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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — There could be as many as 78 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines available by the end of 2020, according to the most optimistic timeline in leaked documents from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.But assuming that the vaccine will require two doses per individual, that figure would only be enough to inoculate the highest priority individuals, based on draft guidelines released this week from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.“We’re not even going to get through Phase 1 people” in 2020, said Dr. Mary Barger, an epidemiologist at the University of San Diego.There are an estimated 44 million people in NASEM’S Phase 1 group: frontline healthcare workers, first responders, people with multiple high-risk factors, and adults living in nursing homes and other group settings.Based on leaked CDC guidance to states published by the New York Times, if two vaccine candidates become available in October, there would be enough doses for 39 million people by the end of 2020 -- not quite enough to cover the entire Phase 1 group.If only one vaccine is available by October, the projections suggest there could be enough doses to cover 13 to 26 million people.That might only be enough for frontline healthcare workers and first responders, of which there are an estimated 17 million.Healthcare workers and first responders get the highest priority, which NASEM calls Phase 1a, so they can maintain the integrity of the healthcare system.“When there’s a pandemic, you want to make sure you have enough people to take care of those that are sick,” said Dr. Abisola Olulade of Sharp Rees-Stealy Medical Group.Phase 1b includes individuals with multiple underlying conditions, like cancer, chronic kidney disease, and serious heart conditions.Approximately 75% of adults hospitalized for COVID-19 in the U.S. between March 1 and August 15 had at least two underlying conditions, according to data from the COVID-19 Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network cited in the NASEM guidelines. More than 60% of hospitalized adults had three or more underlying conditions.“It would make sense that you would include a segment of the population that’s at risk of doing the worst,” said Dr. Peter Chin-Hong, an infectious disease specialist at UC San Francisco.There are an estimated 27 million people in the Phase 1b category.Critical workers in high-risk industries like grocery store clerks, mail carriers, and bus drivers would be in Phase 2, along with teachers, homeless people, prisoners, people with moderately risky underlying conditions, and anyone over the age of 65.“Even though people 65 and older make up less than 20% of the population, there have been 80% of COVID-19 deaths in this age,” Dr. Olulade said.Risk factors including high blood pressure, liver disease, or moderate-to-severe asthma would qualify an individual for Phase 2.There are an estimated 27 million people in this phase.In Phase 3, NASEM recommends inoculating people who are at lower risk of a bad infection but may be vectors for the spread of disease, including young people and children.NASEM noted that it will be “critical to conduct additional trials to gain better understanding of safety and efficacy of COVID-19 vaccine among children before they receive the vaccine.” Currently, there are no COVID vaccine trials that include children.Other essential workers at moderate risk of exposure would also be included in Phase 3, including employees in restaurants, hotels, hair salons, and exercise facilities.Phase 4 includes everyone else. 3589

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — This weekend is filled with events celebrating San Diego Pride, fun at the fairgrounds, and virtual events to keep locals busy at home.San Diego Pride's Spirit of Stone Wall Rally and Pride Live events will celebrate the region's LGBTQ community and leaders who have contributed to the community with awards, presentations, and entertainment during what would traditionally be the city's Pride weekend.The Natural History Museum is continuing its Friday night trivia events with a virtual rendition with the same flavor of the museum's rooftop event at home.And, of course, with beaches open, locals can safely soak in the rays on the sand, or head to the Del Mar Fairgrounds for a bite of fair food throughout the weekend.(As a reminder, residents are encouraged to stay home if they feel ill and avoid large gatherings with people not from the same household. The county also requires residents to practice social distancing and wear a facial covering when within six feet of those not from the same household.)Hit the beach (Thursday - Sunday): San Diego County's beaches are open for laying out and relaxing, and parking lots, boardwalks, and piers have reopened. With warm temperatures lingering this week, it's the perfect time for a beach day. Just remember to wear a facial covering and practice distancing when near non-household members.Spirit of Stone Wall Rally (Friday): Pride's Spirit of Stone Wall Rally will honor community leaders during the annual presentation of the Spirit of Stonewall Awards, recognizing individuals who contribute significantly to the LGBTQ community through their leadership, activism, and fundraising efforts. More infoTrivia with Nat at Night (Friday): Trivia night at the Natural History Museum has gone virtual, with the rooftop becoming your couch! The Nat will hold Friday night trivia online every Friday at 7 p.m. on Facebook. The digital rendition of the museum's 21+ rooftop trivia nights will still be led by museum trivia hosts. More infoLittle Italy Al-Fresco dining (Saturday): From 2 p.m. to 10 p.m., Little Italy will open several streets for its weekly open-air dining experience. Tables are distanced to allow for social distancing and diners will be required to have facial coverings, except when eating and drinking. More infoPride Live (Saturday): The annual Pride festival and parade may not happen in-person, but virtually, organizers are holding a full day of showcasing community organizations, volunteers, leaders, and entertainment. More infoSan Diego County Fair food fun (Friday-Sunday): The Del Mar Fairgrounds is offering delicious bites from fair vendors Friday through Sunday until Sept. 7. Grab a bit from vendors like Chicken Charlies, Roxy's, Sugar Bear, and more! The fair is also hosting virtual exhibits showcasing student artwork, photography, and livestock shows. More info 2881

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) – The San Diego Padres released their 28-man roster ahead of their National League Division Series matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers, and while starting pitcher Mike Clevinger is active and eligible to play, fellow starter Dinelson Lamet is not on the roster.Clevinger, who missed the NL Wild Card Series against St. Louis, is slated to start Tuesday night’s Game 1 in Arlington, Texas, the team announced Tuesday morning.Lamet also missed the series against the Cardinals with an arm injury, and the team did not release any new details on his status.The Padres' finalized roster for the NLDS round:Pitchers:Austin AdamsMike ClevingerZach DaviesTim Hill (LH)Pierce JohnsonAdrian Morejon (LH)Chris PaddackEmilio PaganLuis PatinoDrew Pomeranz (LH)Garrett RichardsTrevor RosenthalCraig StammenMatt Strahm (LH)Ryan Weathers (LH)Catchers:Luis CampusanoJason CastroAustin NolaInfielders:Jake CronenworthEric HosmerManny MachadoMitch MorelandFernando Tatis Jr.Outfielders:Greg AllenTrent GrishamWil MyersTommy PhamJurickson Profar 1055

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- This Saturday, the City of San Diego invites all children to play in the mud.In a celebration of nature and friendship, “International Mud Day” encourages kids to get dirty together. First celebrated between Australia and Nepal in 2009, the holiday has spread to cities across the world.Saturday will mark San Diego’s 2nd Mud Day celebration. All children and their families are invited to Crown Point Park in Mission Bay from 10 a.m. to 1:30 p.m.After a successful celebration in 2018, the City has expanded the event to include obstacle courses, nature crafts, and more. From mud forts to food trucks, there will be many ways to families to have fun getting dirty.Dr. Bronner’s Magic Foam Experience will make a special appearance, to make sure no one tracks mud back home.The event is free, but families are encouraged to register here. Sturdy shoes, towels and a change of clothes are strongly recommended for those planning to attend. 967

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- The ridesharing company, Lyft, is donating hundreds of thousands of dollars in ride credits to immigration groups throughout the country, including one in San Diego County. The company made the donation announcement on Monday, donating 0,000, calling the campaign "America is an Idea, Not a Geography." The Minority Humanitarian Foundation in Spring Valley received roughly ,000 in ride credits. The foundation's founder, Mark Lane, says the company's donation is a game changer for his organization. Lane explains that the money previously spent on rides can now go towards other things like food, clothing and other supplies. 10News spoke to multiple Lyft drivers in San Diego who said they wouldn't mind providing rides to migrants, as long as their pay didn't change. A few Lyft users told 10News they don't agree with Lyft's donation but said they would still continue to use the service.During the month of July, Lyft is also matching donations to RAICES up to ,000. Lyft also released a series of films that highlight the work of immigrant organizations. To watch, click here. 1120