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BEIJING, Oct. 17 -- The government is ready to introduce a series of measures to cushion the impact of slower growth in foreign trade and industrial output caused by the global credit crisis, the vice-minister of the National Development and Reform Commission, said Thursday. Speaking at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office in Beijing, Du Ying said that as the global economy has slowed, foreign trade volume, value-added output and the profit growth of industrial firms based in China's coastal areas have shown a downward trend in the second half of the year. "The State Council is greatly concerned by the trend and is ready to introduce a series of measures," he said. But the full impact of the global financial crisis has yet to be seen, he said. "We must have a full picture of the difficulties and challenges," he said. The government has already taken several measures to combat the impact, including lowering the deposit reserve ratio, helping small- and medium-sized factories to upgrade their technologies, and introducing more favorable credit policies, Du said. He said he is confident China can weather the storm. "As in the past, China can overcome the challenges and difficulties and enter a new stage of development. I'm fully confident of that," Du said. With the global financial crisis continuing to escalate, China - the world's fourth largest economy - has seen its major economic indexes slide. The National Bureau of Statistics is due to release figures on Monday for the economic situation over the past three quarters. Some analysts have forecast that GDP growth might drop further in the third quarter, from 10.1 percent in the second quarter and 11.9 percent for the whole of last year. Yang Xiong, vice-mayor of Shanghai, said the city's industrial output growth fell to 6 percent last month from an average of 11.5 percent per month in the first three quarters. The financial hub remains in good shape, however, partly due to investments in preparation for the 2010 World Expo, he said. Zhao Kezhi, deputy governor of Jiangsu, said the province's trade figures were down 4 percent year-on-year in the first nine months. Chen Min'er, vice-governor of Zhejiang, said the province had witnessed "individual" cases of company failures, but denied media reports of widespread factory closures. Authorities will respond by trying to cut the tax burden on local firms, make more credit available and ensure a sufficient supply of land and power for manufacturers, Chen said, adding that now was a good time to weed out obsolete, polluting plants. On Wednesday, Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the central bank, called for increased domestic consumption to counter the economic slowdown. "Due to the impact of various factors, we may need to increase domestic demand," he told Hong Kong-based Phoenix TV.
BEIJING, Jan. 22 (Xinhua) -- China's economy cooled to its slowest pace in seven years in 2008, expanding 9 percent year-on-year as the widening global financial crisis continued to affect the world's fastest-growing economy, official data showed Thursday. Gross domestic product (GDP) reached 30.067 trillion yuan (4.4216 trillion U.S. dollars) in 2008, Ma Jiantang, director of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), told a press conference. The 9-percent rate was the lowest since 2001, when an annual rate of 8.3 percent was recorded, and it was the first time China's GDP growth fell into the single-digit range since 2003. The year-on-year growth rate for the fourth quarter slid to 6.8 percent from 9 percent in the third quarter and 9.9 percent for the first three quarters, according to Ma. Graphics shows China's gross domestic product (GDP) in the year of 2008, released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Jan. 22, 2009. China's GDP reached 30.067 trillion yuan (4.4216 trillion U.S. dollars) in 2008, expanding 9 percent year-on-year. Economic growth showed "an obvious correction" last year, but the full-year performance was still better than other countries affected by the global financial crisis, said Zhang Liqun, a researcher with the Development Research Center of the State Council, or cabinet. He attributed the fourth-quarter weakness to reduced industrial output as inventories piled up amid sharply lower foreign demand. Exports, which accounted for about one-third of GDP, fell 2.8 percent year-on-year to 111.16 billion U.S. dollars in December. Exports declined 2.2 percent in November from a year earlier. Industrial output rose 12.9 percent year-on-year in 2008, down 5.6 percentage points from the previous year, said Ma. SEEKING THE BOTTOM Government economist Wang Xiaoguang said the 6.8-percent growth rate in the fourth quarter was not a sign of a "hard landing," just a necessary "adjustment" from previous rapid expansion. "This round of downward adjustment won't bottom out in just a year or several quarters but might last two or three years, which is a normal situation," he said. A report Thursday from London-based Standard Chartered Bank called the 6.8-percent growth in the fourth quarter "respectable" but said the data overall presented "a batch of mixed signals." It said: "We probably saw zero real growth in the fourth quarter compared with the third quarter, and it could have been marginally negative." The weakening economy has already had an impact on several Chinese industrial giants. Angang Steel Co. Ltd. (Ansteel), one of the top three steel producers, said Wednesday net profit fell 55 percent last year as steel prices plunged. It cited weakening demand late in the year. However, officials and analysts said some positive signs surfaced in December, which they said indicated China could recover before other countries. December figures on money supply, consumption, and industrial output showed some "positive changes" but whether they represented a trend was unclear, said Ma. Outstanding local currency loans for December expanded by 771.8 billion yuan, up 723.3 billion from a year earlier, according to official data. Real retail sales growth in December accelerated 0.8 percentage points from November to 17.4 percent. Industrial output also accelerated in December, up 0.3 percentage points from the annual rate of November. Wang Qing, Morgan Stanley Asia chief economist for China, said GDP growth would hit a trough in the first or second quarter. China will perform better than most economies affected by the global crisis and gradually improve this year, he said. Zhang also predicted the economy will touch bottom and start to recover later this year, depending on the performance in January and February. Zhang forecast GDP growth of more than 8 percent for 2009, based on the assumption that domestic demand and accelerating urbanization would help cushion China from world economic conditions. Wang Tongsan, an economist with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said whether GDP growth exceeds 8 percent this year depends on how the world economy performs and how well the government stimulus policies are implemented. Ma characterized the "difficulties" China experienced in the fourth quarter as temporary, saying: "We should have the confidence to be the first country out of the crisis." Overall, the economy maintained good momentum with fast growth, stable prices, optimized structures and improved living standards, said Ma. China's performance was better than the average growth of 3.7 percent for the world economy last year, 1.4 percent for developed countries and 6.6 percent for developing and emerging economies, he said, citing estimates of the International Monetary Fund. "With a 9-percent rate, China actually contributed more than 20 percent of global economic growth in 2008," said Ma. He said the industrial structure became "more balanced" last year, with faster growth of investment and industrial output in the less-developed central and western regions than in the eastern areas. Meanwhile, energy efficiency improved: energy intensity, the amount of energy it takes to produce a unit of GDP, fell 4.21 percent year-on-year in 2008, a larger decrease than the 3.66 percent recorded in 2007, said Ma. WORRIES ABOUT CONSUMPTION A slowing economy poses a concern for the authorities, which they have acknowledged several times in recent weeks, as rising unemployment could threaten social stability. It could also undermine consumer spending, which the government is counting on to offset weak external demand. The government has maintained a target of 8 percent annual economic growth since 2005. China announced a 4 trillion-yuan economic stimulus package in November aimed at boosting domestic demand. Retail sales rose 21.6 percent in 2008, 4.8 percentage points more than in 2007, said Ma. Ma said he believed domestic consumption would maintain rapid growth as long as personal incomes continue to increase and social security benefits improve. Urban disposable incomes rose a real 8.4 percent last year, while those of rural Chinese went up 8 percent, he said. Analysts have warned that consumption could be affected if low rates of inflation deteriorate into outright deflation and factory closures result in more jobless migrant workers. The urban unemployment rate rose to 4.2 percent at the end of 2008, up 0.2 percentage point year-on-year. Ma said about 5 percent of 130 million migrant workers had returned to their rural homes since late 2008 because their employers closed down or suspended production. Other officials have said that 6.5 percent or even 10 percent of migrant workers have gone home after losing their jobs.
Zhou Yongkang (2nd R, front), member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee and head of the central government delegation, inspects a police van in Bose, southwest China's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Dec. 13, 2008. Zhou was in Guangxi to extend the central government's congratulations and good will to the people of Guangxi, one of China's five minority autonomous regions. BEIJING, Dec. 13 (Xinhua) -- Senior Chinese leader Zhou Yongkang continued his visit in Bose City, south China's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, on Saturday as locals held celebrations for the 50th birthday of the autonomous region. Zhou was in Guangxi to extend the central government's congratulations and good will to the people of Guangxi, one of China's five minority autonomous regions. Zhou Yongkang (2nd L, front), member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee and head of the central government delegation, talks with rural left-behind children, whose parents are both working in the cities, at a village in Bose, southwest China's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Dec. 13, 2008. Zhou was in Guangxi to extend the central government's congratulations and good will to the people of Guangxi, one of China's five minority autonomous regions. Zhou, a member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee, on Saturday morning presented a floral basket to a monument in commemoration of revolutionary martyrs killed in the Bose Uprising in 1929. The event marks the establishment of the CPC's armed forces in Guangxi to fight against local warlords, as well as the growth of the CPC's power at its early stage. Following decades of construction and development, Bose has developed into an industrial center, producing aluminum and electricity. During his visit to the Guangxi branch of the Aluminum Corporation of China Limited (CHALCO) in Bose, Zhou encouraged the company to research and develop more innovative technology to boost the development of the company and Guangxi's economy. Zhou also inspected a water control project in Bose, which was built two years ago for the purpose of flood control, irrigation and electricity production. Zhou has been staying in Guangxi since Wednesday when he led the central government delegation to attend the celebrations marking the 50th founding anniversary of the minority autonomous region. The autonomous region was founded on Dec. 11, 1958 and has 12 ethnic groups. The total population in Guangxi by the end of 2007 was more than 50 million, one-third are of the Zhuang ethnic minority.
KUNMING, Nov. 20 (Xinhua) -- The learning and implementation of the Scientific Outlook on Development among Party members and cadres should be emphasized to boost economic development, said Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping on Thursday during his inspection tour to southwestern Yunnan Province. Xi said local officials should exercise the Scientific Outlook on Development while facing challenges as a result of the global financial crisis. Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping (2nd R) talks with a woman at a tea garden in the Simao District of Pu'er City, southwest China's Yunnan Province, Nov. 18, 2008. Xi Jinping made an inspection in Yunnan Province on Nov. 17-20"In this way, we can change risks into opportunities," said Xi, member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee. He urged local governments to implement the central government's policies and make sure to complete this year's economic growth goal. Xi also asked local officials to pay attention to ecological development and environmental protection while advancing economic growth.
LANZHOU, Jan. 18 (Xinhua) -- Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang urged the restoration of people's livelihood in the quake-hit regions during his visit in northwestern Gansu Province between Jan. 15 and Jan. 17. Some areas of Gansu were shattered by the devastating May 12 earthquake centered in Wenchuan of neighboring Sichuan Province last year. Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang (R) visits poor villager Liao Zhenxiang in Hedong Village of Longnan City, in northwest China's Gansu Province, on Jan. 16, 2009. Li Keqiang, also a member of the Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China Central Committee Political Bureau, made an inspection tour in Gansu Province from Jan. 15 through 17. Efforts should be made to ensure that all people in the quake-hit regions had enough food to eat, had clothes to resist the cold and were well housed in the freezing winter, Li said when visiting quake-affected villagers. More support should be given to speed up the building of permanent housing with a precondition that the quality must be guaranteed, he said. "Housing construction can not only help quake-affected people restore life as soon as possible, but is also helpful to boost investment, consumption and economic growth," he said. Villager Zhao Danlin (2nd L, front) displays his relief coupon to Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang (L, front) in the Longtou Village of Longnan City, in northwest China's Gansu Province, on Jan. 16, 2009He also called for quicker restoration of public facilities, which would serve the economic and social development in the quake-hit regions. During his visit in Longfeng Village, Li talked with some farmers who had returned because of employment difficulty in cities. There were lots of job opportunities in the country, he said. "You can go to the interior region if it is hard to find a job in the coastal area; you can shift to work in the service sector as job opportunities are limited in the industrial sector; you can also start your own business at your hometown without going outside." Li urged governments and departments concerned to provide more training and guidance to help rural workers get a job and guarantee a stable increase in employment.