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发布时间: 2025-05-31 13:44:16北京青年报社官方账号
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Remember when we used to make plans? It was so long ago now you may not remember, but we actually used to start booking our holiday travel in the summer before prices rose to unaffordable levels. That’s right: We could predict what the world would be like months in advance back then.Times have certainly changed; now, some travelers are starting to wonder whether and how to plan for the holidays. Does it make sense to buy plane tickets? What about using points and miles? And what are the chances of a second (or is it third?) wave of the pandemic?I’ve spent the last few months wading through COVID-19 travel policies, spreadsheets full of airfare and hotel data and other boring industry effluvia so you don’t have to. And I’ve got a few nuggets of advice for anyone thinking about booking holiday travel.For starters: Why rush?Should I book now?Years of conditioning have taught us all the perils of waiting until the last minute. But if you haven’t noticed, this year is not like the others, and travel demand is unlikely to reach normal no matter what happens in the next few months.In other words: You shouldn’t feel any rush to book travel until you’re ready.In fact, you might end up paying more if you book in advance rather than closer to your travel dates. Recently, I analyzed a bunch of hotel price data and found that the cost of booking the same room dropped dramatically when booking 15 days in advance, compared to booking four months in advance.That is, the same rooms cost an average of 7 when booked within 15 days compared to 2 when booked four months in advance. And while this trend might not hold into the winter or through the holidays, it’s certainly a good indication that you’re unlikely to save money by booking hotel rooms now.The trend isn’t quite as dramatic for airfare, though it’s possibly more remarkable, since booking within 15 days has historically been a recipe for getting fleeced.Which airline should I fly?This one’s easier: Delta.We performed a big analysis of airline policies in response to COVID-19 and found that Delta had the best overall rating, with Southwest and Alaska hot on its heels.I won’t bore you with all the details here, but some of the factors we took into consideration include:Mask policy enforcement.Blocking seats and limiting capacity.Offering flexible change and cancellation policies.This last bit is especially important when booking holiday travel this year: Make sure the tickets you purchase can be changed or canceled without incurring a fee. This has gotten significantly easier with various COVID-19 waivers and four major airlines, including Delta, all announcing the elimination of most change fees. Be aware of restrictions that remain around basic economy fares.What about points and miles?Hotel points and airline miles can usually offer good workarounds for sky-high holiday prices. Notice that pesky “usually.” Since cash prices are so low, using points and miles is unlikely to offer better than average value this year.That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t use miles, just that you won’t get especially good bang for your buck from them right now.Will it be safe?That’s the trillion-dollar question, isn’t it? I’m no epidemiologist, so I’m reluctant to wade into these waters, but there is something important to keep in mind: Where are you planning to travel in December?The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington offers public projections for the pandemic broken down by country and state. These reveal some pretty startlingly different scenarios for different parts of the country.For example, the daily per capita infection rate in California is projected to rise from 42.6 per 100,000 today to 155 per 100,000 by December. New York state in December is projected at 30 per 100,000, up from the current 4.4. Utah’s rate is expected to skyrocket to 179 per 100,000 from today’s 13.5.Of course, these are only projections, and nobody knows what will actually happen by December, but it’s good to keep in mind when planning travel. You don’t want to go from a relatively safe spot into a hot zone (or a hot zone into a safe spot, for that matter).In fact, for everyone’s sake, my personal take is that we should all err on the side of staying home.More From NerdWalletAnalysis: How Have Hotel Prices Changed in 2020 vs. 2019?How to Plan Holiday Travel for Maximum Flexibility in 2020Why Won’t the FAA Require Masks?Sam Kemmis is a writer at NerdWallet. Email: skemmis@nerdwallet.com. Twitter: @samsambutdif. 4542

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Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden said during an MSNBC interview on Monday that four Black women are among his finalists to become his running mate.In an interview with Joy Reid on Monday, he said he isn’t tied to picking a woman of color, but he is committed to having a diverse administration.“Black women have supported me my whole career,” Biden told Reid. “I have been loyal and they have been loyal to me — and so it’s important that my administration, I promise you, will look like America.”While he did not mention names, Sen. Kamala Harris has been eyed by many in the Democratic Party as a leading vice presidential candidate. Harris told CBS’ Stephen Colbert that she’d “be honored” to be Biden’s running mate."Honestly, let me just tell you something: I will do everything in my power, wherever I am, to help Joe Biden win,” Harris told Colbert.Of note, there has never been a Black vice presidential candidate from a major party.While Sen. Amy Klobuchar said that recent unrest should be a call for a Black running mate, polling suggests that Sen. Elizabeth Warren would be the most popular option for Biden. In a Yahoo poll released last month, Warren was considered the most popular choice of vice presidential hopefuls. 1250

  济南龟头冠状沟处红肿一圈图片   

President Donald Trump will not meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un next month for what would have been a historic diplomatic summit, he announced in a letter to Kim released by the White House Thursday morning."I was very much looking forward to being there with you. Sadly, based on the tremendous anger and open hostility displayed in your most recent statement, I feel it is inappropriate, at this time, to have this long-planned meeting," Trump wrote. "Therefore, please let this letter serve to represent that the Singapore summit, for the good of both parties, but to the detriment of the world, will not take place."  639

  

President Donald Trump will not attend Saturday's funeral service for former first lady Barbara Bush, the White House said in a statement Thursday, citing the desire to "avoid disruptions" and out of respect for her family and friends."First Lady Melania Trump will attend the memorial service for Barbara Bush this Saturday on behalf of the First Family. To avoid disruptions due to added security, and out of respect for the Bush Family and friends attending the service, President Trump will not attend," the White House said in a statement.President Trump offered his condolences to the Bush family Wednesday as he began remarks at a joint news conference with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.Barbara Bush, Trump said, was a "wonderful, wonderful person" and "a titan in American life.""Her strength and toughness really embodied the spirit of our country," Trump said at Mar-a-Lago. "She was a woman of proud patriotism and profound faith."Security will already be heightened at the funeral at St. Martin's Church in Houston -- Bush's husband, former President George H. W. Bush, and her son former President George W. Bush will be in attendance, as well as former Presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton. Former first ladies Michelle Obama, Laura Bush and Hillary Clinton will also attend.Former President Jimmy Carter and Rosalynn Carter will not attend, as Jimmy Carter will be on a trip overseas and Rosalynn Carter is recovering from recent intestinal surgery, a spokesperson for the Carter Center said in a statement Thursday.Bush, the matriarch of a Republican political dynasty and a first lady who elevated the cause of literacy, died Tuesday. She was 92. 1681

  

President Donald Trump told reporters at the White House Saturday that this would be a "good time" for a government shutdown if he doesn't get funding from Congress for his border wall."I think probably, if I was ever going to do a shutdown over border security, when you look at the caravans, when you look at the mess, when you look at the people coming in, this would be a very good time to do a shutdown," Trump said.Trump added, however, that he didn't think a shutdown would "be necessary, because I think the Democrats will come to their senses."With the midterm elections now over, Congress is anticipating returning to a battle over Trump's promised border wall.Last month, House Speaker Paul Ryan predicted a "big fight" over border security on the horizon, and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said the GOP is "committed" to working to secure the funding the President wants for his signature campaign pledge. 934

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