performances for viewers. Fans of Ballast Point can also enjoy their favorite brews, watch a documentary on the brewery's history, and live chat with the brewery's team as well.Those looking for some delicious local fare can head out to the Gaslamp for some outdoor dining or over to Del Mar for some fair creations, drive-thru style.(As a reminder, residents are encouraged to stay home if they feel ill and avoid large gatherings with people not from the same household. The county also requires residents to practice social distancing and wear a facial covering when within six feet of those not from the same household.)"Movies Under the Stars" at Westfield Mission Valley (Friday - Sunday): Head out to catch a flick this weekend at Westfield Mission Valley, as the mall's drive-in movie series brings screenings to the parking lot. This weekend, catch "The Secret Life of Pets" (Friday), "The Little Rascals" (Saturday), and "Despicable Me" (Sunday). Tickets are a car and gates open at 7 p.m. each night. All ticket proceeds benefit Feeding San Diego. Tickets can be purchased here.Virtual First Friday Arts District (Friday): Liberty Station's First Friday arts festival has moved online, with a line up of talented arts and culture groups, live performances, and virtual events geared toward younger viewers. More infoBallast Point Beerography online beer tasting (Saturday): Rockstar Beer Festivals is hosting an online beer tasting plus documentary reveal for Ballast Point Beerography, a look at the 25-year history of one of San Diego's most popular breweries. Virtual attendees will enjoy 10 specially-selected beers (sent to them or available for pickup) — complete with brewery swag — and get access to the documentary and live chat with the Ballast Point Crew. Tickets and more infoCurbside Gaslamp (Friday - Sunday): Enjoy outdoor dining on the streets of the Gaslamp Quarter during Curbside Gaslamp. Socially distant while eating at some of your favorite Fifth Ave. stops starting at 3 p.m. on Friday, 12 p.m. on Saturday, and 11 a.m. on Sunday and running until 11 p.m. More infoSan Diego County Fair food fun (Friday - Sunday): What's the July 4 weekend without some fair food? The Del Mar Fairgrounds is offering delicious bites from fair vendors Friday through Sunday from now until Sept. 7. Grab a bit from vendors like Chicken Charlies, Roxy's, Sugar Bear, and more! The fair is also hosting virtual exhibits showcasing student artwork, photography, and livestock shows. More info 2937

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - The travel ban is just one element from President Trump's Oval Office address Wednesday that is still sparking questions - and clarifications.Moments into his remarks, President Trump made a statement about communicating with allies."We have been in frequent contact with our allies," said President Trump.But the European Union says they received no heads up about the announced 30-day travel ban.RELATED COVERAGE:-- What's been canceled, postponed in San Diego, nationally due to coronavirus-- Gov. Newsom urges limited to no large gatherings in California amid coronavirus-- Another group of cruise ship passengers to be sent to MCAS Miramar"We will be suspending all travel from Europe to the United States for the next 30 days," said President Trump.Federal officials have since clarified this ban doesn't apply to US citizens, but rather foreign nationals coming to the U.S. The ban includes 26 countries. Places like the UK, Ireland and Croatia are not on the list."...These prohibitions will not only apply to the tremendous amount of trade and cargo, but various others things as we get approval," said President Trump.That statement appears to be false. RELATED: MCAS Miramar Marine contracts coronavirus, another Marine suspected after Washington state visit The President himself later tweeted, "The restrictions stop people not goods."As for people stricken with coronavirus, President Trump had this to say. "Earlier this week, I met with the leaders of health insurance industry who have agreed to waive all copayments for coronavirus treatments," said President Trump.That statement has led to more confusion. The administration, along with insurance companies, have since confirmed copays for coronavirus testing will be waived, but not for treatment of the virus."Testing capabilities are expanding rapidly, day by day. We are moving very quickly," said President Trump.Despite billions in recently approved funds, testing capacity remains at frustrating levels across the country. After health officials held closed-door briefings today, members of Congress - both Republicans and Democrats - expressed concerns about the testing capacity. 2187

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - The USNS Mercy leaves San Diego Friday for a deployment to Asia.The U.S. Navy's hospital ship will take part in a mission called Pacific Partnership, which was created after the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. The crew’s goal is to provide disaster relief and medical assistance to Indonesia, Sri Lanka and Malaysia."Our staff and team have come together to form a dynamic team of professionals and we are ready to execute this mission and engage with our partners throughout the Indo-Pacific," said Capt. David Bretz, commodore of Destroyer Squadron 31. "We are excited about forging new friendships and deepening partnerships across the region."Medical, dental, civil engineering and veterinary teams will take part in civic projects.City News Service contributed to this report. 803

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