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Housing and rates are worrying some economists that a recession is looming."One of the biggest concerns is the housing market," said Lindsey Piegza, chief economist for Stifel, on CNNMoney's "Markets Now" live show Wednesday. "It's throwing up a very large red flag and suggests maybe this 4% growth we saw in the second quarter is not sustainable."Home sales?have declined in four of the past five months as housing prices have grown -- but paychecks have remained stagnant. Many people can't afford to buy homes, and those who can are taking on a lot of debt to get into them.Piegza says that echoes what happened right before the Great Recession in 2008."We're not there yet, but this is what led us to the housing crash," she said.How could this happen again? Piegza believes that a decade of rock-bottom interest rates helped people forget about the dangers of borrowing too much."I don't know if we learned our lesson from the Great Recession," she said. "We are going back to a lot of the easy lending that we used to see."Although Piegza said a recession isn't necessarily imminent -- especially after quarterly growth just came in at the fastest pace in almost four years -- there are signs of waning momentum in the economy.Interest rates, for example, are starting to become a bad omen.The Federal Reserve, which finished up its two-day meeting Wednesday, is expected to raise its target rate two more times this year. Higher rates have boosted short-term US Treasury bond rates. But the longer-term bond rates haven't risen along with the shorter-term rates, because investors are growing wary about the economy over the long haul.With two more interest rate hikes planned, the Fed could boost short-term rates higher than long-term ones, inverting the so-called yield curve. An inverted yield curve has preceded every recession in modern history."We could easily be there by the end of the year," Piegza said. "I think we'll see pressure on the longer end by the end of the year, but the Fed will still be raising rates on the short end."Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that he is not concerned about an inverted yield curve. Piegza strongly disagrees."It is a predictive measure of a recession," she said. 2266

IMPERIAL BEACH, Calif. (KGTV) — Mar Vista High School operated under heightened security Tuesday due to a possible threat.Instruction continued in classrooms but Mar Vista's doors were kept locked as part of the security measures, according to Manuel Rubio, public information officer with Sweetwater Union High School District.The campus resumed normal operations just before 1 p.m.The school district was working with the San Diego Sheriff's Department to investigate a possible threat posted to social media, Rubio said.The threat was later determined to be unfounded, though the campus would have increased security through the day, according to Rubio. 679

Hurricane Delta has made landfall near Creole, Louisiana, as a Category 2 hurricane, but as it's moved inland, it has weakened to a Category 1 storm.WATCH LIVE: According to the National Hurricane Center, the storm made landfall at 6 p.m. CT with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph.A Florida Coastal Monitoring Tower near Lake Arthur, Louisiana, sustained wind of 77 mph and a gust to 96 mph, the NHC said. A NOAA National Weather Service water level gauge at Freshwater Canal Locks, Louisiana, recently reported a storm surge of over 8 feet above ground level. Louisiana has taken the brunt of the impact of the 2020 hurricane season. Hurricanes Marco and Laura have already made landfall in the state, causing inland flooding and significant damage along the coast. Hurricane Sally also did significant damage nearby Gulf Shores, Alabama, when it made landfall in September.The Associated Press reports that Delta marks the sixth time this year that evacuations have been ordered from Louisiana's barrier islands.After making landfall this afternoon, forecasters expect Delta to move north and dump heavy rain on the rest of Louisiana before moving west into Mississippi on Saturday. 1193

In a letter to four senators, Social Security Chief Actuary Stephen Goss estimated that if President Donald Trump eliminates payroll taxes, Social Security Trust Fund would be "permanently depleted" by 2023."If this hypothetical legislation were enacted, with no alternative source of revenue to replace the elimination of payroll taxes on earned income paid on January 1, 2021, and thereafter, we estimate that DI Trust Fund asset reserves would become permanently depleted in about the middle of the calendar year 2021, with no ability to pay DI benefits thereafter," Goss said in the letter. "We estimate that OASI (Old Age and Survivors Insurance) Trust Fund reserves would become permanently depleted by the middle of the calendar year 2023, with no ability to pay OASI benefits thereafter."The letter was addressed to Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.), Ron Wyden (D-Ore.), and Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.).One of the executive actions Trump recently signed was temporarily deferring payroll taxes that are used to fund Social Security.On Saturday, President Trump said that he would make "permanent cuts to the payroll tax" if re-elected. 1167

IMPERIAL BEACH, Calif. (KGTV) - The daughter of PGA star Phil Mickelson will make her acting debut in a movie partially shot in San Diego.Sophia Mickelson has a featured role in Ruta Madre, a coming of age story about a singer who discovers his family and roots on a road trip through Baja.According to the movie's website, Ruta Madre deals with issues of self-identity in a bi-national region."It reflects the feeling of many Latinos, especially Mexicans, who have emigrated or were born here, but who have not they feel neither from here nor from there,” director and screenwriter Agustín Casta?eda said in a 2016 interview.Mickelson plays "Daisy," the lead character's childhood crush. She says the story has meaning for people on both sides of the border.RELATED: San Diego film highlights bi-cultural relationship with Mexico"One of the messages that stood out a lot to me is the importance of family," says Mickelson. "Having strong roots in the SD community as well made me want to revisit those kind of family connections and place more value on it."Mickelson's family is well known in San Diego. Her father, Phil, has won 44 events on the PGA tour, including 5 major championships. He's arguably, San Diego's favorite golfer.Sophia hopes the city will embrace her film career the same with people here have rallied around her father. But she says her parents have done a great job of supporting her dreams while not putting any pressure on her."I think they're very supportive of me having my own path and not having to do anything in line with what they've done," she says. Sophia also told 10News she hopes to go behind the camera for her career and work as a director.She's not the only young star of the movie with San Diego ties.Jordi Bertran, who plays a young version of Daniel, is from San Diego as well. He's known around town for roles he's had on stage at the Old Globe."This film feels like a San Diego film," he says. "The story is ultimately about finding your roots. That's really important now because a lot of times it's easy to forget where we come from."For more information about Ruta Madre, including how to watch it in San Diego, click here. 2180