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Predicting the outcome of elections can sometimes be easy. Other years, it is not. Professor Allan Lichtman has predicted every election since 1984, using a model he developed alongside Soviet Union scientists.One of Lichtman's proudest achievements was accurately predicting the 2016 election. President Donald Trump signed a Washington Post article about Lichtman in recent years with his autograph and the phrase "good call."THE METHODLichtman doesn't look at polls."Polls are not predictors, they are misused as predictors," Lichtman said.Instead, Lichtman looks at the political party currently controlling the White House. Then he uses 13 keys to gauge whether the party controlling the White House will lose or not.They are: midterm gains, no contest in the primary, incumbency, no third party, strong short-term economy, strong long-term economy, major policy change, no social unrest, no scandal, no overseas failure, major overseas achievement, charismatic incumbent, uncharismatic opponent."If six or more, any six more, turn against the party holding the White House, they are a predicted loser," Luchtman said.2020 PREDICTIONLichtman says before 2020, Trump appeared to be heading to a reelection. However Trump has now lost seven keys.In Lichtman's opinion, Trump has lost midterm gains, short term economy, long-term economy, no social unrest, no scandal, major overseas achievement, and charismatic incumbent."Could I be wrong? Of course human beings are wrong. But my keys have quite a track record," Lichtman said. 1541
Power restoration after Hurricane Maria, which struck almost a year ago, has been completed, according to the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority."According to our reports, all of our clients that were without service since Maria now have electricity," said Geraldo Qui?ones a spokesman for the power authority, which is known as PREPA. He added that the customers "form part of the recuperation process of the electrical system after the devastation of the hurricane."The utility tweeted a picture?of "Charlie, Jazmín and children from Ponce," indicating the family was the last to have power restored.But those living in El Yunque National Forest take issue with the claim."It's something that's not true," resident Jose Salda?a Jr., 43, said on the phone, denying that power was restored, with frustration in his voice.Salda?a told CNN on Tuesday that he and his family have yet to see power restored to their home and local business inside El Yunque, on the northeast side of the island.His family runs La Muralla, a small business that has been selling local food in El Yunque for the past 40 years. His parents, both in their 60s, live above the business, and haven't had power since Hurricane Irma hit the island, weeks before Maria wreaked havoc in Puerto Rico.Salda?a said power has not been restored because of a back-and-forth with the US Forest Service and PREPA.When asked why PREPA is claiming 100% power restoration when El Yunque residents still don't have power, Qui?ones said they "don't have control in El Yunque" and pointed at the US Forest Service, saying the utility needs the agency's permission to be on federal land and install posts.Sharon Wallace, the forest supervisor for El Yunque National Forest, acknowledged the complexities of power restoration in El Yunque."I think they're (PREPA) doing the best they can," Wallace said.According to Wallace, PREPA asked to install a new power line that would have required a lengthier process and special permission. To restore power to the existing line however, Wallace said PREPA does not need additional permission to maintain the line in El Yunque."We knew from the beginning we would be one of the last ones," Wallace said, adding that power for the Forest Service headquarters was restored in April.Qui?ones said the two organizations remain in constant communication."We are confident that this will be resolved soon," he said. In the meantime, Salda?a said frustration is growing.His family business was shut down for five months after the hurricane hit.The family runs a generator about 15 hours a day, more than what's recommended, and spends about 0 a week on fuel to run it."It's more work, more sacrifices, more costs," Salda?a said.PREPA has 1.47 million power customers and returning power to the island after Maria has been a challenge after what has been the largest blackout in US history and?the second-largest in world history.Just last week, an outage knocked out power to almost 130,000 customers. Power was quickly restored. But Puerto Ricans on the island say the instability causes anxiety, especially during the Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1.Nearly 3.4 million residents were left without power on September 20, when Hurricane Maria struck, as the island struggled with Hurricane Irma's brush earlier that month."It's like they've forgotten us," Salda?a said. 3390

President Donald Trump called for reforming background checks for gun purchases in a tweet on Tuesday night."Whether we are Republican or Democrat, we must now focus on strengthening Background Checks!" the President tweeted.Trump's tweet comes amid a renewed call on lawmakers for legislation surrounding guns after 17 people were killed last week at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Florida.On Monday, White House principal deputy press secretary Raj Shah indicated in a statement that Trump was open to making changes to the background check system. 567
President Donald Trump said Wednesday he regretted choosing Jeff Sessions as attorney general, a continuation of the President's frustrations over Sessions' decision to recuse himself from the Russia investigation.Quoting Rep. Trey Gowdy, R-South Carolina, who noted on CBS earlier Wednesday that Trump "could have picked somebody else" for the position, Trump tweeted, "I wish I did!"Gowdy was responding to a question about whether Trump may have obstructed justice in reportedly asking Sessions in March 2017 to reverse his decision
President Donald Trump on Friday responded to Jeff Sessions' defiance over the handling of the Justice Department by resuming his remarkable public hammering of the attorney general and suggesting Sessions pursue the White House's political opponents."Jeff, this is GREAT, what everyone wants, so look into all of the corruption on the "other side" including deleted Emails, Comey lies & leaks, Mueller conflicts, McCabe, Strzok, Page, Ohr...FISA abuse, Christopher Steele & his phony and corrupt Dossier, the Clinton Foundation, illegal surveillance of Trump Campaign, Russian collusion by Dems - and so much more. Open up the papers & documents without redaction? Come on Jeff, you can do it, the country is waiting!" Trump wrote on Twitter Friday morning. 778
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