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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Economic forecasters are beginning to warn of a possible 2020 recession, and the impact they say will be felt in the Golden State, according to a new report by UCLA.“Don’t celebrate the 3.1% GDP growth estimate for the first quarter of 2019,” writes UCLA Anderson Professor Emeritus Edward Leamer. Leamer is quoted in a recent report produced by the UCLA Anderson School of Management. According to Leamer, the data actually increases the risk of a recession at some point in the next couple of years. Nationally, economic growth is expected to slow marginally to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 and 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020. RELATED: Fed cuts interest rates for the first time since recessionThe good news is that the report predicts an economic rebound, growing again to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. So what picture does the report paint for California? One forecaster says you can expect California unemployment to rise modestly. “Weakness in housing as well as the slowing U.S. economy is reflected in a very modest growth rate in the U.S. in late 2020,” UCLA Anderson Forecast director Jerry Nickelsburg writes. “As a consequence, we expect California’s average unemployment rate to rise slightly to an average of 4.6% in the first quarter of 2021. For the entire year for 2020 and 2021, we expect average unemployment rates of 4.3% and 4.4%, respectively.”Meanwhile, personal income growth in the state of California is forecast at 2.9 percent in 2019. But the report warns that income growth is expected to slow to 1.9 percent by 2020.It’s not all bad news, however, income growth is expected to rise fairly quickly again in 2021, and is forecast to reach 2.1 percent by the end of the year. There's more good news. The Federal Reserve Wednesday lowered interest rates for the first time since the Great Recession in 2008 to help prevent an economic downturn. 1936

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Employment Development Department services are temporarily closed to in-person services at San Diego Workforce Partnership Career Centers. According to officials with the Workforce Partnership, walk-ins won’t be accepted, however some services will be available by appointment only.“Our resources have always been available online, and actually the number one way people file for unemployment in or out of a public health emergency is online,” said Andrew Picard, chief program Officer at the San Diego Workforce Partnership.Picard said if people don't have a computer or internet access, don't worry, the phone still works. Career agents and advisors with the organization can walk you through a job search or the unemployment process.“We have teams of career agents and advisors standing by over the phone and with online tools to do virtual meetings,” Picard said. “A great deal of resources and programs that are still in operation and still available to the community.”Unemployment assistance isn’t just for people who recently lost their job.According to the Employment Development Department, “You are encouraged to apply for Unemployment Insurance (UI) benefits if you are unemployed, which includes reasons such as, your hours are reduced due to the quarantine, you were separated from your employer during the quarantine, you are subject to a quarantine required by a medical professional or state or local health officer.”Last week Governor Gavin Newsom sped up the time it takes to get financial assistance. An executive order signed by the Newsom waives the one-week waiting period for people who are unemployed and/or disabled as a result of COVID-19.On Wednesday, the United States Senate passed a coronavirus response measure to provide sick leave and free testing."Hang in there,” Picard said. “There’s a lot of support out there to support you to find work or to maintain and keep your employment."For more information, connect with your local career centerThis page includes all COVID-19 updates related to job seeker services.For more information from the State of California For more unemployment help over the phone you can call 1-800-300-5616. 2193

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Fire crews battled a small fire that threatened structures in Del Dios Thursday afternoon. According to Cal Fire, the blaze started in the area of Del Dios Highway and Toyon Canyon Road on the west side of Lake Hodges. The fire burned roughly three acres and threatened two structures before fire crews were able to stop the forward rate of spread. Cal Fire said in a Tweet that the agency would remain on scene throughout the afternoon to work on containment. #ToyonFire [update] Forward rate of progress has been stopped; firefighters will remain at scene to work on containment.— CAL FIRE/SAN DIEGO COUNTY FIRE (@CALFIRESANDIEGO) August 29, 2019 677

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Former San Diego City Councilman Carl DeMaio pulled nomination papers Monday indicating he may run for the East County congressional seat currently held by Rep. Duncan Hunter.DeMaio must file the paperwork with the necessary signatures for the 50th district race by Friday, according to his campaign.He issued a statement:“I appreciate all the San Diegans who have reached out to me to encourage me to run for Congress. If we want better results from government, we must first start by fixing Congress and holding them accountable when they violate the public’s trust.” 596

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) – Gov. Gavin Newsom said Wednesday that a rise in coronavirus cases is worrying, and warned counties to heed statewide precautions and enforce them.He doubled down on his warning, saying if individual counties did not enforce the state's guidance, they can lose funding."We cannot support bad behaviors, but we want to encourage and support good behavior," Newsom said. "And if counties simply are going to (flout) the rules and regulations that they attested to, the information that they put online and said, `We agreed to this criteria.' ... If they decide, `well, you know what, even though the numbers are going up, we're done, we've got this, we're just going to ... dismiss these new rules and regulations' -- we're going to attach some considerations, some consequences to that. There's .5 billion in this budget that simply will not flow to those counties that do that."Newsom added that while he doesn't anticipate having to take such actions since the majority of counties have been cooperative, funding will be issued monthly — not annually — to ensure counties continue to adhere to health restrictions.RELATED: California requiring face coverings for most indoor areasHow San Diego County officials monitor coronavirus trendsSan Diego County pauses future reopenings after hitting community outbreak triggerNewsom went on to plead with residents to continue to practice good hygiene and wash their hands, wear facial coverings when around others, avoid large gatherings, and stay home when sick to halt the spread of COVID-19."Washing your hands isn't just putting your damn hands, forgive my language, under the faucet for two seconds and calling it a day," Newsom said. "We've all seen that. Many have done that ... but in this pandemic, come on. We can do a little more and a little bit better."Monday, Newsom warned that the state was prepared to "revert back" to COVID-19 restrictions if needed, as the state sees a rise in cases. The governor added, "we don't intend to do that, we don't want to do that, but I want to make this clear - we are prepared to do that if we must."Last week, Newsom issued a statewide facial covering order for residents in high-risk settings, with exceptions, to address a rise in cases throughout the state. He said Wendesday that the most recent 14-day average of people testing positive for the virus in California overall is 5.1%, up from 4.6% earlier this month. He added that the number of people hospitalized due to COVID-19 increased by 29% over the last two weeks, and the number of ICU patients went up 18%.Tuesday, California reported 183,073 coronavirus cases and 5,580 deaths from the virus.City News Service contributed to this report. 2725