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BEIJING, May 5 --  The economy is likely to expand 7 percent in the second quarter - up from the first quarter's 6.1 percent - even as it confronts the painful prospect of shedding industrial overcapacity, a top government think tank said Monday.    "Economic growth will pick up in the second quarter as the government's stimulus measures gradually take effect," the State Information Center (SIC) forecast.     "There has been preliminary success in arresting the economy's downward trend," it said, but did not mention any fallout from the global H1N1 flu alert.     But Zhu Baoliang, an SIC economist and one of the authors of the SIC report, said the economy will only be slightly affected by the H1N1 flu.     Annualized GDP growth sank to a decade's low in the first quarter, largely because of a collapse in export demand.     But analysts said the economy might have bottomed out since then as latest economic figures are increasingly upbeat.     The CLSA China Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), a gauge of manufacturing activity, rose to 50.1 in April, the first time it has been above 50 since last August, CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets said yesterday. A PMI reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector, while a reading below 50 signals a contraction.     Also, the PMI index compiled by the Federation of Logistics and Purchasing rose for the fifth straight month in April to 53.5 percent, up 1.1 percentage points from a month earlier.     The positive economic signs sent stock markets up across Asia, with the mainland's Shanghai Composite Index rising 3.3 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index 5.5 percent.     "The Chinese government has been extremely successful in stimulating investment," said Eric Fishwick, CLSA head of economic research. "We hope that firmer domestic demand, as government spending gains traction, will keep the PMI above 50 in the months to come."     The World Bank said in a report in early April that the Chinese economy is expected to bottom out by the middle of 2009. It also forecast China's economic growth at 6.5 percent for the year.     The International Monetary Fund also forecast last month that growth in China is expected to slow to about 6.5 percent this year.     Consumer spending held fast over the past months, despite looming unemployment pressure. About 2.68 million vehicles were sold in the first quarter, making the nation the world's largest auto market during the period.     Housing sales surged 23.1 percent by value while retail sales rose 15.9 percent in the first quarter, 3.6 percentage points higher than the same period a year earlier.     "Based on the clear uptrend in recent economic activity we believe the worst is already behind China in terms of economic growth," Sun Mingchun, chief China economist of Nomura International, wrote in a research note. Sun said China would achieve its 8 percent growth target this year, with a V-shaped growth trajectory.     But some analysts argue that the figures could be volatile and the economy has to deal with the structural problem of overcapacity.     "It's still too early to say the economy is experiencing a real recovery," said Zhu, the SIC economist. "Over the past months, local enterprises have been running down their inventories. Now they have to reduce overcapacity."

LANZHOU, June 11 (Xinhua) -- Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping has called for different levels of Party and government leaders to make contributions that will bring long-term benefits and could stand up to the test of time and people's evaluation.     Xi made the call during during a four-day trip to Gansu that ended on Wednesday. Gansu is a hinterland province that was also hit by a magnitude-8.0 quake centered in southwestern Sichuan Province last May. Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping (R, front) talks with a villager while inspecting the post-earthquake reconstruction at Jiajiasi Village in Qinzhou District, Tianshui City of northwest China's Gansu Province, on June 8, 2009. Xi made an inspection tour in Gansu from June 7 to June 10.He asked local leaders to be hardworking, embrace frugality and passion in their work and carry forward and promote the good traditions and revolutionary spirit of the Communist Party of China (CPC).     During the trip, Xi paid visits to rural households, enterprise workshops, schools, research institutes and spent time chitchatting with farmers. Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping (C) visits villager Han Huaiqing at Liyuanbao Village in Huachi County, Qingyang City of northwest China's Gansu Province, on June 7, 2009. Xi made an inspection tour in Gansu from June 7 to June 10In villager Han Huaiqing's home, Xi and Han talked about the promotion of new corn planting technologies, price fluctuations of commodities, the implementation of rural medicare system and reduction of agricultural taxes.     In enterprise workshops, Xi asked about enterprise restructuring, a way adopted by local enterprises to offset the impact of the global economic downturn. He also urged efforts to help enterprises to overcome difficulties in production and operation.     In villages that were affected by the massive earthquake, Xi urged local officials to place reconstruction of the quake-battered area at the top of their agenda and called for high quality in reconstruction projects. Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping (C) visits the school library of Lanzhou University, in Lanzhou, capital of northwest China's Gansu Province, on June 9, 2009. Xi made an inspection tour in Gansu from June 7 to June 10.

GUANGZHOU, July 19 (Xinhua) -- Typhoon Molave hit land in south China early Sunday, with heavy rain forecast in most parts of the Guangdong Province in the following two days, local observatory said.     Molave, the 6th tropical storm this year which became typhoon, landed at Nanao town in Shenzhen City of Guangdong Province at 0:50 a.m. Sunday Beijing Time, with winds up to 145 km per hour in its eye.     Strong gales and heavy rains hit Shenzhen City, resulting in water flowing on streets. However, as residents and vehicles were scare during the night, the weather had no major impact on local people's living yet. Photo taken at about 2:30 a.m. Beijing Time on July 19, 2009 shows the swaying trees in the rainstorm along the Binhe Avenue in downtown Shenzhen City, south China's Guangdong Province. Molave, the 6th tropical storm this year which became typhoon, landed at Nanao town in Shenzhen City at 0:50 a.m. Sunday Beijing Time, local observatory said.     As of 2:30 a.m. Sunday, the city hadn't reported any serious damages.     In the neighboring Fujian Province, more than 600 fishing boats were in the Xiangzhi National Fish Harbor of Fujian province, where soldiers were helping anchor the boats. They also persuaded some 3,000 fishermen to evacuate.     In the cities of Zhangzhou, Quanzhou, Putian and Fuzhou where the typhoon was likely to affect, 1,680 people in vessels returned to seek shelters on land.     The State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters has dispatched five emergency task forces Saturday to Sichuan, Heilongjiang, Gansu, Guangdong and Fujian provinces to help prepare for the typhoon and possible flooding.Photo taken at about 4:30 a.m. Beijing Time on July 19, 2009 shows a broken tree in the rainstorm on a street in downtown Shenzhen City, south China's Guangdong Province.

WASHINGTON, April 27 (Xinhua) -- Chinese Commerce Minister Chen Deming has called for stronger economic ties between China and the United States.     "Economic links have always been an important basis for the China-U.S. relationship, and the growth in trade between the two countries has been robust since the establishment of normal diplomatic relations," Chen wrote in an article published in The Wall Street Journal on Monday.     Currently, China and the U.S. are each other's second-largest trading partner with the volume of the two-way trade in goods exceeding 300 billion U.S. dollars.     But the commercial ties between the two nations have been affected by the global financial crisis.     Chinese statistics show bilateral trade dropped 6.8 percent, and U.S. investment in China slumped 19.4 percent, on a year-on-year basis in the fourth quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year, Chen wrote.     He was scheduled to meet with his U.S. counterpart on Monday to discuss bilateral trade and investment measures.     "History tells us that the more serious a crisis becomes, the more committed we must be to openness and cooperation," Chen wrote. "Regrettably, however, trade measures by the U.S. against China are on the rise."     Recently, American industries have petitioned the U.S. government for antidumping investigations, and for investigations under the World Trade Organization's "special safeguard provision," which could restrict imports of Chinese products, he said.     "This will seriously test China-U.S. economic and trade relations," he added.     The Chinese commerce minister noted that the need to foster positive Sino-U.S. ties has never been greater.     He also called on both sides to step up cooperation in trade and investment issues, and explore and establish new possibilities for cooperation in such areas as agriculture, new and high technology, finance, energy and the environment.     "Dialogue and communication also need to be intensified concerning multilateral and regional trade and economic affairs," he said.     To that end, Chen put forth four proposals:     -- To seize the opportunity for cooperation, and work together to tackle the crisis;     -- To mutually open markets to expand trade and investment;     -- To strengthen bilateral dialogue and resolve differences properly;     -- To safeguard the environment for trade and advance the Doha Round.     Chen also said now it's no time for protectionism.     The U.S. and China, as the largest and the third-largest trading countries in the world respectively, should take the lead in following up the consensus reached at the G20 Summit in London and refrain from formulating any new trade protection policies before the end of 2010, he wrote.     "A positive, cooperative and comprehensive Sino-American relationship will surely bring new prosperity and development to both economies," he added.     In his article, he also expressed hope and confidence that bilateral trade would rise to a new high and exceed 500 billion U.S. dollars in the next five years, growing in a more balanced way.