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BEIJING, Aug. 8 -- China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates.    That may mean a departure from the rising spiral of inflation after it peaked at an annualized 8.7 percent in February. Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said his team's research found the July consumer price index (CPI), the main barometer of inflation, may drop to 6.7 percent year-on-year from 7.1 percent in June.     The domestic Bank of Communications research arm said the figure could fall at 6.4 percent, which is also the estimate of Southwest Securities. China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates.    One of the reasons why prices are stable is that there has been no flooding, a regular feature of the rainy seaon, said Sun of Lehman Brothers.     Daily price data from the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Development and Reform Commission show that agricultural product prices rose only slightly in July while meat prices fell. Weekly price data released by the Ministry of Commerce also showed a moderate decline in food prices.     The relatively high statistical base of last July also contributed to the drop in inflation this July, said Guo Tianyong, economist with the Central University of Finance and Economics.     China's CPI hit 5.6 percent year-on-year last July, the first time it reached the 5-percent level that year.     "If no major natural disaster hits China in August, CPI could fall below 6 percent in August, providing more room for the government to remove its price controls," said Sun.     Economists said that without many unexpected incidence, it will gradually ease to around 5 percent by the year-end.     A possible price liberalization of oil products, however, should not be a one-off adjustment, which will put a huge pressure on the country's battle against inflation, Guo said.     China raised the prices of oil products and electricity late June. Analysts said that once the inflation pressure eases, policymakers may start a second round of price liberalization, which may lead to a rebound in CPI.     If such liberalization moves are indeed made, they should be done in phases, not in one go, said Guo. Only that will ensure inflation does not peak again, as it did in February.     The pressure from the rising producer price index (PPI), which gauges ex-factory prices and influences CPI, may be a concern, but even taking into consideration its impact, consumer inflation may no longer exceed the February peak in the coming months and the first half of next year     "The worst times are behind us," said Dong Xianan, macroeconomic analyst with Southwest Securities.     "From the second half of last year, the tightenting stance had been obvious, which is a pre-emptive move to ensure the current easing of inflation."     Macroeconomic growth     The economic growth may gradually slow down in the rest of the year, analysts said, but the fine-tuning of policies would shore it up.     Dong from Southwest Securities forecasts that given the current growth momentum, the whole-year figure for GDP growth may be 10.1 percent, well below the 11.9 percent of last year. Other estimates are around the 10 percent mark.     The global economic slow-down, which reduces external demand for China's exports, will bring much trouble to China, but its domestic consumption and investment will remain stable, analysts said.     More importantly, the central authorities may adjust its tight policies to cater to individual demand of regions and sectors that have found it difficult to survive the tightened policies.

BEIJING, Aug. 8 -- China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates.    That may mean a departure from the rising spiral of inflation after it peaked at an annualized 8.7 percent in February. Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said his team's research found the July consumer price index (CPI), the main barometer of inflation, may drop to 6.7 percent year-on-year from 7.1 percent in June.     The domestic Bank of Communications research arm said the figure could fall at 6.4 percent, which is also the estimate of Southwest Securities. China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates.    One of the reasons why prices are stable is that there has been no flooding, a regular feature of the rainy seaon, said Sun of Lehman Brothers.     Daily price data from the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Development and Reform Commission show that agricultural product prices rose only slightly in July while meat prices fell. Weekly price data released by the Ministry of Commerce also showed a moderate decline in food prices.     The relatively high statistical base of last July also contributed to the drop in inflation this July, said Guo Tianyong, economist with the Central University of Finance and Economics.     China's CPI hit 5.6 percent year-on-year last July, the first time it reached the 5-percent level that year.     "If no major natural disaster hits China in August, CPI could fall below 6 percent in August, providing more room for the government to remove its price controls," said Sun.     Economists said that without many unexpected incidence, it will gradually ease to around 5 percent by the year-end.     A possible price liberalization of oil products, however, should not be a one-off adjustment, which will put a huge pressure on the country's battle against inflation, Guo said.     China raised the prices of oil products and electricity late June. Analysts said that once the inflation pressure eases, policymakers may start a second round of price liberalization, which may lead to a rebound in CPI.     If such liberalization moves are indeed made, they should be done in phases, not in one go, said Guo. Only that will ensure inflation does not peak again, as it did in February.     The pressure from the rising producer price index (PPI), which gauges ex-factory prices and influences CPI, may be a concern, but even taking into consideration its impact, consumer inflation may no longer exceed the February peak in the coming months and the first half of next year     "The worst times are behind us," said Dong Xianan, macroeconomic analyst with Southwest Securities.     "From the second half of last year, the tightenting stance had been obvious, which is a pre-emptive move to ensure the current easing of inflation."     Macroeconomic growth     The economic growth may gradually slow down in the rest of the year, analysts said, but the fine-tuning of policies would shore it up.     Dong from Southwest Securities forecasts that given the current growth momentum, the whole-year figure for GDP growth may be 10.1 percent, well below the 11.9 percent of last year. Other estimates are around the 10 percent mark.     The global economic slow-down, which reduces external demand for China's exports, will bring much trouble to China, but its domestic consumption and investment will remain stable, analysts said.     More importantly, the central authorities may adjust its tight policies to cater to individual demand of regions and sectors that have found it difficult to survive the tightened policies.

SEOUL, Aug. 25 (Xinhua) -- China and the Republic of Korea (ROK) issued a joint communique here Monday, vowing to cement bilateral relations.     The two countries pledged to broaden and enhance cooperation, and intensify coordination on regional and international issues so as to achieve long-term common development while contributing to world peace and prosperity, according to the joint communique issued during President Hu Jintao's state visit to the ROK.     The two sides agreed to promote the strategic cooperative partnership between the two countries in a comprehensive way.     The two heads of state expressed their satisfaction over the development of bilateral ties in various fields including politics, economy and culture since China and the ROK established diplomatic relations in 1992. Chinese President Hu Jintao (3rd L), accompanied by President of the Republic of Korea (ROK) Lee Myung-bak (1st L), reviews the honor guard during the welcoming ceremony held by Lee Myung-bak at the presidential palace in Seoul, capital of the Republic of Korea, Aug. 25, 2008. Hu Jintao arrived in Seoul on Monday for a two-day state visit to ROK    China-ROK ties are of great importance for both countries, and the development of relations has not only benefited China and the ROK, but also contributed to peace and development in Asia and the whole world, said the communique.     The two sides agreed to intensify political trust and support each other's peaceful development, as well as expand and deepen communication between the governments, parliaments and political parties of the two countries.     They also committed themselves to strengthening high-level contact and increasing dialogue on defense.     The two sides also decided to explore new areas of cooperation based on the principles of mutual benefit and complementarity.     China and the ROK will promote cultural exchanges, enhance mutual understanding and friendship between the two peoples, and intensify cooperation and coordination on regional and international issues. Chinese President Hu Jintao (L Rear) and President of the Republic of Korea (ROK) Lee Myung-bak (R Rear) hold a joint press conference after their meeting at the presidential palace in Seoul, capital of the Republic of Korea, Aug. 25, 2008. Hu Jintao arrived in Seoul on Monday for a two-day state visit to ROKOn the Taiwan issue, the ROK reiterated its adherence to the one-China policy.     The ROK pledged to further develop ties with the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) through reconciliation and cooperation, while the Chinese side reaffirmed its support for the reconciliation process between the ROK and the DPRK and their final peaceful reunification.     China and the ROK will maintain frequent exchange of high-level visits and contacts, the communique said.     Diplomatic bodies of the two countries will hold advanced strategic dialogues this year, as the start-up of a strategic dialogue mechanism of exchanging views on important issues concerning bilateral common interests.     Besides, foreign ministries of the two countries will establish a mechanism of coordination in a bid to further exchanges on foreign policy and international situation, the communique said.     Experts from the two countries will launch joint research on promoting all-round bilateral exchanges and cooperation, and hand in their reports to the two governments.     In addition, senior officials from the defense bodies of the two countries will also increase contact and strengthen exchanges and cooperation on multiple levels.     On economic and trade cooperation, the two countries vow to intensify cooperation in trade and investment, inspection and quarantine, trade relief and intellectual property rights, in an effort to bring forward the target of annual bilateral trade worth200 billion U.S. dollars to 2010.     Meanwhile, the two countries will facilitate the adjustment and supplementation of the Medium and Long Term Development Vision for China-ROK Economic and Trade Cooperation.     The two nations are willing to work together to further expand bilateral economic and trade cooperation, the communique said.     In addition, cooperation in fields such as environment, information and communication, logistics and energy will also be pushed forward. Chinese President Hu Jintao (2nd L), accompanied by President of the Republic of Korea (ROK) Lee Myung-bak (1st L), is welcomed by Korean children upon his arrival at the presidential palace in Seoul, capital of the Republic of Korea, Aug. 25, 2008. Hu Jintao arrived in Seoul on Monday for a two-day state visit to ROKGovernment bodies of the two countries will spare no efforts to establish a favorable investment environment to aid mutual economic development.     On the principle of mutual benefits, China and the ROK will accelerate studies on the possibility of a free trade zone in order to quickly implement the same.     In order to successfully host the 2010 Shanghai World Expo and the 2012 Yeosu World Expo, the two countries also inked a series of agreements on cooperation and sharing of experience in this regard.     On cultural exchanges, the two countries will study measures on providing convenient services to visa applicants as part of efforts to expand people-to-people communication.     To further people-related exchanges, the two nations have designated 2010 as Visit China Year and 2012 as Visit Korea Year.     On regional and international affairs, the two countries will reinforce communication and cooperation in the framework of the six-party talks, and implement the second phase action of the talks in constructive efforts.     Both sides will maintain coordination and cooperation in mechanisms like ASEAN and China, Japan and South Korea, the East Asia Summit, ASEAN Regional Forum and Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation.     Diplomatic bodies of the two countries will also set up a mechanism of coordination on UN affairs to enhance understanding and cooperation in this aspect, the communique noted.     President Hu Jintao arrived in Seoul earlier Monday for a two-day state visit, only months after his ROK counterpart Lee Myung-bak's official visit to China in May.     This is President Hu's second state visit to the ROK. He last visited the country in November 2005.

BEIJING, Sept. 13 (Xinhua) -- China's State Council, the Cabinet, has started the first-class national food safety emergency response to deal with the tainted Sanlu milk powder incident that has caused kidney stones in at least 432 babies.     The State Council has set up a national leading group comprising officials from the Health Ministry, the quality watchdog and local governments for the incident.     A preliminary investigation has confirmed the Sanlu baby milk powder contaminated by melamine was the cause of kidney stones in infants, said an official statement released here Saturday evening.     The melamine substance found in some of the Sanlu products was deliberately added to increase the protein percentage in raw milk or milk powder, it said.     The statement said the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council attached high importance to the issue, urging all-out efforts in treating the affected babies. The patients will be given free medical treatment and the cost will be shouldered by the government.     Meanwhile, the State Council urged a thorough overhaul of the milk powder market, directing the Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine (AQSIQ) to join other departments to check all the brands of baby formulas circulating in the market, and immediately pull those disqualified products off shelves.     The reason why the Sanlu baby formula was contaminated must be found out as soon as possible, the State Council said, directing the local government and relevant departments to overhaul all the links including the milk powder production, cow raising, raw milk collection and dairy processing.     Based on the findings, the criminals and all those responsible would be severely punished, it said.     Relevant local government and departments should draw lessons from the incident and improve the food safety and quality supervision mechanism to ensure the food safety of the public, it added.     The State Council has directed the provincial government of Hebei, where the Sanlu group is based, to halt production of the group. An investigation team set up by the health ministry and other departments is also in the province to probe into the cause, and the quality watchdog AQSIQ is conducting an all-round overhaul of baby milk powder producers across the country